Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Orlov Alexander Ivanovich

Scholastic degree




Academic rank

professor

Honorary rank

—

Organization, job position

Bauman Moscow State Technical University
   

Web site url

—

Email

prof-orlov@mail.ru


Articles count: 155

155 kb

OPTIMIZATION MODEL FOR MOMENTS OF OUTPUT OF NEW MODELS OF PRODUCTS TO THE MARKET

abstract 1021408003 issue 102 pp. 64 – 77 31.10.2014 ru 1050
One of the important problems of marketing - the choice moments of output of new models (brands) of products to the market. In the article for the first time in scientific periodicals we have proposed a sketch economic-mathematical optimization model for selection of time of output of new brands to market. We have received the calculation formulas for the moments of the output of new brands
295 kb

ADDITIVE-MULTIPLICATIVE MODEL FOR RISK ESTIMATION IN THE PRODUCTION OF ROCKET AND SPACE TECHNICS

abstract 1021408004 issue 102 pp. 78 – 111 31.10.2014 ru 1209
For the first time we have developed a general additive-multiplicative model of the risk estimation (to estimate the probabilities of risk events). In the two-level system in the lower level the risk estimates are combined additively, on the top – in a multiplicative way. Additive-multiplicative model was used for risk estimation for (1) implementation of innovative projects at universities (with external partners), (2) the production of new innovative products, (3) the projects for creation of rocket and space equipmen
279 kb

ORGANIZATIONAL-ECONOMIC SUPPORT OF INNOVATIONS IN THE ROCKET AND SPACE INDUSTRY

abstract 1021408005 issue 102 pp. 112 – 143 31.10.2014 ru 1067
We discuss the reasons for the development of organizational-economic support (OES) in the rocket and space industry (RSI). We have also considered the problems of estimation of the effectiveness of innovation-investment projects and ECO project management to create the rocket and space technics. On the basis of the analysis of the state and prospects of development we have developed the proposals for OES of innovation in RSI
244 kb

THE GROWTH POINTS OF STATISTICAL METHODS

abstract 1031409011 issue 103 pp. 136 – 162 30.11.2014 ru 1059
On the basis of a new paradigm of applied mathematical statistics, data analysis and economic-mathematical methods are identified; we have also discussed five topical areas in which modern applied statistics is developing as well as the other statistical methods, i.e. five "growth points" – nonparametric statistics, robustness, computer-statistical methods, statistics of interval data, statistics of non-numeric data
290 kb

COMPUTER-STATISTICAL METHODS: STATE AND PROSPECTS

abstract 1031409012 issue 103 pp. 163 – 195 30.11.2014 ru 1011
We have analyzed the current state of the main computer-statistical methods, identified achievements and existing problems, outlined the prospects of further movement and formulated the problems to be solved. We have also discussed the Monte Carlo methods, pseudo-random numbers, simulation, bootstrap and resampling, the automated system-cognitive analysis. We have considered the applications of computer statistics in controlling and properties of statistical packages as the tools for researchers
244 kb

PREDICTION METHODS FOR THE ROCKET AND SPACE INDUSTRY

abstract 1031409013 issue 103 pp. 196 – 221 30.11.2014 ru 1000
We have allocated the basic sources of uncertainty in various industrial and economic situations. We have also considered the role and the tasks of forecasting in the management of industrial companies, particularly in the rocket and space industry. We have discussed the methods of organizational and economic forecasting - statistical, expert, combined, including foresight and given some suggestions for improving the forecasting and planning mechanisms for practical use when creating space systems
165 kb

THE METHOD FOR HYPOTHESIS TESTING BASED ON SET OF SMALL SAMPLES AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE THEORY OF STATISTICAL CONTROL

abstract 1041410003 issue 104 pp. 43 – 57 30.12.2014 ru 1099
We have proposed the method for testing of independence of two alternative variables on the basis of statistics of non-numeric data. The method is aimed at application in problems of statistical quality control. Testing of independence is based on set of small samples, i.e., in the Kolmogorov’s asymptotics, when the number of unknown parameters of the distribution increases in proportion to the data size
257 kb

ABOUT THE METHODOLOGY OF STATISTICAL METHODS

abstract 1041410004 issue 104 pp. 58 – 85 30.12.2014 ru 1267
The purpose of the article - to justify the need to develop the methodology of statistical methods as an independent scientific direction. The models of mathematician and applied specialist are presented. We have obtained the conclusions on teaching and research and discussed five major unsolved problems of statistical methods: the effect of deviations from the traditional prerequisites; use asymptotic results for finite sample sizes; selecting one of the many specific tests for the hypothesis; organization of theoretical work in the field of statistical methods; conduct applied research and teaching of statistical methods
209 kb

TWO-SAMPLE WILCOXON TEST - ANALYSIS OF TWO MYTHS

abstract 1041410006 issue 104 pp. 96 – 116 30.12.2014 ru 1594
It was established that the two-sample Wilcoxon test (Mann-Whitney test) was designed to test the hypothesis H0: P(X
231 kb

HIGH STATISTICAL TECHNOLOGIES

abstract 1051501002 issue 105 pp. 14 – 38 30.01.2015 ru 1002
In practical use of methods of applied statistics we do not apply separate methods for describing data, estimation, testing hypotheses, but we must use deployed whole procedures - the so-called "statistical technology". The concept of "statistical technology" is similar to the concept of "technological process" in the theory and practice of organization of production. It is quite natural that some statistical technology can better meet the needs of the researcher (user, statistics) than others, some - are modern, and others - outdated, some properties are studied, and the others - no. It is important to stress that a qualified and efficient use of statistical methods - this is not one single statistical hypothesis testing and estimation of characteristics or parameters of a given distribution from fixed family. This kind of operations - only the individual building blocks that make up the statistical technology. The procedure of the statistical data analysis - is an information process, in other words, one or other information technology. Statistical information is subject to a variety of operations (series, parallel, or more complex schemes). In this article we discuss statistical technologies and the problem of "docking" algorithms. We introduce the concept of "high statistical technologies" and then we prove the necessity of their development and application. As the examples we have given the researches of Institute of high statistical technologies and econometrics of Bauman Moscow State Technical University. We have also considered a number of education problems in domain of high statistical technologies
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