Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
AGRIS logo UlrichsWeb logo DOAJ logo

Name

Cherednychenko Natalia Alekseevna

Scholastic degree

Academic rank

Honorary rank

Organization, job position

Kuban State Agrarian University
   

Web site url

Email


Articles count: 4

Sort by: Date Title Views
5140 kb

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION FOR THE CALIFORNIA'S SAN ANDREAS SPLIT USING AUTOMATIC SYSTEM COGNITIVE ANALYSIS

abstract 0911307093 issue 91 pp. 1310 – 1365 30.09.2013 ru 1766
On the basis of local semantic information of the models of California the dependence of parameters seismic activity on the position of the space objects has been investigated and the model of short-term earthquake prediction has been created. The formal criteria of astronomical parameters of high informative value in the preparation and implementation of earthquakes have been established. On the example of semantic models, we have developed criteria for seismic hazard zones for individual study of the region of California 2x2 degrees of longitude and latitude with regard to the intended depth of the hypo-center and magnitude of possible earthquakes
2215 kb

PREDICTING GLOBAL CLIMATIC ANOMALIES SUCH AS EL NINO AND LA NINA BY USING ASC-ANALYSIS WITH AIDOS-X ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE SYSTEM

abstract 1051501007 issue 105 pp. 128 – 160 30.01.2015 ru 779
A number of information and semantic models has been developed using artificial intelligence system AIDOS-X. The similarity between the movement of the elements of the lunar orbit and the dynamics of the instantaneous pole of the Earth, as well as violations of the global atmospheric circulation and water, leading to the emergence of episodes of El Niño and La Niña are justified. We have explored a possibility of semantic information models equatorial regions of the Pacific for prediction of global climatic disturbances in the tropical latitudes. We made a forecast about breaking of global ocean circulation, or the occurrence of El Niño episode of the classical type in 2015
2759 kb

SIMULATING AND PREDICTING GLOBAL CLIMATIC ANOMALIES SUCH AS EL NINO AND LA NINA

abstract 1101506102 issue 110 pp. 1546 – 1578 30.06.2015 ru 892
The paper discusses the modeling and prediction of the climate of our planet with the use of artificial intelligence AIDOS-X. We have developed a number of semantic information models, demonstrating the presence of the elements of similarity between the motion of the lunar orbit and the displacement of the instantaneous pole of the Earth. It was found that the movement of the poles of the Earth leading to the variations in the magnetic field, seismic events, as well as violations of the global atmospheric circulation and water, and particular to the emergence of episodes such as El Niño and La Niña. Through semantic information models studied some equatorial regions of the Pacific Ocean, as well as spatial patterns of temperate latitudes, revealed their relative importance for the prediction of global climatic disturbances in the tropical and temperate latitudes. The reasons of occurrence of El Niño Modoki and their relationship with the movement of elements of the lunar orbit in the long-term cycles are established. Earlier, we had made a forecast of the occurrence of El Niño episode in 2015. Based on the analysis of semantic models concluded that the expected El Niño classical type. On the basis of the prediction block AIDOS-X calculated monthly evolution scenario of global climate anomalies. In this paper, the analysis of the actual implementation forecast of El Niño since its publication in January 2015 - before June 2015. It is shown that the predicted scenario of climatic anomalies actually realized. Calculations of future climate scenarios with system «Aidos-X» recognition module indicate that further possible abnormal excess temperature indicators of surface ocean waters in regions Nino 1,2 and Nino3,4 for 2015 may be comparable with similar abnormalities in the catastrophic El Niño of 1997-1998.
1876 kb

SIMULATION OF EARTH'S POLES DYNAMICS USING ASK-ANALYSIS

abstract 0991405010 issue 99 pp. 149 – 188 30.05.2014 ru 876
Based on local semantic information models, we have examined the dependence of the dynamics of the displacement of the pole positions of celestial objects. We have also developed and differentiated an analysis of ASK-pole modeling of dynamics within sixty-year cycles of reference points and substantiated reasons for the population inversion and singular states in the dynamics of the pole
.