Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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№ 153(9), November, 2019

Date issued: 29.11.2019

161 kb

MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVES IN SOLVING HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT PROBLEMS

abstract 1531909003 issue 153 pp. 19 – 32 29.11.2019 ru 236
Human resources have recently reasonably gained more and more importance. Today, along with material, intellectual, informational and financial resources, they affect the efficiency of enterprises and organizations. Competent assessment of human resources, a clear understanding of means of interaction with staff and developing human potential are the basis for the effective work of both human resources departments and organizations as a whole. The complexity of assessing human resources necessitates the development of a toolkit, the use of which will simplify it and ensure that one receives the most accurate advice and assistance in making management decisions. A promising direction for the implementation of the designated toolkit may be the development of a decision support system, within which, among other things, the possibility of a multi-criteria analysis of alternatives will be available. Due to the fact that there are no methods for multi-criteria analysis of alternatives intended solely for assessing human resources, it is necessary to conduct a thorough analysis, the main purpose of which is to identify the most suitable basis for further adaptation and development. After conducting preliminary studies, the TOPSIS, MAUT, AHP and ELECTRE methods were chosen as the most promising for solving the problem
312 kb

METHOD OF MIGRATION OF VIRTUAL LOADS FROM THE VMWARE VSPHERE VIRTUALIZATION PLATFORM TO THE MICROSOFT HYPER-V VIRTUALIZATION PLATFORM

abstract 1531909007 issue 153 pp. 75 – 89 29.11.2019 ru 195
The article discusses modern approaches to the implementation of the migration of virtual machines between different virtualization platforms. A comparative characteristic of virtual migration tools is given. Conclusions are drawn on the expediency of applying different approaches depending on the task facing migration and available resources. The author presents a technique for migrating virtual machines from VMware vSphere virtualization platform to Microsoft Hyper-V virtualization platform, which allows to increase the speed and reliability of the migration process and significantly save on operating costs of the company
194 kb

NEURO-FUZZY CONTROL MODEL OF AN INNOVATION-ACTIVE COMPANY MANAGEMENT

abstract 1531909009 issue 153 pp. 96 – 111 29.11.2019 ru 176
The article discusses the concept and the principles of the organization of neuro-fuzzy management of an innovation-active enterprise based on intelligent technologies and high-performance computing tools. The developed information model provides operational control of the current situations caused by innovations in the complex dynamic conditions of the changing market conditions. Particular attention is paid to solving the problem of planning operations and developing management decisions when implementing the principle of competition in the face of uncertainty and incompleteness of the initial information. The developed software implementation of the fuzzy ranking of management solutions options is publicly available on ws-dss.com
187 kb

MODELING AND DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESEARCHER’S SYNERGIC INTERACTION WITH THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY

abstract 1531909024 issue 153 pp. 228 – 239 29.11.2019 ru 171
The article presents innovative models and methods to diagnose the researcher’s synergic interaction with the scientific community (social mega-environment). It is known that the researcher’s interaction with the social mega-environment has two main directions: scientific collaboration and using the scientific community’s social and cultural potential; the former appears as scientific publications, while the latter appears as scientific citations. It is also known that synergic interaction is the interaction leading to the increase in activity results (according to the “1+1>2” scheme). In the article, the researcher’s synergic interaction is understood as his/her collaboration-based research activity that leads to obtaining the results impossible without this interaction. The theoretical significance of the research results is in the possibility for the further development of the sociology of science, as well as for the further development of the models of the individual’s interaction with the social environment; the practical significance is in the possibility to analyze the factors contributing to the success in the research activity of academic researchers and research teams (i.e. applicable for monitoring the research activity)
340 kb

USING NEURAL NETWORKS FOR THE PROJECT TEAM SELECTION

abstract 1531909006 issue 153 pp. 66 – 74 29.11.2019 ru 145
The study was carried out with the financial support of the RHNF as part of the research project of the RFBR 17-02-00475-OGN "Application of metaheuristic algorithms for solving direct and inverse problems of optimizing the management of spatially distributed complexes"). The article considers the issue of automated selection of specialists for the project. It is proposed to use artificial neural networks as a decisive core of the system. We have considered several solutions to the problem with a basic version based on a cascade of two neural networks
897 kb

