Dependence of the Earth seismic activity, magnetic field and polar motion on the sunspots number is ex-amined on the basis of semantic information models
The paper discusses the modeling and prediction of the climate of our planet with the use of artificial intelligence AIDOS-X. We have developed a number of semantic information models, demonstrating the presence of the elements of similarity between the motion of the lunar orbit and the displacement of the instantaneous pole of the Earth. It was found that the movement of the poles of the Earth leading to the variations in the magnetic field, seismic events, as well as violations of the global atmospheric circulation and water, and particular to the emergence of episodes such as El Niño and La Niña. Through semantic information models studied some equatorial regions of the Pacific Ocean, as well as spatial patterns of temperate latitudes, revealed their relative importance for the prediction of global climatic disturbances in the tropical and temperate latitudes. The reasons of occurrence of El Niño Modoki and their relationship with the movement of elements of the lunar orbit in the long-term cycles are established. Earlier, we had made a forecast of the occurrence of El Niño episode in 2015. Based on the analysis of semantic models concluded that the expected El Niño classical type. On the basis of the prediction block AIDOS-X calculated monthly evolution scenario of global climate anomalies. In this paper, the analysis of the actual implementation forecast of El Niño since its publication in January 2015 - before June 2015. It is shown that the predicted scenario of climatic anomalies actually realized. Calculations of future climate scenarios with system «Aidos-X» recognition module indicate that further possible abnormal excess temperature indicators of surface ocean waters in regions Nino 1,2 and Nino3,4 for 2015 may be comparable with similar abnormalities in the catastrophic El Niño of 1997-1998.
The simulation model of a vibrating sowing device work process is suggested in this paper. Results of worked out calculations with the use of this model
are given.
Today, infectious diseases remain a leading cause of
premature deaths in the world. Agent-based
modeling can play an important role in predicting the
spread of disease and to assess the containment
measures. The aim is to construct a multi-agent
simulation model for the formation of epidemic
measures to reduce effectively their incidence. Using
the multi-agent simulation approach to modeling of
epidemics due to the fact that the approach allows us
to consider a number of factors influencing the
epidemic process, makes it possible to carry out
numerical experiments. The processes of the spatial
distribution and temporal variation of these two
groups of epidemics of infectious the author calls
dynamics. Usually hard-implemented spatial
components of the dynamics in the proposed model
can be substituted by predfractal topology of the
graph, which is built up by voluminous graphs -
primers, and the dynamics of compounding
prefractal graph, called its recognition, is responsible
for the timing of the process component. Under the
term of agent, we consider an elementary study
participant. An agent is active; it is in a state that
may change under the influence of factors. The
properties of the agent are attributed characteristics
that form the level of immunity: height, weight,
gender, income, marital status, education, geography
A model is developed that describes the formation of the
plasma channel and the trace when moving in a
conducting medium of various objects that are sources of
plasma - ball lightning, plasmoids, charged particles, and
so on. To describe the contribution of conduction
currents, we modified the standard electrostatic equation
considering the vortex component of the electric field.
As a result of this generalization, a system of parabolictype
nonlinear equations is formulated that describes the
formation of the plasma channel and the track behind the
moving object. In this formulation, the problem of the
formation of the lightning channel in weak electric
fields, characteristic for atmospheric discharges of cloudearth,
is solved. Numerical simulation of the motion of
plasma sources in a region with a ratio of the sizes 1/100,
1/200 makes it possible to find the shape of the channel
and the total length of the track, as well as the branching
regimes. It was previously established that there are three
streamer branching mechanisms. The first mechanism is
associated with the instability of the front, which leads to
the separation of the head of the streamer into two parts.
The second mechanism is related to the instability of the
streamer in the base region, which leads to the branching
of the streamer with the formation of a large number of
lateral streamers closing the main channel of the
streamer to the cathode. The third branching mechanism,
observed in experiments, is associated with the closure
of the space charge to the anode through the streamer
system. These branching mechanisms are also revealed
when the leader is spread. Numerical experiments have
revealed a new channel branching mechanism and a
trace behind a moving plasma object, caused by the
conductivity of the medium
In this work, a model is developed that describes the
formation of a stepped lightning leader in a conducting
medium. To describe the contribution of the conductivity
currents, we modified the standard electrostatic equation
taking into account the vortex component of the electric
field. As a result of this generalization, a system of
parabolic-type nonlinear equations is formulated that
describes the formation of streamers and the lightning
channel. Numerical simulation of the propagation of
ionization waves in a region with a ratio of 1/100, 1/200
allows us to identify two types of stepped streamers in
the form of waves of compression and rarefaction,
respectively. It was previously established that there are
three streamer branching mechanisms. The first
mechanism is related to the instability of the front, which
leads to the separation of the head of the streamer into
two parts. The second mechanism is associated with the
instability of the streamer in the base region, which leads
to the branching of the streamer with the formation of a
large number of lateral streamers closing the main
channel of the streamer to the cathode. In numerical
experiments, the third branching mechanism observed in
experiments connected with closing the space charge to
the anode through the streamer system was observed.
