This work is devoted to the methods of multicriteria optimization and classical statistics of obtaining pre-estimated information for time series that have long-term memory, which is why their levels do not satisfy the independence property, and therefore the classical prediction methods may be inadequate. The developed methods of obtaining such information are based on classical statistics methods such as mathematical statistics, multicriteria optimization and extreme value theory. The effectiveness of the proposed approach has been demonstrated on the example of specific time series of volumes of mountain rivers
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE METHODS FOR DECISION MAKING AND PREDICTING THE BEHAVIOR OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS
This article proposes a modification and training the Cellular Automaton predictive model. The author presents a modified system of models and methods for time series prediction with memory based on the theory of fuzzy sets and linear cellular automata
The article analyzes the transformation of the category "Income", it is clarified the modern meaning of this concept, taking into account industry characteristics of organizations engaged in the production of alcohol and alcoholic beverages
Effective functioning of small and medium business, its competitiveness, the implementation of the expanded reproduction is largely determined by the stability of its financial position. If small and medium enterprise financial stability and financial stability,
they successfully overcome unexpected changes in market conditions, and they are not facing bankruptcy. Financial sustainability of small and medium business - is it safe and secure solvency not only in the ordinary course of business, but also the random changes in the market
The article reviews existing theories of liquidity management, and the problems of liquidity simulation. Based on the example of the bank working in Samara the author created a model showing current liquidity of the bank and developed a forecasting and simulation model. This work presents shortcomings of the
existing models of the bank and offers specific optimization techniques through controlling variables. And also it provides a comparison of the liquidity assessing criteria under RAS and IFRS
The article deals with the question of economic efficiency of moldboard tillage using the developed combined ploughshare plow as a result of experimental studies, determining the degree of traction resistance of the reversible plow tillage combined with reversible plow. We have also found main economic indicators of the manufacturing operation and calculation of efficiency of investments for the implementation of the combined plow
This article discusses the basic tools of kaizen in the context of controlling and lean manufacturing as the elements of the system
The principles and the methods of strategic planning were shown in the article. We have investigated the tools of strategic analysis, strategy development and enterprise strategic plan. In the implementation of the strategic planning process – the strategic development of the company – we use the analysis of internal and external environment: PEST–analysis, five forces model of Michael Porter, administrative examination, analysis of the “value chain” by M. Porter and system management analysis of Mc Kinsey CVP–analysis
(Cost – Volume – Profit), SWOT–analysis. On the basis of the analysis of the company’s internal and external environment, as well as the SWOT–analysis, we have proposed a business strategy. Among all the methods of portfolio analysis in strategic planning, the authors identify three of the most famous ones: the method of the Boston Consulting Group (BCG); model of McKinsey; Model of ADL / LC (a concept of life
cycle). We have also substantiated a comprehensive
strategic plan, as well as its system implementation and
management, because the previously developed strategy
was a generalized idea of the direction of the organization.
The research made by the authors was
based on the use of the following groups of methods:
target program; economic-mathematical methods
(simulation of queuing systems, theory of production
functions, dynamic modeling) and methods of network
planning
The article examines the indicators of innovation activity of business structures, on the example of the Stavropol region, to determine the most effective areas of the state-term support of the agro-industrial complex of Russia
In the article the peculiarities of the qualification market are studied. We have offered several options to review the functioning of qualification markets and evaluated them. We also revealed that the market localization was identical to monopolization