THE USE OF LINEAR CELLULAR AUTOMATON AS A FORECASTING TOOL FOR STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS AFFECTED BY VARIOUS FACTORS

abstract 1531909010 issue 153 pp. 112 – 121 29.11.2019 ru 171
In the process of formation of nonlinear dynamics, the scientific society was able to refute the classical mechanisms of Newton-Laplace by justifying the chaotic nature of the phenomena of the world. However, despite the emergence of new mathematical models and tools, forecasting of nonlinear systems is a difficult task, as not only the quantitative and qualitative characteristics of the factors affecting the system are unknown, but also there is a problem of a small amount of information for forecasting. In this article, the authors consider the linear cellular apparatus as a tool for prediction the final state, to which the system will come based only on its output indicators of previous years. Since the use of a linear cellular automaton for prediction of nonlinear systems is an assumption of the authors, it should be tested on the series of stochastic systems exposed to different risk factors, which together give either a positive response of the system or a negative one. An example of such series is the time series of yields, as it is affected by climatic conditions, the appearance of which, in turn, is also difficult to predict. Prediction of stochastic systems using linear cellular automaton really makes it possible to get adequate and visual models. Due to the fact that the forecast model has a discrepancy with the real result of 0-15% (both positive and negative), the conclusion is that the predicted value will help either to take measures to ensure that the real value in the future is not lower, or to make sure that the decisions and measures taken are correct, when a value is higher than the forecast
109 kb

MATHEMATICAL ESTIMATION OF THE PROBABILITY OF SYNCHRONIZATION OF THE PSP AT RIGID TIME LIMITATIONS

abstract 1531909008 issue 153 pp. 90 – 95 29.11.2019 ru 180
The purpose of this work is to estimate the probability of synchronization of the memory bandwidth during the initial synchronization occurrence in REB conditions, due to the time interval when the attacker did not begin to interfere
542 kb

METHODS OF CONSTRUCTING EFFICIENT ALGORITHMS BYPASSING BLOCKING ACCESS TO WEB-RESOURCES BASED ON HTTP TUNNELS

abstract 1531909025 issue 153 pp. 240 – 256 29.11.2019 ru 164
At present, the problems of blocking network traffic in computer networks, in particular, in the global Internet, are becoming increasingly topical. Understanding blocking mechanisms, opening new opportunities to circumvent such protection will give us, on the one hand, both new methods and methods of protection against unwanted blockages, and the vector of development of funds, in fact, stopping unwanted traffic, obstacles passing through network nodes. The article proposes an approach to effectively bypass access restrictions to websites based on HTTP tunneling with minimal costs, combined with the approach used in peer-to-peer networks. A description of the algorithm and its key features. A new approach has been introduced in the task of ensuring the accessibility of websites, which has several advantages and eliminates the disadvantages of existing solutions in the form of anonymous networks - the use of special node solutions and a strong dependence on the number of nodes in the anonymous network. The level of development of modern network infrastructure, the transition of society and most of human civilization to the information-network existence dictates new requirements for technical means of monitoring and analyzing network traffic. That, in turn, requires the development of new approaches to solving relevant problems
Physical Sciences and Engineering
296 kb

OPTIMIZATION OF PARAMETERS AND WORKING HOURS OF MILLING WORKING BODY OF THE UNIT FOR PROCESSING OF ROW-SPACINGS AND SPACE AROUND FRUIT PLANTINGS

