Scientific Journal of KubSAU

The article discusses the use of machine learning methods and fuzzy production systems for studying the social and economic development of urban districts, areas and settlements of the Krasnodar region. The fundamental patterns and their connection with quantitative and qualitative indicators are considered

The article provides a comparative analysis of assessments of the socio-economic development of the Krasnodar region from such well-known rating agencies as Standard & Poors, Moody’s, Fitch Ratings, which belong to the United States of America. The studied ratings are compared with the ratings of the national agency of the Russian Federation called “Expert RA”. The values of the established ratings are examined, as well as number of possible reasons why the ratings of the United States of America differ from the ratings of the Russian Federation, for example, economic and political reasons, and, subsequently, how these ratings affect the investment attractiveness of the Krasnodar region. The article explains positive and negative aspects of the integrated methodology used by international rating agencies, consisting of software and expert opinion, the level of access to it for study and analysis. We study another (local) source of information on the investment attractiveness of the Krasnodar region, which is a state institution, namely the Department of Investments and Development of Small and Medium Enterprises of the Krasnodar region. Options are proposed for improving the system of analysis of statistical data through methods that are based on a clear mathematical approach to provide an adequate assessment of the region and municipalities without the influence of subjective expert opinion

This article is devoted to rating assessment of the socio-economic situation of the Krasnodar region, presented by such agencies as "RAEKS-Analytics", "Expert RA" and "National Rating Agency". The methodologies used by these agencies were studied and analyzed. A comparison of these methodologies was also conducted. As a result, a number of their shortcomings were identified, including the lack of a complete methodological model in the public domain. Some agencies do not provide links to statistics that are used in the analysis. In the article using the STATISTICA environment, a statistical analysis of data reflecting the level of socio-economic situation of the Krasnodar region is carried out. Based on the work [12], the article created a discriminant model for assessing the socio-economic development of urban districts of the Krasnodar region with a confidence of 85%. The study conducted a cluster, discriminant, classification (decision trees), coefficient (proposed by the authors) based on the data of the Federal State Statistics website for the period from 2009 to 2018 in the city districts: Krasnodar, Anapa, Armavir, Gelendzhik, Goryachiy Klyuch, Novorossiysk Sochi. During the study, analyzes such as cluster and classification trees showed poor results, since they are not able to detect latent nonlinear relationships between the study indicators. Using the constructed discriminant model, we have carried out an analysis of the socio-economic development of urban districts of the Krasnodar region for the period 2009-2018, which allows us to identify the leaders and the outsiders

The article presents ways to estimate the socio-economic condition of the subjects of the Russian Federation using fuzzy production systems, discriminant analysis and neural networks. This study is based on the thirteen indicators of the socio-economic condition of the regions of the Russian Federation identified by RIA Rating rating agency. The goal of the work is to develop a software package combining the estimation methods above and allowing to get three alternative estimation options for a subject of the Russian Federation, using these thirteen indicators. The developed program assigns each region an estimation from the following set: AAA– the highest socio-economic condition, AA - very high, A– high, BBB– above average, BB– average, B– below average, CCC– low, CC– very low, C– the lowest indicators of the socio-economic conditions in the region of the Russian Federation. The software package is developed in Matlab and has an intuitive interface. The results can be used as an alternative to current methods of estimation of the socio-economic indicators

This article is devoted to a problem of effective management of a financial and economic condition of companies on the example of the enterprises of oil products supply. We consider questions of support of adoption of management decisions which concern stabilization of a financial condition of the company and as a result of decrease in financial risks. The article also provides a description of the program complex called FESP_ON developed by the authors allowing to carry out the profound complex assessment of a financial and economic condition of Societies of oil products supply

An analysis of the experimental data obtained by the authors, as well as reference books, allowed to hypothesize about the essential role of gravitational convection in electromembrane systems with ampholytes even in underlimiting current regimes. The article is devoted to the development of the mathematical model of ion transport in a flow elecrtomembrane system during electrodialysis of ampholyte-containing solutions with taking into account a possible appearance of gravitational convection, in particular, due to nonisothermal protonation–deprotonation reactions of ampholytes. The article presents the boundary value problem that is the new mathematical model for diffusion, convection and electromigration of four components of the solution (ions of sodium, dihydrogen phosphate and hydrogen, as well as molecules of orthophosphoric acid) in a half of an electrodialysis desalination channel, adjacent to an anion-exchange membrane. The membrane is considered as ideally selective and homogeneous. The system of partial differential equations, that is the base of the model, also includes equations of Navier-Stokes, material balance, convective heat conduction and the electroneutrality condition. The system of equations is supplemented by a number of natural and original boundary conditions. A distinctive feature of this study is the absence of assumptions about the equilibrium of chemical reactions in a diffusion layer. The results of the study can be used for the development of environmentally rational and resource saving membrane technologies for a processing of products of agro-industrial complex