These branching mechanisms are also revealed when the
leader is propagated. The obtained results, as well as the
data of numerical experiments confirm the hypothesis of
the universality of the minimal model of the streamer, as
well as its expansion in the form proposed by the author.
Known phenomena of nature associated with the
electrical discharge - streamer, plasmoid, ball lightning
and stepped leader can be described within the
framework of the minimal model
Atmospheric currents on Jupiter and Saturn are
characterized by turbulence and complex vortex
structure, which is caused by a large angular speed of
the gas giants. In this paper we consider two types of
eddy currents - for hexagonal in the northern polar
region of Saturn and the Great Red Spot in the
equatorial region of Jupiter. For the numerical
simulation of turbulent flows of this type the model of
the planetary boundary layer was developed by the
author. In both cases, the main strengthening
mechanism is associated with geostrophic flow of
small amplitude interacting with the planetary
turbulent boundary layer. For hexagonal Saturn with
its characteristic length scales and speed - 120 m / s
and 14,500 km, respectively, there are more than 35
years data of observation. We have found that a small
axial symmetry violation geostrophic flow in the
shear causes the development of a hexagonal pattern
in a turbulent boundary layer. In addition, under the
influence of the Coriolis force and the eddy viscosity
gradient in the turbulent boundary layer there is the
jet formed, pressed against the lower edge of the
layer. Great Red Spot on Jupiter has the characteristic
velocity and length scales - 150 m / s, 14,000 km
from north to south and 24000-40000 km from west
to east, there are already more than 350 years data. It
identified another mechanism of formation of vortex
flow, coupled with the strengthening of small
amplitude zonal flow in a turbulent boundary layer
with the eddy viscosity gradient and the volume
turbulent viscosity on a rotating planet. Both
mechanisms are confirmed by numerical calculations
of non-stationary planetary boundary
layer
In this work, a model is developed to describe the
formation of streamers, plasmoid, and ball lightning in a
conducting medium. To describe the contribution of the
conductivity currents, we modified the standard
electrostatic equation taking into account the vortex
component of the electric field. As a result of this
generalization, a system of parabolic-type nonlinear
equations is formulated that describes the formation of
streamers, plasma long-lived formations and ball
lightning. As is known, in laboratories it is possible to
create a plasmoid with a lifetime of 300-500 ms and a
diameter of 10-20 cm, which is interpreted as a ball
lightning. With high-speed photography, a complex
structure is detected, consisting of a plasmoid and
surrounding streamers. Within the framework of the
proposed model, problems are posed about the formation
of a plasmoid and the propagation of streamers in an
external electric field. In this model, the plasmoid is
considered to be a long-lived streamer. The range of
parameters in which a plasmoid of spherical shape is
formed is indicated. It is established that there are three
streamer branching mechanisms. The first mechanism is
related to the instability of the front, which leads to the
separation of the head of the streamer into two parts. The
second mechanism is associated with the instability of
the streamer in the base region, which leads to the
branching of the streamer with the formation of a large
number of lateral streamers closing the main channel of
the streamer to the cathode. In numerical experiments,
the third branching mechanism observed in experiments
connected with the branching of the plasmoid in the
cathode region with the closure of the space charge to
the anode through the streamer system was observed.
The results of modeling the evolution of globular
clusters in a scale of hundreds of milliseconds are given.
Plasma exchange recharge modes leading to the
formation of a positive or negative charge of the system
are found
In this article we consider a scalar model of the gluon condensate, in which bubbles are formed - glue balls. It is shown that the mass of the known hadrons as well as nuclei exited states are described with the acceptable accuracy by the integral of the condensate density in terms of the glueball
As we know, currently, around the north pole of Saturn there is a large-scale hexagonal flow, with characteristic scales of length and speed - 120 m / s and 14,500 km respectively. This trend observed for more than 35 years, is the subject of many experimental and theoretical studies. In this study, we propose a model and discuss the numerical solutions of the equations describing turbulent flow in the planetary boundary layer around the north pole of Saturn. It has been shown that a small violation of the axial symmetry in geostrophic shear leads to the development of hexagonal patterns in a turbulent boundary layer. In addition, under the influence of Coriolis forces and turbulent eddy viscosity gradient in a turbulent boundary layer formed jet pressed to the bottom edge of the layer. These results are used to simulate the observed hexagonal flow around the north pole of Saturn. It is assumed that the small amplitude geostrophic flow is described by a sum of zero and the sixth current harmonic functions, which leads to the excitation current at the upper boundary of the planetary boundary layer. It is found that such excitation enhanced in the boundary layer and reaches a maximum in the jet pressed to the bottom border. This jet, circulating on the hexagon coincides with the region of origin of the cloud cover, which is registered in the experiments. This excitation mechanism hexagonal flow around the north pole of Saturn is confirmed by numerical calculations of three-dimensional non-stationary planetary boundary layer