Scientific Journal of KubSAU

In the article the forecasting model which is based on the theory of cellular automatic machines and mathematical apparatus of indistinct sets is presented. Its work on the real data of time number productivities of sugar beet in Mostovskoy area of Krasnodar territory is shown

In this work, the comparative analysis of basic histori-cal and modern variations of definition of risks is pre-sented in general and from the point of enterprise ac-tivity. The gradual expansion of borders of concept of "risk" and its integral components in their direct inter-relation is investigated and eventually proved. Its modern concept is defined

The article contains the study of peculiarities of formation and development of HOD market, the issues of interaction of its participants, the analysis of approaches to the management of the activity of enterprises of small and average business in the market of HOD

The necessity to divide tourism to different parts has been stated in the article; we have also examined lots of tourism classifications and proposed the author’s segmentation of tourism according to nowadays tourism market condition

In the article we present the following terms: tourism, tourist destination, tourist flows. The article also analyses the prevailing approaches to how to learn and organize the industry of tourism and recreation, as soon as there are some problems of scientific support for the tourism sector

Tools and mathematical methods offered for usage represent essentially new base for forecasting of discrete evolutionary processes. Authors represent complete system of models and methods of temporary ranks’ with memory forecasting

We have presented a technique of evaluation of in-vestment appeal of innovative projects in grain pro-duction in a way of innovative development of the meso-level, on the basis of the calculation of the inte-gral and the reference levels, and the assessment of innovation and investment projects, using a multicrite-rion approach

The article discusses the impact of seasonal and event-component time series to assess the predictive performance of the tourist flow in Dombay village in the Karachay-Cherkessia Republic

The article studies the degree of "riskiness" of natural time series, which are inherent properties of the seasonal trend. The authors have made an analysis the result of which is the effect relationship between weather conditions and the dynamics of the behavior of the monthly volumes of mountain rivers

In present article we consider one of the key problems of short time series in modern scientific prognostification. In scientific papers as a rule the problem of short time series is considered in connection with a problem of small selections. But there are some problems still unsettled what value of selection should be taken as a small one and which time series are short and very short. In spite of the fact that there are exist different opinions on the problem of small selection definition and as a result the definitions of short time series, time series of tax deductions analysis of which is given in the present paper one can qualify as very short ones. The authors are considering tax deductions, the length of which doesn’t exceed twelve meanings. It’s clear that building of the prognostification model on a base of given statistics is impossible. In the present paper the authors offer to carry out analysis of very short time series on the base of graphs and matrixes of similarity. In the base of the method proposed there is a visual method and information base are very short time series of tax deduction and time series of fiscal economic indices, forming taxation base. The given approach should help the officers of tax bodies to fulfill the testing analysis the purpose of which is to select tax-payers for checking up