This work presents a new approach to the countries’ credit rating definition, based on the advanced mathematical models, such as neural network model, multiple regression, cluster analysis and discriminant analysis. A range of the analyses such as discriminant, cluster, multiple regression models and a neural network were performed on the following economic figures: GDP per capita, GDP value, annual growth rate of GDP, FDI - foreign investment, rate of unemployment, consumer price inflation index, the size of government debt in percentage of GDP. The results, obtained for each model were combined in the countries’ credit rating estimation system called "7M"

The influence of dissociation / recombination of water molecules is important for understanding electroconvection processes, as some authors believe that the emergence of new carriers + H and − OH , and can lead to a reduction in the space-charge and, consequently, to electroconvection disappearance. However, as shown in [5], the dissociation of water molecules, although it reduces the space charge and increases the threshold fall potential jump at which begins electroconvection, yet it persists and effectively mixes the solution. This article is devoted to mathematical modeling of electrodiffusion of four types of ions at the same time (two salt ions as well as + H and − OH ions) in the diffusion layer in electromembrane systems with perfectly selective membrane under the joint influence of violation of electrical neutrality, and the reaction of dissociation / recombination of water molecules, development of mathematical models of these processes, building efficient algorithms asymptotic and numerical analysis for different types of electrolytes. The work proposes a new mathematical model of the process of transfer of salt ions in view of the space charge and the dissociation / recombination of water in the form of a boundary value problem for a system of ordinary differential equations. This system is reduced to a form convenient for numerical solution. We have calculated the required additional boundary conditions for the electric field. Numerical and asymptotic solution of the boundary value problem and physico-chemical analysis of the influence of dissociation / recombination on the transfer of salt ions is expected to devote the next part of the work

This article is a continuation of the previous works of the authors [The influence of reaction dissociation / recombination of molecules of water on transportation of electrolyte 1:1 in the membrane systems in the diffusion layer. Part 1. Mathematical model // Scientific journal of Kuban State Agrarian University, 2016. No. 07(121) and The influence of the reaction of dissociation / recombination of molecules of water on transportation of electrolyte 1: 1 in membrane systems in the diffusion layer. Part 2. Asymptotic analysis // Scientific journal of Kuban State Agrarian University, 2016. – №08(122)] and devoted to assessing the possibility of gravitational convection due to the recombination of hydrogen and hydroxyl ions. The article presents the solution of a boundary-value problem, which is a mathematical model of electrodiffusion for the four types of ions at the same time (two ions of salts and hydrogen and hydroxyl ions) in the diffusion layer in electro-membrane systems with ideal selective membrane, with the heat transfer equation and the Navier-Stokes equation. The article shows the possibility of the emergence of gravitational convection due to the exothermic reaction of recombination of water molecules in the depth of the solution. The article considered the reaction of recombination of hydrogen ions and hydroxyl, although the main results can be applied, after appropriate modifications, and to amfolit-containing solutions, such as wine, juices, dairy products, microbiological processing of biomass (amino acids, anions of polybasic carboxylic acids), municipal effluent (anions of phosphoric acid), etc.

This article is devoted to the asymptotic analysis of boundary value problem for a system of equations of Nernst-Planck and Poisson for a singularly perturbed system of ordinary differential equations [1], based on two parameters. This boundary value problem simulates electrodiffusion of four kinds of ions at the same time in the diffusion layer in electro-membrane systems with perfectly selective membrane, taling into consideration the reaction of recombination of two ions. Meanwhile the other two ions represent ions of a binary salt. As a simple example, we consider the transport of ions sodium, chlorine, hydrogen and hydroxide, moreover, hydrogen and hydroxyl ions recombine in the diffusion layer. A more complex case is the transfer of the products of dissociation of the dihydrogen phosphate of sodium, namely, ions of sodium and dihydrogen phosphate, the latter dissociate at the interface, in turn, hydrogen ions and hydrogen phosphate. Thus, in the solution can simultaneously store three different types of ions: sodium, hydrogen, phosphate. During the transfer, hydrogen ions and ions of hydrogen phosphate recombine to produce phosphoric acid. The article has revealed the structure of the Nernst diffusion layer at currents above Harkatsa current. It is shown, that in the diffusion layer, there are two types of boundary layers: the inner (reaction) boundary layer and boundary layer at the interface solution / membrane