Name
Baranovskaya Tatyana Petrovna
Scholastic degree
•
Academic rank
professor
Honorary rank
—
Organization, job position
Kuban State Agrarian University
Web site url
—
Articles count: 65
A diversified corporation is a highly complex multivariable dynamic system. The application of classical forecasting methods applied to such objects has encountered a number of difficulties, due to its economic nature. In the article, we substantiate the requirements to the forecasting method; on the basis of these requirements we can select the method and its software tool
This article reveals the outcomes of decomposition of management system of southern diversified corporation (UMK) by building-up of a tree of the purposes and functions of system and carrying out its cognitive analysis
The article describes the synthesis and verification of
statistical and system-cognitive models of the
influence of environmental factors on the quality of
life of the population of the region. This stage of the
ASC-analysis is performed in the system called
"Eidos". As a result, we have created and validated
(verification stage) all the specified systemic cognitive
models. It is expected that reliability for the models of
knowledge is sufficiently high for a given subject area,
that is why we can state the discovery of a dependence
of life expectancy and causes of death from
environmental conditions. Typically, knowledge
models are approximately 20% higher in accuracy than
statistical models, which operate on the principle of
positive pseudo-prediction. Making decisions based on
the model of Abs (matrix of absolute frequencies) is
not appropriate because of the different number of
instances of classes (generalized categories) and
dependence of the solutions of this amount. In the
model called Prc2 (conditional and unconditional
percentage distribution) the dependence of the model
values of the number of examples in classes has been
removed, but the accuracy of it is usually same low as
in the Abs. In addition, for decision-making based on
this model, one has to compare the values of
conditional and unconditional probabilities manually,
which is laborious and hardly possible for large
dimensional models. The knowledge model called
Inf3, based on a measure similar to the Chi-square, is
the result of the automated comparison of values of
conditional and unconditional probabilities presented
in the model of Prc1, which is similar to Prc2, and
usually has a fairly high accuracy, especially
considering the high complexity of the subject area,
which we simulated. Therefore, in accordance with the
technology of the ASC-analysis data conversion into
information, and afterwards - into knowledge, it is the
model of Inf3 which is planned to be used for the
solution of problems of identification, forecasting, decision-making and exploring the modeled subject
area, through the study of its models
The article presents the basic concepts, classification
of SCM systems and the field of application of this
management technology. The analysis of the
international and Russian market SCM-systems,
allowed us to choose the five most popular
alternative information systems of this class. For the
procedure of selection of the information system have
been developed criteria, oriented to the demands of
corporate integrated structures. For each criterion
there was determined a value coefficient. This stage
of research was carried out with the involvement of
heads of corporate integrated structures, experts in
the field of it and scientists of Kuban state agrarian
University. As a result of the assessment, we have
chosen an information system called "SAP SCM
EWM" with the highest number of points. The study
of the functional information system was carried out
by building a complex chart of precedents (the
modeling language UML, tool Microsoft Visual
Studio 2012). Generalization of experience of
consulting and analytical companies allowed to
allocate the main stages of implementation for SCM
systems and to develop recommendations for their
implementation. The study has practical value for the
integrated corporate structures from the standpoint of
managerial decision-making of choosing an
information system of type SCM and introducing it
into their operations
The article reveals the basic concepts, purpose and
classification of HRM systems used to manage the
organization's staff. The analysis of the international
and Russian market of HRM-systems and selected
alternatives (seven information systems) of this class
focused on the Russian practice of large and mediumsized
businesses has been performed. The process of
implementing an information system involves
selecting the system that best suited to the needs of the
business. For this purpose, there were developed
evaluation criteria of information systems and their
importance for the company. This stage of research
was conducted through a survey of experts from
among the University staff and practitioners. As a
result, we have obtained the matrix of evaluations of
alternative information systems of HRM and selected
class "1C: Salary and personnel management 8".
Research demos of the selected HRM system allowed
developing a functional model, presented in the form
of complex diagrams of cases of modeling language
UML 2.0. The developed diagrams clearly reflect the
allocated subsystems and their functions, as well as the
relationship between the actors of the process and
system functions. Summarizing the experience of
implementing similar systems, we composed a smartchart
showing the main stages of its implementation.
