Name
Khrustalev Evgeny Yurievich
Scholastic degree
•
Academic rank
professor
Honorary rank
—
Organization, job position
Central Economics and Mathematics Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow
Web site url
—
—
Articles count: 39
Problems of formation and evaluation of the
feasibility of the plans and programs of development
of high-tech products aerospace are both relevant
and meaningful. To accelerate progress in the field
of production of innovative aviation technology we
have offered an improved method of program
planning, which has been extended with
comprehensive tools for identifying, assessing and
managing risks objectively exist in the field of
aeronautical engineering with a long life cycle. The
authors have reviewed the basis for the development
of plans and programs for the development of
modern aircraft, the basic stages of formation of
plans for its establishment; formulated
methodological principles for the definition to be
included in the work plans; built formalized
procedure to account risks arising from the
implementation of prepared plans. Practical use of
this new method and its tool for implementation will
improve the efficiency of the process of substitution
of imported aircraft equipment in the domestic
counterparts
Realization of the objects set in the Strategy of
innovative development of the Russian Federation
depends on the level of resource providing the projects
and programs entering it. In this work, types of
resources and a possibility of their effective use are
analyzed. Russia possesses practically all types of
natural resources and the labor potential necessary for a
country conclusion in leaders of world economy. The
problem consists in inefficient use of these resources,
which are distributed in the directions, deadlock for our
country. During the analysis which is carried out by
means of production function it is established that
return from investments into mining industry is much
lower, than from capital investments in the productions
which are turning out competitive, innovative products
with high value added. Important task is distribution of
resources in the priority directions of Strategy among
which there is no astronautics, of a nuclear power
engineering, aircraft, those branches where still there is
a scientific and technical reserve and there were
qualified personnel. The analysis of historical
experience showed that the country achieved the
greatest success in post-war years when command
methods carried out mobilization of all necessary
resources for achievement of a goal. In the modern
market conditions it is offered to finance the initial
stages of life cycle of innovative projects from public
funds, and on closing stages to raise funds from
investors by means of tools of public-private
partnership
The article shows that when the plans for the creation
and production of modern high-tech innovative
products for different purposes it is necessary to
consider all possible risks and dangers that accompany
modern innovative projects. New approaches to the
planning of the development of science-intensive
industries should ensure that the accounting and the
management of risk situations of the financialeconomic,
scientific-technical and industrialtechnological
character. One of the promising directions
of the domestic output of the industrial complex from
its current unstable state is a strategic planning and
forecasting of its activity, the development strategies
should be based on an evaluation of available enterprise
resources, the lack of which leads to stagnation. With
active government support the company can
successfully implement a strategy of stabilization and
progress through cooperation and diversification of
production and to make a technological breakthrough in
creating high-tech products of new generation
The analysis of social and economic development of
countries in the conditions of the globalization of the
world economy which is carried out with the use of
thermo-dynamical model showed that interaction of the
open economic systems standing on different levels of
development can lead to absorption or destruction of
one systems by others that finally will lead to "thermal
death" in economy (stagnation). The closed economic
systems can communicate with other countries by
means of international trade. Less developed countries
can't compete with industrially developed states and
will inevitably get under their influence. The isolated
economic systems can develop only in the presence of
domestic market, resources and rigid social structure.
