Name
Loyko Valeriy Ivanovich
Scholastic degree
•
Academic rank
professor
Honorary rank
—
Organization, job position
Kuban State Agrarian University
Web site url
—
Articles count: 147
In this article, in accordance with the methodology of SC analysis, we consider particular implementation stages of the synthesis of the numerical model and its analysis. We have also presented the results of the determination of the different states of the processing complex function of various factors on these states and their classification, as well as semantic networks and cognitive class diagrams and factors. On the basis of the analysis we made specific findings and recommendations for decision making at the management level of the region. After execution of the stages of cognitive structuring and formalization of the subject area the further stages of automated SC analysis have been accomplished, the first of which is the phase of the input database of precedents. All these steps are performed directly using "Eidos" universal cognitive analytical system
Schemes of informational, monetary and material flows IPS SP were worked out on the base of analysis of sugar sub complex, and structure of purposes
and functions of management system of IPS SP based on the method , which takes into account
the surrounding medium and purposes, was created as well.
In the article, the problem of agribusiness industry control is stated, the purposes of control and measure of its success, and also composition of the computerised management system, including control object, controlling system, informational-measuring system and also a subsystem of rendering of corrective actions are considered. What is offered: 1) the control purpose is to consider a raise of quality level of life of the population of region; 2) the capacity of measure of success of control is to consider indexes of quality level of life of the population; 3) numbers and direction of investments can be used as the controlling factor; 4) synthesis and verification of model of agrarian and industrial complex can be performed directly in a cycle of control, based on application of system-cognitive analisys (SC-analisis) and its programmatic tooling - "Eidos" intellectual system; 5) forecasting of evolution of agrarian and industrial complex and production of controlling solutions can be performed on the basis of cognitive model of agrarian and industrial complex with SC-analisis and application of "Eidos" system
In this article, in accordance with the methodology of
the Automated system-cognitive analysis (ASCanalysis),
we examine the implementation of the 1st
and 2nd stages of ASC-analysis: cognitive structuring
and formalization of the subject area. At the stage of
cognitive structurization of subject area, researchers
decide what to consider as the object of modeling, the
factors affecting it and the results of their actions. In
accordance with the results of the cognitive structurization,
we prepare the initial database for the study
(training sample or case-based reasoning). At the stage
of formalization of the subject area, the base of the
original data is being normalized, i.e., we develop
classification and description: the scale and graduations
and with their use the base of the source data is
being encoded. The result is a database of events
(eventological database) and the training sample. The
stage of cognitive structuring and preparation of the
source data is not formalized and the formalization of
the subject area is fully automated and performed directly
with the use of the universal cognitive analytical
system named "Eidos", which is a software Toolkit for ASC-analysis. Stages of cognitive structurization and
formalization of the subject area of ASC-analysis are
the first steps of data conversion into information and
into knowledge. Subsequent steps: the synthesis and
verification of system-cognitive model, the decision of
problems of identification, forecasting and decision
making, as well as studies of the modeled object by
studying its model will be considered in future articles
In this article, in accordance with the methodology of
the Automated system-cognitive analysis (ASCanalysis),
we examine the implementation of the 3rd
ASC-analysis: synthesis and verification of forecasting
models of development of diversified agro-industrial
corporations. In this step, we have synthesis and verification
of 3 statistical and 7 system-cognitive models:
ABS – matrix of the absolute frequencies, PRC1 and
PRC2 – matrix of the conditional and unconditional
distributions, INF1 and INF2 private criterion: the
amount of knowledge based on A. Kharkevich, INF3 –
private criterion: the Chi-square test: difference between
the actual and the theoretically expected absolute
frequencies INF4 and INF5 – private criterion:
ROI - Return On Investment, INF6 and INF7 – private
criterion: the difference between conditional and unconditional
probability (coefficient of relationship).
The reliability of the created models was assessed in
accordance with the proposed metric is similar to the
known F-test, but does not involve the performance of
normal distribution, linearity of the object modeling,
the independence and additivity acting factors. The
accuracy of the obtained models was high enough to resolve the subsequent problems of identification,
forecasting and decision making, as well as studies of
the modeled object by studying its model, scheduled
for consideration in future articles
Methodology of using systemic cognitive analysis for building multi-level semantic information model of agro-industrial holding management is formulated in the article in general. Based on this, solutions of forecasting problems and support of decision-making process of management and scientific researches are listed
Management problem of agro industrial holding is formulated in the article in general, from one hand, it is necessary to work out recommendations and adaptive model on holding management for it, and from other hand, designing of its model is difficult because of high complexity and dynamics of inner logistics of an management object, its territorially distributed and multi branch character, large amount of economic indexes, characterizing its activity on different levels of its organization. General method of formulated problem decision by means of systemic-cognitive approach is offered. First stage of model synthesis is described: cognitive structure formation of private models, entering its multi-level semantic information model.
The performance indicators of a trading company in
physical and monetary terms is significantly affected
by the types and volumes of purchased and sold
products, and which she purchased suppliers and the
consumers sold. However, the solution to the problem
of choosing the rational range of products faces
considerable cost of computational and human
resources, and lack of baseline data, and in real
dimensions this problem has no solution. The paper
proposes such a solution is very economical in costs of
different types of resources based on the application of
information theory, cognitive and control theory
In the article the results of research of efficiency of three types of bread producing production associa-tions of consumers' co-operative society with vertic-al integration and models of optimization of their entrance parameters are resulted
In this article the model and a calculation procedure of
an integrated indicator of risk of the internal
environment of the integrated production system are
described. Then the steps of creation of triangular
fuzzy number for expected value of profit are given.
At creation of this fuzzy number the concept of an
indicator of risk of the internal environment of the
integrated production system was used. Further on the
basis of the developed model of internal risk the
interval model of efficiency of the integrated
production system is developed and described. In this
article the structure of a production chain of the
integrated production system of agroindustrial
complex was considered. In technologically complete
production chain, as a rule, allocate three stages – raw
materials production, storage and conversion, sale of
finished goods. Each subsequent stage depends from
previous stage, and at each stage various situations of
risk are shown. Also the process of risk identification
of the internal environment of the integrated
production system was considered in this article.
Process decomposition is executed, the description of subprocesses is given. For a risk assessment of the
internal environment it is necessary to know quantity
of production chains, and also to calculate value of risk
for each production chain on the enclosed algorithm.
Also in the article the principle of recognition and
interpretation of results of calculation of an integrated
indicator of risk of the internal environment of the
agro-industrial integrated production system on the
basis of Harrington's scale and standard indistinct 01
classificators is shown