abstract 1531909018 issue 153 pp. 168 – 178 29.11.2019 ru 600
For further increase in production of fruit products, there are long-term plans of development of agriculture of the Russian Federation provide laying of new gardens of intensive and superintensive types. In this regard, development of slope lands and their use under gardens is a current social and economic problem. In the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic there are over 10 thousand hectares of intensive and superintensive gardens now. Therefore, large corporations, as well as medium and small business are engaged in production of fruit. One of problems which producers of fruits face it is the shortage of the equipment on care of row-spacings and spaces around fruit plantings. The mechanized technologies of flat gardening are a little effective in the conditions of slopes where the main limiting factor is the soil fertility. At the same time, the issue of increase in fertility of the soil in space around fruit plantings, improvement of the water and food modes of fruit plantings on slope lands is particularly acute. Thus, improvement of technology and development of a new design of the unit, providing performance of several interconnected technological operations for processing of row-spacings and space around fruit plantings, preservation and increase in fertility of soils on slope lands is relevant in the conditions of mountain and foothill gardening Central the North Caucasus. As a result of the carried-out analysis of technological processing of row-spacings and space around fruit plantings and results of theoretical researches (as criterion of optimization) the quality of dyeing of the soil is accepted. Speed of movement of the unit, angular speed of rotation of a mill and the angle of installation of knives have the greatest impact on criterion of optimization. As a result of carrying out a multiple-factor experiment, we have established the optimum values of the specified factors providing the maximum quality of dyeing of the soil
Life Sciences
145 kb

INFLUENCE OF BASIC TREATMENT ON AGROPHYSICAL SOIL PROPERTIES IN CROPS OF WINTER BARLEY

abstract 1531909002 issue 153 pp. 8 – 18 29.11.2019 ru 556
The article presents the results of studies on the influence of the main tillage in the technology of cultivating winter barley on its agrophysical properties. The object of research was winter barley, sort Rubezh, the predecessor - winter wheat. Soil - heavy duty, low humus, typical leached chernozems. The studies were carried out in a stationary experiment on the basis of the experimental field of the Department of General and Irrigated Agriculture at KubSAU in accordance with generally accepted methods for experiments with grain crops. Scheme of experience (primary tillage): option 1 (A0) - dump plowing to a depth of 20-22 cm (control); option 2 (A1) - chisel for 20-22 cm; option 3 (A2) - disk peeling at 8-10 cm; option 4 (A3) - zero treatment (direct sowing). Based on the research, a general orientation is revealed in the technology of cultivating winter barley to reduce the agrophysical indicators of the soil throughout the growing season of the development of its plants while lowering the tension of its main processing. So, the density of the soil was minimal, and the structure and moisture of the soil, as well as the reserves of productive moisture were maximum on the option with dump plowing to a depth of 20-22 cm. Conducting deep loosening at the same depth (chiseling by 20-22 cm) somewhat worsened these parameters . Implementation of disk peeling in the main tillage (by 8-10 cm) contributed to the deterioration of these parameters. The option of zero tillage was in last place according to these indicators. And only before harvesting, zero tillage contributed to the formation of higher soil moisture and productive moisture reserves
938 kb

CURRENT STATE AND EFFICIENCY OF BLACK LEACHED SOILS OF WESTERN CAUCASUS

abstract 1531909005 issue 153 pp. 52 – 65 29.11.2019 ru 679
The article studies current state of fertility and productivity of leached chernozem used in the 11-field grain-grass-row crop rotation. Under the conditions of a stationary field experiment, a soil section was laid, a morphological description of the soil was carried out, its magnetic susceptibility χ was measured, soil samples were selected from soil-genetic horizons, in which the particle size distribution, physical and chemical parameters were determined. Studies have shown that leached chernozem is characterized by an addition density of 1.30 g/cm3, a solid phase density of 2.67 g/cm3, a total porosity of 51.9 %, χ = 1,045 × 10-3 units SI, pHwat. 6.5 units, humus content 3.2 %, its stock in the layer A + B = 468.2 t/ha, the sum of the exchange Ca2+ and Mg2+ 42.8 mg.eq./100 g. The use of mineral fertilizers increases the productivity of leached chernozem: the yield of sunflower of 11-field grain-grass-row cultivated crop rotation exceeds the control without fertilizers by 1.02-1.62 t/ha
239 kb

AGROBIOLOGICAL EVALUATION OF MID-SEASON LINES AND HYBRIDS OF MAIZE IN THE CENTRAL ZONE OF THE KRASNODAR REGION

abstract 1531909019 issue 153 pp. 179 – 191 29.11.2019 ru 563
This article presents the results of a study of new me-dium-ripe lines obtained using the donor line Kl7427 for reduced grain harvesting moisture. According to the results of this study, the lines recommended as a starting material for the selection of lines and hybrids of maize of the middle group of ripeness with low grain moisture at the time of harvesting without signif-icant loss of productivity were identified
1189 kb

GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT OF EARLY POTATOES DEPENDING ON THE BACKGROUND OF NUTRITION AND WAYS OF USING THE GROWTH STIMULANT BERKE MR. IN THE CONDITIONS OF SOUTHERN KYRGYZSTAN

abstract 1531909020 issue 153 pp. 192 – 201 29.11.2019 ru 257
In southern Kyrgyzstan, the growth and development of early potatoes has been studied, depending on nutrition background and the methods of growth stimulant Bereke GN, aiming to improve the yield and quality of potatoes. There were no scientific studies on growth stimulants impacts on potatoes, the productivity of early potatoes in southern Kyrgyzstan conducted. Field experiments were carried out on the experimental site of the Osh Technological University in the Kyrgyz Republic Osh region Aravan district Mangyt village in 2016-2018. In case of increasing the nutrition background, in terms of experiments on methods of using the growth stimulant Bereke GN in the phases of development of early potato plants, natural differences in variants were observed. Increased duration of interfacial periods is detected in increased power supply background. In all years of experiments in the variant complex application of growth stimulator, respectively increased nutrition backgrounds, green, thick and strong sprouts of 1.5-2.1mm length were formed. As well as complex use of growth stimulant contributed to accelerated emergence of sprouts. According to the results of our research, we have identified the dependence of plant preservation on harvesting from the application of fertilizers and the method of use of growth stimulant. Consequently, with the complex application of Bereke GN growth stimulant to early potato crops, there was an increase in the number of preserved plants for early potato harvesting by 0.7-1.6%, with seed tuber growth stimulant treatment by 0.3-0.6%, and with leaf spraying by 0.1-0.3%
162 kb

TECHNOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF SOIL DEPLOYMENT

abstract 1531909021 issue 153 pp. 202 – 210 29.11.2019 ru 164
The article presents the results of research on the impact of tillage technologies on the value of its density in the cultivation of winter wheat in conditions of insufficient and unstable wetting of the south of Russia. Experimental studies were carried out in the conditions of a long-term stationary experiment with a four-field crop rotation with different variants of tillage (dump, layer-by-layer, small, surface). The soil density was fixed at spring tillering of winter wheat and at the end of the growing season. Conducted analysis of variance shows that the soil has relaxation abilities, i.e. over time, it restores its properties by compaction ability, since studies conducted during the period of tillering of winter wheat show that Ffact. Ftable. (5,794,76), i.e. methods of treatment have an impact on soil compaction, which cannot be said for the case at the end of the growing season of winter wheat. The ability to restore its properties is a remarkable property of the soil, as it prevents them from over-compaction. The energy intensity of the compacted soil treatment increases to 30%, while the degree of crumbling is significantly reduced and its lumpiness increases. The most fundamental way to reduce the density of the soil is its timely loosening by working bodies of agricultural tools. Tillage methods affect soil density, the correlation coefficient between tillage methods and soil density varies between 0,929-0,979. The most radical way of soil decompression is exposure to it by a certain type of working bodies
227 kb

ECONOMIC AND QUALITATIVE INDICATORS OF EARLY POTATO HARVEST DEPENDING ON THE NUTRITION BACKGROUND AND WAYS OF USING BEREKE GN GROWTH STIMULANT IN CONDITIONS OF SOUTHERN KYRGYZSTAN

