Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Application of classical forecasting methods applied to a diversified corporation faces some certain difficulties, due to its economic nature. Unlike other businesses, diversified corporations are characterized by multidimensional arrays of data with a high degree of distortion and fragmentation of the information due to the cumulative effect of the incompleteness and distortion of accounting information from its enterprises. Under these conditions, the applied methods and tools must have high resolution and to work effectively with large databases with incomplete information, to ensure correct common comparable quantitative processing of the heterogeneous nature of the factors measured in different units. It is therefore necessary to select or develop some methods that can work with poorly formalized complex tasks. This fact substantiates the relevance of the problem of developing models, methods and tools for solving the problem of forecasting the development of diversified corporations. This article compares methods of forecasting and encourages using the ask analysis which has a good theoretical justification for the meaningful interpretation of a knowledge model based on information theory; high accuracy and independence of calculation results of the unit of measurement baseline data through the use of not the correlation matrix, as in statistical systems, and matrices of knowledge. A well-developed and available Toolkit of the ASK-analysis which is an intellectual system called "Eidos" (created by E. V. Lutsenko, 1994) allows, on the basis of fragmented, noisy source data of various nature (numeric, text) to create models of large dimension. The ASK-analysis and the system of "Eidos" have been widely and successfully used in economics, engineering, agriculture, sociology and other fields. These features of the ASK-analysis have led to the fact that it was chosen as the method of forecasting of dynamics of indicators of the corporation

The article presents results of the study to assess the effectiveness of credit funds in interacting agricultural (AES) and processing (PP) agricultural enterprises. The conducted studies are a continuation of the scientific work on the development of mathematical models of interaction of the enterprises of the AES and PP, are shown in the articles [1, 2, 3]. This article presents the authors’ developed set of models of management of credit funds of interacting enterprises of an agroindustrial complex. It includes mathematical models of economic efficiency of agricultural enterprises considering the use of loan funds, as well as the assessment of the maximum amount of interest rate of the loan and the minimum selling prices of units of finished agricultural products; a mathematical model of the economic efficiency of the processing plant taking into account credit obligations of the agricultural enterprise and a model for the calculation of the minimum selling prices of its finished products; a mathematical model of the economic efficiency of the combined entity with all its loans. We have proposed a model to calculate the minimum selling prices of its finished products

The article describes the structure, the algorithm, and the example of using the automated system of work with clients. This system makes it possible to generate documents of almost any kind based on predetermined templates and tags. The article considers the technology to solve this problem, it has proposed the structure of the source data for developing system, the set of its automated functions, criteria and restrictions; it determines the algorithms for constructing the system of work with clients and their software implementation. In addition, we have presented the results of the work of the program and the analysis for the “Kairos” Ltd

The article describes the structure and the example of using automated subsystems, which can be used in telecommunication companies for the most efficient process of automation of office staff related to budget planning, which includes monitoring and planning of incomes, earned whereby customers of various branches and segments. After analyzing the business processes of the research object - groups of operational planning of the Stavropol branch, as well as the evaluation of existing approaches to solving the problem of income planning, it was concluded that it’s necessary to develop an automated subsystem. According to the instructions of the corporate center, while planning the budget, the staff must use a technique of planning and control of budget revenues, implying a partition total planned revenue for each branch income from different segments, followed by separation of each group income by services and articles, as well as a formulation of the work plans for managers who deals with large and small customers. The results can also be used to make recommendations on the formulation of individual plans for sale-managers, on further areas of cooperation with customers, the MRB and the CC based on the analysis and evaluation of divisions of the organization’s KPI

Small businesses play a special role in the development of the state economy: the national budget from taxes, increasing the welfare of the population, the question of employment, the formation of competitive environment, cost containment and improving the quality of goods and services. In this regard, become topical issues related to the creation of favorable conditions for the functioning and development of management tools and mechanisms of development of organizations of this segment of the economy. This work aims to identify the key problems of functioning of small business organizations through the assessment of the development of this segment in the economy of the Krasnodar region. For the evaluation of small business development in the Krasnodar region we used basic unit of economic analysis aimed at determining the major trends of change in number of organizations average number of employees, revenues, as well as a number of relative indicators in the whole segment and by major activities. It was determined that the number of small businesses in the Krasnodar region for three years practically did not change, whereas a decrease in the number of workers employed in this segment, revenue has a small tendency to increase. In the structure of the segment is dominated by micro-enterprises, 47% operate in the trade sector. Indicators of development of small business organizations meet the classification criteria in terms of revenue for microenterprises and their share in total number of companies this segment is 1%. The results of the study say the lack of a clear strategy from small businesses, due to unavailability of tools for its development, expressed the high value of the resource and, as a consequence, ignoring this question when organizing the activities of enterprises. Therefore, the question becomes more urgent the development of tools of business modeling and strategic planning adapted to the requirements of this segment