Introduction of the anti-Russian sanctions and other
external factors led to restriction of the influence of the
foreign capital. Innovative activity in economy and
strengthening of government institutions might be
observed as a result. The thermo-dynamical model
shows that partial isolation of the developing economic
system possessing sufficient production and scientific
potential leads to stabilization of its structure and
growth of the innovative activity
The relevance of the theme of this article determines the fact that in modern conditions the sphere of housing and communal services, on the one hand, requires the immediate carrying out of complex modernization of communal infrastructure, and on the other hand, it has every reason to become a breakthrough for sustainable development of the domestic economy. The main elements of management in the sphere of housing and communal services the article defines the housing Fund, as well as many institutional agents engaged in its operation. It is established that housing and functioning municipal infrastructure have a significant physical and moral deterioration. Its presence negatively impacts on the quality provided to the population for consumption of housing services. We have identified the most significant factors and the degree of their influence on the development of innovative potential of the sphere of housing and communal services. The article substantiates the necessity of accounting these factors when developing economic and mathematical models for institutional agents of housing and communal services to make optimal decisions in conditions of uncertainty and enabling them to improve the quality of housing and communal services. Features of formation of economic-mathematical models were taken out of the scope of this article. We have defined a number of the most promising areas for carrying out of complex modernization of communal infrastructure of housing and communal services on the basis of introduction of new economic mechanisms, economic-mathematical models and instrumental methods that increase the quality of housing and communal services
Based on risk analysis and consequences of the
accidents which have happened to the space equipment
from the moment of the beginning of an active phase of
space activity, the authors have come to a conclusion
that initial stages of life cycle of the project, namely
start and a conclusion to an orbit of artificial Earth
satellites are subject to the greatest risks. Further
functioning of the spacecraft in an orbit is accompanied
by much smaller risks, and the least risky are works on
service of land infrastructure, processing and
information transfer to consumers. Methods of
economic protection, which provide acceptance or
transfer for a certain payment of risks are not always
acceptable for an initial stage of the space project – start
and removal into a satellite orbit. Authors suggest
evading whenever possible from similar risks for what
it is necessary to reduce starts for the benefit of foreign
customers. The research of structure of the world space
market has shown that such kinds of activity as
production of land space infrastructure and rendering
services of satellite communication and broadcasting
are the most demanded. The market of starting services
is gradually reduced in connection with miniaturization
of the equipment of satellites and high specific risks of
start. The policy of Roskosmos is focused generally on
preservation of leadership in starting services which
differ in high risks, to the detriment of creation of own
satellite group capable to render a wide range of space
services to foreign partners. Change of reference points
of the strategy of development of the domestic spacerocket
industry towards highly profitable and least risky
types of space activity is offered
Influence of a foreign factor on innovative development
of the countries isn't unambiguous, for Russia the
foreign capital was rather limiting factor, than incentive
to development. The analysis of historical experience of
development of domestic science and equipment
showed that the maximum innovative activity of
economy was noted during the centralized science
funding and education. The most important for the
invention and opening which found the application in
domestic economy, were made times of the state control
of processes of development and introduction of new
types of production and technologies. As a result of the
retrospective analysis, it was revealed that innovative
processes in domestic economy in the period of
economic sanctions and restrictions especially become
more active. In this work, it is shown that the market
mechanisms providing free movement of technologies,
knowledge, scientists and experts have negative impact
on the developing national innovative system. Foreign
investments by means of which foreign corporations
exercise control over the domestic enterprises have
special impact on development and promote capital
outflow abroad. It is offered to toughen control of the
foreign capital within the current legislation and to
promote activation of an exchange of scientific and
technical information at the international level
The article examines the problems of innovative
development of various types of rocket and space
technology, created with use of high technologies,
industrial, scientific-technical and intellectual potentials.
The relevance of these issues due to the need of
modernization of the Russian economy in the long term.
In the course of the study using the mathematical tools
offered the important task of improving the scientific and
methodological framework intended for implementation
of innovative strategies in the field of space activities
that help to improve the degree of feasibility of plans and
programs to create high-tech products and services for
various purposes. The article analyzes the features of the
plans for the creation and production of advanced rocket
and space technology, their impact on the pace and
quality of exploration and use of outer space, which is
determined using a simulation model and applying
methods of program-targeted planning
The article examines the characteristics and the efficiency
of modern organizational and economic mechanisms
of the spread of high-tech technologies and products of
double application, identifying the most promising areas
of improvement and progressive development, is determined
by their role in attracting additional funding for
national and international innovative projects and programs
The article considers the problem of increasing the efficiency of budget expenditures due to the transfer of military technology to the civilian sector of the economy. An analysis of foreign experience has shown that private companies are widely involved in a number of states to solve some of the infrastructure problems in the military sphere. In the USA, private companies provide communications and provide other information services to state power structures, which makes it possible to develop private business on the one hand and save budget expenses on the other. An analysis of domestic experience has shown that the use of military technologies for the production of civilian products and services in some cases can significantly save time and other resources. A model for the interaction of civilian companies with the defense complex and a diffusion model of military technologies have been developed. The article proposes creation of new structures that solve the problems of adapting military technologies to the requirements of civilian customers, as well as a database of adapted technologies and a technical investment center that supports small and medium-sized enterprises in the acquisition of equipment and technical documentation. The authors believe that the approaches proposed in the article to solving the problem of technology transfer will stimulate innovative activity in the country, reduce import dependence and increase the efficiency of budget expenditures