abstract 1531909027 issue 153 pp. 271 – 280 29.11.2019 ru 252
This article presents the results of studies on the influence of the fertilizer application rate and methods of using Bereke GN growth stimulant on the biochemical and economic indicators of early potato harvest in southern Kyrgyzstan. Due to the lack of scientific data of complex use of fertilizers and growth-stimulators in the conditions of the Southern Kyrgyzstan, we considered it necessary to specify ways and rates of application of a growth stimulator Bereke GN by production of early potatoes in plain zones on typical gray soils. In the conditions of the South of Kyrgyzstan similar researches in the production technology of early potatoes are conducted for the first time. Field experiments are made on a plot of the Osh technology university in the Kyrgyz Republic Osh region Aravan district Mangyt village in 2016-2018. Complex use of a growth stimulator Bereke GN on crops of early potatoes in a growing season promoted increase in accumulation of starch in potatoes tubers. The analysis of these experiences shows that in options on routes of administration of a growth regulator Bereke GN accumulation of vitamin "C" in tubers in all three years of carrying out researches not considerably raised and averaged 15.98-16.66 mg of %. Concentration of nitrates in tubers of early potatoes, in the conducted researches did not exceed the number of maximum allowable concentration. Economic effect showed, experience option complex uses of a growth-promoting factor of Bereke GN. Therefore, at the same time high net income – 199.18 thousand som/hectare is gained, and profitability equaled 124.13%
418 kb

INFLUENCE OF ABIOTIC FACTORS ON THE FORMATION OF COMMERCIAL APPLE CROPES AND WAYS OF ITS OPTIMIZATION IN THE SOUTH OF EUROPEAN PART OF RUSSIA

abstract 1531909029 issue 153 pp. 294 – 305 29.11.2019 ru 378
The work is devoted to studying the nature of the influence of individual abiotic factors of the southern territories of Russia on the features of the formation of an economic apple yield in adjacent years and the justification of the possibility of adjusting the course of this process in adverse environmental conditions. The studies were carried out in 2018-2019, which are distinguished by the manifestation of weather anomalies in the summer-autumn period. Field experiments were performed at the farms of the Kuban horticultural zone on soils suitable for planting fruit stands: leached and typical chernozems. The features of the development of plants of apple trees of winter varieties Kuban crimson and Fuji on the stock M9 were studied. In the experiments, an option is provided using foliar treatment of plants with Pomaset fertilizer. The effectiveness of the formation of the economic apple crop depends on the biological characteristics of the used pomological variety, as well as the temperature and moisture conditions during the growing season of the plants. Soil conditions do not significantly affect the course of this process. The probability of losing the potential apple crop at the XII stage of organogenesis (pre-harvest decay) under the influence of abiotic summer stressors: high air temperatures and water deficiency is noted. With the manifestation of extremely high air temperatures in late summer and during the autumn months, a significant increase in the duration of vegetation of various (especially strong-growing) apple varieties was recorded, causing a shift in the process of differentiation of generative buds (stages III-IV of organogenesis) to a later date, and, as a result, - decrease in potential plant productivity in the next season. With the manifestation of abnormal weather conditions, the prospects of foliar treatment of trees in the second half of the growing season with Pomaset fertilizer, which optimizes the fruiting of the apple tree in adjacent years, are shown. At the same time, the fruit yield in the current year is increasing by 9-14%, and in the next season - by 7-10% in comparison with the control values
2377 kb

PROSPECTS FOR GROWING RUSSIAN LILAC CULTIVARS (SYRINGA VULGARIS L.) IN FINLAND

abstract 1531909030 issue 153 pp. 306 – 314 29.11.2019 ru 261
Common lilac (Syringa vulgaris L.), is one of the most essential landscape plants throughout the whole cool and temperate region and also in Finland very popular and traditional ornamental. The diversity of the lilacs available for research use and growth in Finland could be broadened by introducing Russian winter hardy cultivars to Finland. Their winter hardiness and survival in the Finnish climate has to be studied in order to proceed to using Russian cultivars in the Finnish climate. Lilacs that grow at the Central Siberian Botanical Garden Siberian Branche of the Russian Academy of Sciences at Novosibirsk were introduced to Finland within the framework of the collaborative project in 2012. Currently, the collection of Syringa vulgaris in CSBG SB RAS has 26 cultivars of 116 tested ones, most resistant to the conditions of Novosibirsk city. In project “Syreenimaja” (2016-2018) small scale plantations with Russian lilac cultivars were made at several locations in Finland and the freezing tolerance of the cultivars was tested. The survival and growth of the lilac plants in these plantings in landscape gardening areas in old gardens is being observed. The lilac plants are still young and have not been flowering broadly. The preliminary results have shown that the Russian lilacs have potential to grow in Finland, but at least cultivar ‘Daphna’ has suffered from winter injuries. Descriptions of 10 tested lilac cultivars from the collection of the CSBG SB RAS are given
Life Sciences
123 kb