Small business is an important segment of the economy of the state. However, today, there remains a number of problems in the effective functioning of small business organizations, including the lack of adequate tools for information processing, necessary to justify their development strategy. The article presents a solution to the task of developing functional requirements for an application that automates the process of forming a business model of small business organizations. The set of developed requirements is represented by a set of diagrams "Use Case Diagram", built using the unified modeling language UML. It is shown, that the business model is the main source of data for calculating the efficiency indicators of business ideas, capital investments, incomes and expenses. As a basic approach to the development of the business model, the template proposed by A. Osterwalder was chosen, which was supplemented with the "Competitors analysis" block. Thus, the improved business model template will include the following processes: "Project Value Proposal", "Design Consumer Segments", "Design Sales Channels", "Design Customer Relationship Technologies", "Design Processes", "Design Resources", "Design partners", "Analyze suppliers". Among the blocks of the business model template, the key one ("Distribution channels") is provided, which includes the calculation of revenues and expenditures, performance indicators for each sales channel, and their consolidated representation in the overall business model

To increase the validity of conclusions about the impact of environment on quality of life we need to move from generalities to the application of quantitative modeling techniques. This requires the joint processing environmental databases and databases depicting various aspects of quality of life. These databases need to be handled not just together, but in a comparable form approach, technology and methodology; and we need to implement them in one software system. For the first time in the environmental studies it has been planned to be done with the application of the ASK- analysis and the system called "Eidos". In this work, we set the goals and the objectives of the application of the ASK-analysis to study the effect of environmental factors on the quality of life of the population of the region. The article reveals the urgency of this study; the requirements for the method of conducting the study, the choice of research method, the contents of the objectives of the study. The proposed work is at the edge of mathematical ecology and mathematical modeling of quality of life (which refers to mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics), resulting from expected synergies, consists in obtaining of new knowledge in these fields, that is relevant to both ecology and economy. This knowledge will make it more meaningful and justified for the application of environmental criteria and concepts in the economy

The application of classical forecasting methods applied to a diversified corporation faces some certain difficulties, due to its economic nature. Unlike other businesses, diversified corporations are characterized by multidimensional arrays of data with a high degree of distortion and fragmentation of information due to the cumulative effect of the incompleteness and distortion of accounting information from the enterprises in it. Under these conditions, the applied methods and tools must have high resolution and work effectively with large databases with incomplete information, ensure the correct common comparable quantitative processing of the heterogeneous nature of the factors measured in different units. It is therefore necessary to select or develop some methods that can work with complex poorly formalized tasks. This fact substantiates the relevance of the problem of developing models, methods and tools for solving the problem of forecasting the development of diversified corporations. This is the subject of this work, which makes it relevant. The work aims to: 1) analyze the forecasting methods to justify the choice of system-cognitive analysis as one of the effective methods for the prediction of semi-structured tasks; 2) to adapt and develop the method of systemic-cognitive analysis for forecasting of dynamics of development of the corporation subject to the scenario approach; 3) to develop predictive model scenarios of changes in basic economic indicators of development of the corporation and to assess their credibility; 4) determine the analytical form of the dependence between past and future scenarios of various economic indicators; 5) develop analytical models weighing predictable scenarios, taking into account all prediction results with positive levels of similarity, to increase the level of reliability of forecasts; 6) to develop a calculation procedure to assess the strength of influence on the corporation (sensitivity) of its member enterprises; 7) to finalize the software tools the ask analysis to the level of information technology, given its adaptation and development to predict actions in a diversified corporation

The article reveals the basic concepts, purpose and classification of HRM systems used to manage the organization's staff. The analysis of the international and Russian market of HRM-systems and selected alternatives (seven information systems) of this class focused on the Russian practice of large and mediumsized businesses has been performed. The process of implementing an information system involves selecting the system that best suited to the needs of the business. For this purpose, there were developed evaluation criteria of information systems and their importance for the company. This stage of research was conducted through a survey of experts from among the University staff and practitioners. As a result, we have obtained the matrix of evaluations of alternative information systems of HRM and selected class "1C: Salary and personnel management 8". Research demos of the selected HRM system allowed developing a functional model, presented in the form of complex diagrams of cases of modeling language UML 2.0. The developed diagrams clearly reflect the allocated subsystems and their functions, as well as the relationship between the actors of the process and system functions. Summarizing the experience of implementing similar systems, we composed a smartchart showing the main stages of its implementation. The results have practical value and can be used by companies of the considered business segment as specific recommendations

To increase the validity of conclusions about the impact of the environment on the quality of life we need to move from generalities to the application of quantitative modeling techniques. This requires the joint processing environmental databases and databases depicting various aspects of quality of life. These databases are needed to be handled not just together, but in a comparable form approach, including technology and methodology, and to be implemented in one software system. For the first time in the environmental studies, it has been planned to be done with the application of the ASK-analysis and the system called "Eidos". Previously, the authors have set the goals and the objectives of the application of the ASK-analysis to study the effect of environmental factors on the quality of life of the population of the region. The article reveals the urgency of this study; the requirements for the method of conducting the study, the choice of a research method; as well as the contents of the objectives of the study. The proposed work is at the edge of mathematical ecology and mathematical modeling of quality of life (which refers to mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics), resulting from expected synergies, consists in obtaining of new knowledge in these fields that is relevant to both ecology and economy. This knowledge will make it more meaningful and justified for the application of environmental criteria and concepts in the economy. This work contains a description of the basic data sources for the study of the impact of environmental factors on various aspects of quality of life of the region's population, the source data for this study, the characteristics of the original data, substantiation of requirements to the method of research, choosing research methods appropriate to requirements; the development of steps to achieve the objectives of the study