Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Orlov Alexander Ivanovich

Scholastic degree




Academic rank

professor

Honorary rank

—

Organization, job position

Bauman Moscow State Technical University
   

Web site url

—

Email

prof-orlov@mail.ru


Articles count: 155

269 kb

NONPARAMETRIC GOODNESS-OF-FIT KOLMOGOROV, SMIRNOV, OMEGA-SQUARE TESTS AND THE ERRORS IN THEIR APPLICATION

abstract 0971403047 issue 97 pp. 644 – 672 31.03.2014 ru 2507
In the article we have considered A. N. Kolmogorov and N. V. Smirnov papers dedicated to one-sided and two-sided goodness-of-fit and homogeneity tests. It has been shown that the term "Kolmogorov - Smirnov test" used incorrectly. We have also given the recommendations on use of the terms "Kolmogorov test", "Smirnov test", "test of Kolmogorov-Smirnov type" and discussed omega-square test (Cramer-von Mises–Smirnov test). Typical errors in the application of these criterions have been considered, in particular to test for normality of the distribution of measurement results
233 kb

BASIC IDEAS OF INTERVAL DATA STATISTICS

abstract 0941310060 issue 94 pp. 868 – 893 27.12.2013 ru 2248
In the article we have considered the basic idea of asymptotic mathematical statistics of interval data, in which the elements of a sample are not the numbers, but the intervals. Algorithms and conclusions of interval data statistics fundamentally different from the classical ones. The results related to the basic concepts of notna and rational sample sizes are listed. Interval data statistics as an integral part of the system of fuzzy interval mathematics is shown
265 kb

THE CURRENT STATE OF RISK-CONTROLLING

abstract 0981404003 issue 98 pp. 30 – 63 30.04.2014 ru 2114
The concept of risk-controlling is based on the general theory of risk. The current state of risk-management in our country is reviewed. We also discuss the research on risk-controlling made in the BMSTU Laboratory of economic-mathematical methods in controlling
261 kb

RENEWAL DEPENDENCE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES BASED NONPARAMETRIC MODEL WITH PERIODIC COMPONENT

abstract 0911307013 issue 91 pp. 192 – 221 30.09.2013 ru 1932
We consider the nonparametric problem of reneval dependence, which is described by the sum of a linear trend and periodic function with a known period. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of the parameter estimates and the trend component. The methods of estimating the periodic component and designing in-terval forecast. In the model of the points of observa-tion, natural for applications, justified by the condi-tions of use. In particular, we prove an asymptotically unbiased estimate of the coefficient of the linear term
4179 kb

COGNITIVE FUNCTIONS AS A GENERALIZATION OF THE CLASSICAL CONCEPT OF FUNCTIONAL DEPENDENCE ON THE BASIS OF INFORMATION THEORY IN ASC-ANALYSIS AND SYSTEM FUZZY INTERVAL MATHEMATICS

abstract 0951401007 issue 95 pp. 122 – 183 30.01.2014 ru 1859
This article briefly reviews the classical concept of functional dependence in mathematics, determines the limitations of this concept for adequate modeling of reality and formulates the problem, consisting in search of such generalization of the concept of func-tions, which is more suitable for the adequate reflec-tion of causal relationships in the real domain. Also, it discusses theoretical and practical solving the prob-lem, consisting in: (a) we suggest the universal method of calculating the amount of information in the value of argument about the meaning of the function, i.e. cognitive functions which is independent from the subject area; b) we offer software tools: Eidos intelli-gent system, allowing in practice to carry out these calculations, i.e. to build cognitive functions based on a fragmented noisy empirical data of high dimension. We also offer the concepts of nonreducing, partially and completely reduced direct and inverse, positive and negative cognitive functions and the method of formation of reduced cognitive function, which is a generalization of known weighted least-squares meth-od on the basis of observation the amount of infor-mation in the values of the argument about the values of the functions accounting
247 kb

AVERAGE VALUES AND RULES OF LARGE NUMBERS IN THE SPACES OF ARBITRARY ORIGIN

abstract 0891305038 issue 89 pp. 556 – 586 29.05.2013 ru 1808
The new results of the sample average values in different spaces and rules of large numbers for them are given in the article. We also introduced the weighted average values of type I corresponding to the sample, and type II, corresponding to the set of order statistics. The evolution of ideas about the Kemeny distance and the Kemeny median is traced. The modified Kemeny median, convenient for computation and avoiding the effect of the "center of the bagel hole" is proposed. As a generalization of the Kemeny median, we introduced and studied the empirical and theoretical values in the spaces of arbitrary origin. For them, we proved the rules of large numbers
1319 kb

REQUIREMENTS AND ESTIMATION OF THE FEASIBILITY OF PROJECTS OF CREATION OF THE PRODUCTS OF ROCKET AND SPACE TECHNICS

abstract 0991405008 issue 99 pp. 124 – 136 30.05.2014 ru 1758
The requirements for the project design stages of creating rocket and space technology are specified. The algorithm of estimation the feasibility of such projects is proposed based on their innovation and investment components
285 kb

ABOUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE STATISTICS OF NONNUMERICAL OBJECTS

abstract 0931309019 issue 93 pp. 271 – 307 30.11.2013 ru 1728
About thirty-five years ago, the statistics of non-numerical objects was highlighted as an independent field of mathematical statistics. This article analyzes the basic ideas in this area, and relevant publications on the background of the development of applied statistics, and in connection with the system fuzzy interval mathematics
225 kb

NEW AREA OF CONTROLLING –CONTROLLING OF ORGANIZATIONAL-ECONOMIC METHODS

abstract 0991405004 issue 99 pp. 50 – 72 30.05.2014 ru 1697
We introduce the concept of "controlling organizational-economic methods". We define the terms in the sequence "the problem - the model - the method - the conditions of applicability". We have described the basic organizational-economic model of industrial firm; by means of this model we have discussed the problems of development of modern organizational-economic methods. We have demonstrated the relevance of the theory and methodology of organizational-economic modeling. For example, we consider the application of statistical methods at various stages of the life cycle of the product, the problem of internal risks in an industrial firm and accounting for inflation in the analysis of activities of the organization
254 kb

THE PROBLEMS OF METHODOLOGY OF PUBLIC POLICY AND MANAGEMENT IN NON-FORMAL INFORMATIONAL ECONOMY OF THE FUTURE

abstract 0881304041 issue 88 pp. 593 – 619 30.04.2013 ru 1688
The basic ideas of non-formal informational economy of the future (NIEF) are analyzed. Its use as the base organizational-economic theory in exchange «economics» is proved. Core of researches in the field of the NIEF is forecasting of development of the future society and its economy, working out of organizational-economic methods and models, necessary for the future and intended for increase of efficiency of managerial processes. The economy is a science how to make, instead of, how to divide profit. The basic kernel of the modern economic theory is an engineering economy
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