MODERN ASPECTS OF DIAGNOSTICS AND TREATMENT OF DIABETES INSIPIDUS IN DOGS

abstract 1531909001 issue 153 pp. 1 – 7 29.11.2019 ru 607
Diabetes Insipidus is found in dogs and rarely in cats. The study of this disease is a hot topic today, as it is challenging for the veterinarian in the diagnosis of its patients. You must take into consideration and study of such diseases, as it is important to of differential them from other diseases. Special attention the doctor pays to the etiology, diagnosis, and most importantly, treatment. It is also important to inform pet owners about the timely prevention of this disease. It has several mechanisms of development, and this will depend on the treatment process of the patient. The development of the disease directly depends on the speed of "fading" of kidney function and how soon the animal will be helped. Completely cure pet yet possible, but therapy can support the required amount of hormone in the body, and the physical condition of the animal is normal. Diabetes Insipidus is a serious condition that requires proper attention. In the final stages of your pet there is shortness of breath, frequency of seizures increases. The animal begins to refuse food, the skin becomes dry, appear constipation and incontinence. If the animal will not be treated, then it can live for about one to two years, and then die from exhaustion, perhaps a pet will fall into a coma. Therefore, the veterinarian must correctly explain to the pet owners than to end their inaction, as well as to prepare them for the fact that the pet will constantly be required drugs
2430 kb

PROSPECTS FOR EXTENSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF URBAN TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE

abstract 1531909004 issue 153 pp. 33 – 51 29.11.2019 ru 192
The development of the city can go in two ways-extensive and intensive. Intensive involves a qualitative rethinking of the necessary work, optimization and improvement on the basis of existing infrastructure. An extensive method of development is an increase in physical volumes, for example, an increase in territories. At the moment, the transport system of the city of Krasnodar is extremely busy. The city occupies one of the first places in the number of vehicles, roads with such a traffic load cannot cope, resulting in numerous congestion on the roads. In addition, an average of 150 thousand cars enter the city every day, and this creates an additional burden on the transport system. In the morning there is a large influx of cars from the main entrances to the city. And in the evening there is no less strong loading points of entry into the city, as those who arrived in the morning leave the city. Information technology is designed to save our time and effort. At the same time, one of the problems that "eats" time is traffic jams. You can get from one place to another at one time, but subject to traffic jams, this time can increase several times. Why not use technical and software tools to solve this problem!? Now almost everyone has a smartphone, with a satnav loaded into it. There are many variations of these navigators with approximately the same functionality. But what if the satnav in your smartphone not only chose the shortest path for you, but also helped in unloading traffic throughout the city, reducing traffic congestion to a minimum?
135 kb

ASSESSMENT OF ECONOMIC AND OPERATIONAL RELIABILITY OF BUILDING STRUCTURES BASED ON THE STUDY OF WAVE CHARACTERISTICS OF NONLINEAR VISCOELASTIC ROD ELEMENTS OF STRUCTURES

abstract 1531909011 issue 153 pp. 122 – 131 29.11.2019 ru 186
In on-land and underground structures, machines and mechanisms, in many cases, we use rod structural elements made of viscoelastic materials. One of the methods for studying the strength characteristics of rods is the experimental measurement of the velocity of propagation of deformation waves in them and comparing it with theoretically accurate values of the velocity, determined taking into account the real physical and mechanical properties of the material. This comparison allows us to analyze the presence of microdefects in the rods. To assess the economic and operational reliability of building structures using mathematical modeling, we study the characteristics of nonlinear wave processes in viscoelastic rods, which can be used to improve the acoustic diagnostics of material microdefects
4952 kb

INFORMATIONAL AND COGNITIVE TECHNOLOGIES IN THE QUALITY OF LIFE MANAGEMENT THROUGH THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR INVESTMENT: THE SOLUTION OF STUDYING SUBJECT AREA TASK

abstract 1531909014 issue 153 pp. 132 – 142 29.11.2019 ru 227
This work is devoted to revealing some opportunities of the research of a subject to modeling by a research of its model given by the ASC-analysis and the Eidos system
2563 kb

