Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Orlov Alexander Ivanovich

Scholastic degree




Academic rank

professor

Honorary rank

Organization, job position

Bauman Moscow State Technical University
   

Web site url

Email

prof-orlov@mail.ru


Articles count: 155

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262 kb

THE APPROACHES TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZATIONAL-ECONOMIC SUPPORT FOR CONTROL PROBLEMS IN THE AEROSPACE INDUSTRY

abstract 0991405005 issue 99 pp. 73 – 100 30.05.2014 ru 1512
For strategic and operational management tasks in the aerospace industry we use a variety of organizational-economic models and methods. Their set is called an organizational-economic support. In this article we discuss the approaches to the development of adequate organizational-economic support in the aerospace industry. In particular, we consider the problems of estimation of the effectiveness and management of innovation-investment projects to create aviation and space technology
264 kb

NONPARAMETRIC AND APPLIED STATISTICS IN OUR COUNTRY

abstract 1011407012 issue 101 pp. 197 – 226 30.09.2014 ru 1522
We continue the series of articles about the history of statistics. We discuss the development of nonparametric and applied statistics in our country in 1930 - 1980 years. We have presented the studies of the great statisticians of the twentieth century, such as N.V. Smirnov, L.N. Bolshev, V.V. Nalimov. American statistics show Russian debate about applied statistics. We have briefly listed the process of creation of the All-Union Statistical Association (1990) and its further developments
222 kb

NEW PARADIGM OF ANALYSIS OF STATISTICAL AND EXPERT DATA IN PROBLEMS OF ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT

abstract 0981404008 issue 98 pp. 103 – 123 30.04.2014 ru 1542
The article is devoted to the methods of analysis of statistical and expert data in problems of economics and management that are discussed in the framework of scientific specialization "Mathematical methods of economy", including organizational-economic and economic-mathematical modeling, econometrics and statistics, as well as economic aspects of decision theory, systems analysis, cybernetics, operations research. The main provisions of the new paradigm of this scientific and practical field are developed by the author of this article in the 1980s during the creation of the All-Union Statistical Association. The new paradigm is compared with the old (corresponding to the middle of XX century). Is summarized monographs, textbooks and manuals prepared under the leadership of the author of this paper in the XXI century according to the new paradigm
1123 kb

SYSTEM FUZZY INTERVAL MATHEMATICS - A PROMISING AREA OF THEORETICAL AND COMPUTATIONAL MATHEMATICS

abstract 0911307015 issue 91 pp. 258 – 310 30.09.2013 ru 1551
The article b riefly considers the prospects of some “points of growth” in the modern theoretical and computational mathematics: the numbers and sets, i.e. the base of modern mathematics; mathematical, pragmatic and computer numbers; from the usual sets - to unclear; the theory of fuzzy sets and “fuzzy dou-bling” of mathematics; the mix of fuzzy set theory to the theory of random sets; interval numbers as a spe-cial case of fuzzy sets; development of interval mathematics (interval doubling of mathematics); the system as a generalization of a multitude; the systematic generalization of mathematics and tasks emerging; the systematic generalization of operations on sets (on the example of the operation of the Boolean association); the systematic generalization of the concept of functions and functional dependencies participation; cognitive function; the matrix of knowledge as fuzziness with an estimated degree of truth of showing data systems arguments on the system of values of the function; modification of the method of least squares for the approximation of cognitive functions; development of the idea of the systematic generalization of mathematics in the field of information theory – system emergent information theory; information measures of the level of consistency; ratios of emergence; direct and opposite, direct and indirect logical reasoning with an estimated level of truth; intellectual system of Eidos X++ as a toolkit that implements the ideas of system of a fuzzy interval sum of mathematics
209 kb

TWO-SAMPLE WILCOXON TEST - ANALYSIS OF TWO MYTHS

abstract 1041410006 issue 104 pp. 96 – 116 30.12.2014 ru 1563
It was established that the two-sample Wilcoxon test (Mann-Whitney test) was designed to test the hypothesis H0: P(X
245 kb

FUZZY SETS THEORY AS THE PART OF PROBABILITY THEORY

abstract 0921308039 issue 92 pp. 590 – 618 31.10.2013 ru 1572
One of the key provisions of the system fuzzy interval mathematics - the claim that the theory of fuzzy sets is the part of the theory of random sets, thus, part of the probability theory. The article is devoted to the justification of this statement. Proved number of theorems that show that the fuzzy sets and the results of operations on them can be viewed as the projections of random sets and the results of the corresponding operations on them
133 kb

DO WE ALWAYS NEED A SUPPLIER’S QUALITY CONTROL?

abstract 0961402070 issue 96 pp. 974 – 987 28.02.2014 ru 1580
The higher the level of quality achieved, the greater the control size - this is the paradox of the classical theory of statistical control. A possible way out is to move to the technical policy based on economic characteristics. Shifting control to the consumer may be economically profitable. We have considered two variants of technical policy - increasing lot size and replacing defective product units at the consumer
284 kb

METHODOLOGY OF CONTROL PROCESSES MODELING IN SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

abstract 1011407011 issue 101 pp. 166 – 196 30.09.2014 ru 1584
The article introduces the basic concepts of control theory. It has also noted the multicriteriality of real control problems. After reviewing the basic concepts of the theory of modeling we have analyzed postwar history and current status of mathematical modeling of control processes. We have also discussed the modeling methodology. As an example of a real model of the management process we have considered a model of allocation of time between the acquisition of knowledge and development of skills
296 kb

A NEW APPROACH TO THE STUDY OF THE STABILITY OF CONCLUSIONS IN THE MATHEMATICAL MODELS

abstract 1001406001 issue 100 pp. 1 – 30 30.06.2014 ru 1667
We have proposed the general scheme for studying the stability of the conclusions obtained by mathematical methods and models regarding tolerance deviations of the original data and background models. The concrete problems of stability are discussed: towards a change of data, its size and distributions, to allowable transformations measurement scales, to the temporal characteristics (time of start of the project, the planning horizon). Reducing the uncertainty can be conducted by changing the type of data, i.e. with the aid of the transition to non-numerical data. The models of concrete management processes of industrial organizations are considered on the examples of stability characteristics of investment projects to change the discount factors and in models of inventory management to change in the coefficients of the model and batch size production
254 kb

THE PROBLEMS OF METHODOLOGY OF PUBLIC POLICY AND MANAGEMENT IN NON-FORMAL INFORMATIONAL ECONOMY OF THE FUTURE

abstract 0881304041 issue 88 pp. 593 – 619 30.04.2013 ru 1679
The basic ideas of non-formal informational economy of the future (NIEF) are analyzed. Its use as the base organizational-economic theory in exchange «economics» is proved. Core of researches in the field of the NIEF is forecasting of development of the future society and its economy, working out of organizational-economic methods and models, necessary for the future and intended for increase of efficiency of managerial processes. The economy is a science how to make, instead of, how to divide profit. The basic kernel of the modern economic theory is an engineering economy
.