Scientific Journal of KubSAU

The problem of drug addiction in the Russian Federation poses a threat to the national security. For effective decision-making in the field of drug prevention and fight against drugs, it is necessary to assess the drug situation, the state of law enforcement practices and socio-economic development of the observed areas. The article describes the method of complex statistical evaluation of the level of drug addiction in the Russian Federation. Based on a systemic approach author distinguishes stages of multivariate statistical analysis of a priori indicators characterizing the state of socio-economic, demographic, biomedical and law enforcement situation in certain areas of the federal districts of the Russian Federation. The classification of signs into factorial indicators groups is proposed. Estimations of relationships studied statistics and draw conclusions about the impact on the drug situation of various factors, including the average for the group, are presented. Then this paper describes the application of the factor analysis to construct regression models to predict the drug situation in the Russian Federation according to the status of independent indicators and trends in the integrated development of regions. A method for evaluating the level of development of the drug situation in the Russian Federation because of automatic classification algorithms is proposed and the principle of its application is proven. The results of the classification of the federal districts of the Russian Federation on the level of the drug situation are given