SYSTEM-COGNITIVE STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE NOMENCLATURE AND VOLUME OF PRODUCTS SOLD ON THE PROFIT AND PROFITABILITY OF THE TRADING COMPANY

abstract 1531909015 issue 153 pp. 143 – 153 29.11.2019 ru 185
In previous works, the authors solved the problem of cognitive structuring and formalization of the subject area, synthesis and verification of system-cognitive models, predicting the impact of nomenclature and sales volumes on the profit and profitability of the trading company, decision support for the selection of such nomenclature and sales volumes, which cause a given target profit and profitability of the company. This work is devoted to the study of the simulated subject area by studying its SC-model
263 kb

USING THE ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF OPEN SYSTEMS FOR ESTIMATING INVESTMENTS INFLUENCE ON THE RESULTS OF AGRICULTURE ACTIVITY (PART 1)

abstract 1531909017 issue 153 pp. 154 – 167 29.11.2019 ru 182
We use an adaptive management system for open systems to assess the impact of investments on the results of the Agro-industrial complex
183 kb

CHARACTERIZATION OF MODELS WITH DISCOUNTING

abstract 1531909022 issue 153 pp. 211 – 227 29.11.2019 ru 176
Among the widely used economic-mathematical models, dynamic programming plays an important role, and among them, models with discounting. The most famous example is the model for calculating the net present value (NPV) as an estimate of the efficiency of the investment project. In the article, it is clarified which features are distinguished by models with discounting among all models of dynamic programming. In models with discounting, the comparison of plans does not change when the time of the beginning of the implementation of plans changes, ie. there is a stability of the results of comparing plans. It is proved that if the results of comparing plans for 1 and 2 steps are stable in the dynamic programming model, then this model is a model with discounting. This theorem shows that the introduction of discounted functions for the estimation of the effect is justified only in stable economic conditions in which the orderliness of managerial decisions does not change from year to year. In other words, if at the beginning of the period under consideration the first solution is better than the second, then at all other times, up to the end of the period under consideration, the first solution is better than the second. Stable economic conditions are rarely found in the modern economy with its constant changes, including those caused by innovations. Therefore, the decision to choose (to implement) an investment project from a set of possible ones can not be based solely on the calculation of discounted project performance indicators, such as net present value and internal rate of return. Such indicators can only play a supporting role. Decide on the choice of an investment project for implementation is necessary on the basis of the whole range of social, technological, environmental, economic, political factors
277 kb

STRATEGY OF RETRO INNOVATIONS IN IMPORT SUBSTITUTION

abstract 1531909026 issue 153 pp. 257 – 270 29.11.2019 ru 201
Unfavorable changes in exchange rates, sanctions restrictions on the supply to Russia of spare parts necessary for the repair and maintenance of previously imported equipment have led to a significant reduction in the service life of imported machinery and equipment. For the solution, the authors propose to implement the strategy of retro-innovations providing the development of new technologies maintaining in working condition of machinery and equipment in conditions of shortage of spare parts and consumables. To do this, it is necessary to develop technologies for the restoration of complex technical devices in order to extend their service life under the restrictions created by the financial market and sanctions policy. The study of the problem was carried out on the example of the operation of trucks of foreign production, the evaluation of engine life and analyzed the structure of the market. On the basis of the obtained results, a model was proposed, on the basis of which it is possible to form a plan for the production of spare parts for high-quality engine repair by domestic enterprises. The strategy of retro-innovations does not solve all the problems of import substitution, but it allows to increase the level of economic security of strategically important economic activities, it creates jobs and provides an opportunity to significantly extend the life of expensive and complex technical devices
751 kb

USING METHODS OF MACHINE LEARNING AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR THE ANALYSIS OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF URBAN DISTRICTS, AREAS AND SETTLEMENTS OF THE KRASNODAR REGION

abstract 1531909028 issue 153 pp. 281 – 293 29.11.2019 ru 157
The article discusses the use of machine learning methods and fuzzy production systems for studying the social and economic development of urban districts, areas and settlements of the Krasnodar region. The fundamental patterns and their connection with quantitative and qualitative indicators are considered
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