Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Kovalevsky Dmitry Valerievich

Scholastic degree


Academic rank

Honorary rank

Organization, job position

Saint-Petersburg State University
   

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Articles count: 4

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140 kb

CLIMATE-ECONOMIC MODEL WITH ENDOGENOUS CAPITAL DEPRECIATION RATE UNDER UNCERTAINTY OF TEMPERATURE PROJECTIONS

abstract 1041410089 issue 104 pp. 1206 – 1214 30.12.2014 ru 1027
A simple climate–economic model based on the AK model of economic growth with the endogenous depreciation rate linear in temperature and on the exogenous climate scenario with temperature linear in time is considered. The analytical solution of the model is obtained. The uncertainty of temperature projections is introduced in the model, and the moments of model state variable are calculated analytically. Numerical examples are provided
163 kb

SINGULAR GROWTH IN AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL BASED ON A MODIFICATION OF THE SOLOW MODEL

abstract 1031409008 issue 103 pp. 99 – 111 30.11.2014 ru 1366
A modified version of the Solow model with endogenous technical progress is considered that exerts “explosive”, singular growth. A formula for the point of time of singularity is derived. The model is “upgraded” to a climate–economy model (an Integrated Assessment model) describing the growth of the world economy under conditions of global climate change. A non-trivial stationary solution of the model is obtained. It is shown that this solution is unstable, and that the developed model manifests “explosive growth” like the initial modification of the Solow model
432 kb

STOCHASTIC DYNAMICS OF PRICES IN A MODEL OF FINANCIAL MARKET WITH DIFFERENT TYPES OF NOISE TRADERS

abstract 1141510107 issue 114 pp. 1492 – 1504 30.12.2015 ru 949
In the present study, the calculations of price dynamics are made in the model of a financial market consisting of fundamentalist and noise traders. Numerical calculations are carried out in accordance with the full Walrasian dynamic price adjustment rule. To describe fluctuations in the number of optimistic and pessimistic noise traders, a seminal stochastic Kirman’s ant model (reducible to a Markov chain) is used, as well as its modification with different scaling properties of the parameter controlling the strength of herding behavior of noise agents
164 kb

THE STRUCTURAL DYNAMIC ECONOMIC MODEL SDEM-2: FROM SYSTEM DYNAMIC SOLUTIONS TO LINEAR AND LOGARITHMIC UTILITY MAXIMIZATION

abstract 1041410011 issue 104 pp. 186 – 201 30.12.2014 ru 1210
The Structural Dynamic Economic Model SDEM-2 is essentially a model of a closed economy growing under conditions of conflict of interests of two powerful aggregate actors: entrepreneurs and wage-earners. We study the economic growth within SDEM-2 both in system dynamic and optimization model setups. For the system dynamic model setup, four alternative control strategies of entrepreneurs are considered in detail: the “altruistic” control strategy, the “moderate output growth” control strategy, the “here and now” control strategy, and the “moderate dividend growth” control strategy. In the optimization setup the Pontryagin's maximum principle is applied to SDEM-2 to solve the linear and logarithmic utility maximization problems. The degree of sub-optimality of system dynamic solutions is evaluated
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