The results have practical value and can be used by
companies of the considered business segment as
specific recommendations
Application of classical forecasting methods applied to a diversified corporation faces some certain difficulties, due to its economic nature. Unlike other businesses, diversified corporations are characterized by multidimensional arrays of data with a high degree of distortion and fragmentation of the information due to the cumulative effect of the incompleteness and distortion of accounting information from its enterprises. Under these conditions, the applied methods and tools must have high resolution and to work effectively with large databases with incomplete information, to ensure correct common comparable quantitative processing of the heterogeneous nature of the factors measured in different units. It is therefore necessary to select or develop some methods that can work with poorly formalized complex tasks. This fact substantiates the relevance of the problem of developing models, methods and tools for solving the problem of forecasting the development of diversified corporations. This article compares methods of forecasting and encourages using the ask analysis which has a good theoretical justification for the meaningful interpretation of a knowledge model based on information theory; high accuracy and independence of calculation results of the unit of measurement baseline data through the use of not the correlation matrix, as in statistical systems, and matrices of knowledge. A well-developed and available Toolkit of the ASK-analysis which is an intellectual system called "Eidos" (created by E. V. Lutsenko, 1994) allows, on the basis of fragmented, noisy source data of various nature (numeric, text) to create models of large dimension. The ASK-analysis and the system of "Eidos" have been widely and successfully used in economics, engineering, agriculture, sociology and other fields. These features of the ASK-analysis have led to the fact that it was chosen as the method of forecasting of dynamics of indicators of the corporation
To increase the validity of conclusions about the impact of the environment on the quality of life we need to move from generalities to the application of quantitative modeling techniques. This requires the joint processing environmental databases and databases depicting various aspects of quality of life. These databases are needed to be handled not just together, but in a comparable form approach, including technology and methodology, and to be implemented in one software system. For the first time in the environmental studies, it has been planned to be done with the application of the ASK-analysis and the system called "Eidos". Previously, the authors have set the goals and the objectives of the application of the ASK-analysis to study the effect of environmental factors on the quality of life of the population of the region. The article reveals the urgency of this study; the requirements for the method of conducting the study, the choice of a research method; as well as the contents of the objectives of the study. The proposed work is at the edge of mathematical ecology and mathematical modeling of quality of life (which refers to mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics), resulting from expected synergies, consists in obtaining of new knowledge in these fields that is relevant to both ecology and economy. This knowledge will make it more meaningful and justified for the application of environmental criteria and concepts in the economy. This work contains a description of the basic data sources for the study of the impact of environmental factors on various aspects of quality of life of the region's population, the source data for this study, the characteristics of the original data, substantiation of requirements to the method of research, choosing research methods appropriate to requirements; the development of steps to achieve the objectives of the study
The article presents results of developing the template
architecture for an enterprise of public catering. As a
prototype for the template, we have selected the
restaurant called Phoenix. The development pattern of
architecture was based on the typical features of public
catering establishments described in the business
model. The main results of the study are: generalized
business model, built on the method developed by A.
Osterwalder, graphical layout of business processes,
implemented in the tool environment, All Fusion
Process Modeler (BPWin) and developed models of
decomposition of business processes, model business
event, the location of the model functions, integration
model, models, data architecture, class diagram,
application portfolio and technology infrastructure.
The architecture of a company of public catering may
serve as a template for other businesses whose
business model matches the business model of the
research object. We have developed a tree of
objectives and functions, the model of the enterprise,
the data architecture, technology infrastructure and
application portfolio are typical for the industry. The
results of the study have practical value and can be
used by the industry as at the design stage and
improvement
To increase the validity of conclusions about the impact of environment on quality of life we need to move from generalities to the application of quantitative modeling techniques. This requires the joint processing environmental databases and databases depicting various aspects of quality of life. These databases need to be handled not just together, but in a comparable form approach, technology and methodology; and we need to implement them in one software system. For the first time in the environmental studies it has been planned to be done with the application of the ASK- analysis and the system called "Eidos". In this work, we set the goals and the objectives of the application of the ASK-analysis to study the effect of environmental factors on the quality of life of the population of the region. The article reveals the urgency of this study; the requirements for the method of conducting the study, the choice of research method, the contents of the objectives of the study. The proposed work is at the edge of mathematical ecology and mathematical modeling of quality of life (which refers to mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics), resulting from expected synergies, consists in obtaining of new knowledge in these fields, that is relevant to both ecology and economy. This knowledge will make it more meaningful and justified for the application of environmental criteria and concepts in the economy
The article describes the structure and the example of
using automated subsystems, which can be used in
telecommunication companies for the most efficient
process of automation of office staff related to budget
planning, which includes monitoring and planning of
incomes, earned whereby customers of various
branches and segments. After analyzing the business
processes of the research object - groups of operational
planning of the Stavropol branch, as well as the evaluation
of existing approaches to solving the problem of
income planning, it was concluded that it’s necessary
to develop an automated subsystem. According to the
instructions of the corporate center, while planning the
budget, the staff must use a technique of planning and
control of budget revenues, implying a partition total
planned revenue for each branch income from different
segments, followed by separation of each group income
by services and articles, as well as a formulation
of the work plans for managers who deals with large
and small customers. The results can also be used to
make recommendations on the formulation of individual
plans for sale-managers, on further areas of cooperation
with customers, the MRB and the CC based on
the analysis and evaluation of divisions of the organization’s
KPI