Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Botascheva Fatima Borisovna

Scholastic degree


Academic rank

associated professor

Honorary rank

Organization, job position

North-Caucasian State Humanitarian Technological Academy
   

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Articles count: 6

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409 kb

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF AGENCIES RATINGS FOR SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ASSESSMENT OF THE KRASNODAR REGION

abstract 1562002001 issue 156 pp. 1 – 16 28.02.2020 ru 181
The article provides a comparative analysis of assessments of the socio-economic development of the Krasnodar region from such well-known rating agencies as Standard & Poors, Moody’s, Fitch Ratings, which belong to the United States of America. The studied ratings are compared with the ratings of the national agency of the Russian Federation called “Expert RA”. The values of the established ratings are examined, as well as number of possible reasons why the ratings of the United States of America differ from the ratings of the Russian Federation, for example, economic and political reasons, and, subsequently, how these ratings affect the investment attractiveness of the Krasnodar region. The article explains positive and negative aspects of the integrated methodology used by international rating agencies, consisting of software and expert opinion, the level of access to it for study and analysis. We study another (local) source of information on the investment attractiveness of the Krasnodar region, which is a state institution, namely the Department of Investments and Development of Small and Medium Enterprises of the Krasnodar region. Options are proposed for improving the system of analysis of statistical data through methods that are based on a clear mathematical approach to provide an adequate assessment of the region and municipalities without the influence of subjective expert opinion
1356 kb

FINANCIAL RISK WARNING AT OIL PRODUCTION COMPANIES

abstract 1541910013 issue 154 pp. 132 – 154 30.12.2019 ru 229
This article is devoted to a problem of effective management of a financial and economic condition of companies on the example of the enterprises of oil products supply. We consider questions of support of adoption of management decisions which concern stabilization of a financial condition of the company and as a result of decrease in financial risks. The article also provides a description of the program complex called FESP_ON developed by the authors allowing to carry out the profound complex assessment of a financial and economic condition of Societies of oil products supply
200 kb

MODERN TOOLKIT IN A RESEARCH OF MAC-ROECONOMIC DYNAMICS. 1 - STRUCTURE OF THE SIGNAL

abstract 0811207047 issue 81 pp. 625 – 634 30.09.2012 ru 1435
In the first from the series of articles of tool methods of the research of the macroeconomic dynamics, those imperatives of the modern economic development which force to refuse the classical methods of the analysis are described. The transition to the new, more thin, intellectual and mathematically-sated methods of the research of conjuncture is proved. Thus the toolkit is absolutely differently showing the habitual earlier economic designs, it starts to play the important role. It enables to calculate and to represent the mac-roeconomic archetypes analytically, numerically and graphically
220 kb

MODERN TOOLKIT IN RESEARCH OF MACRO-ECONOMIC DYNAMICS. 2 - THE SPLINE-APPROXIMATION

abstract 0821208012 issue 82 pp. 157 – 171 31.10.2012 ru 1275
In the second article from the series of works about the tool methods of research of macroeconomic dynamics the modern class of approximating functions is de-scribed. It is relevant to the "fragmentary" character of modern transitive economy when during the account-ing period the time class of process varies, as well as "game rules", tariffs, preferences, taxes, excises, rates, quotas, deductions … The splines have appeared new, more universal, simple, but at the same time thin, intel-lectual, mathematically exact and optimized method of research of macroeconomic dynamics. They have enabled analytically, numerically and graphically to analyze, represent, visualize and predict images of macroeconomic conjuncture
143 kb

PHASE ANALYSIS OF THE CYCLICAL NATURE OF THE SHARE OF NATURAL GAS IN THE STRUCTURE OF EXPORTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

abstract 0881304058 issue 88 pp. 817 – 826 30.04.2013 ru 1496
Russia's economy has a pronounced raw-material orientation. A significant share in the export of the Russian Federation occupies natural gas. Analysis of the dynamics of the share of natural gas in Russia's exports show a tendency of to its insignificant reduction. Phase analysis on the basis of spline-approximation detects the cyclic dynamics of the share of natural gas in the structure of export of the Russian Federation
200 kb

THE MODERN TOOLKIT IN THE RESEARCH OF MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS. 3 - THE PHASE ANALYSIS

abstract 0831209011 issue 83 pp. 115 – 124 30.11.2012 ru 1565
In the third article from the series of the works dedi-cated to the tool methods of the research of macroeco-nomic dynamics the phase space, the phase analysis in it and their macroeconomic appendices are described. Phase pictures alongside with a parameter contain its first derivative (tendency), which in the best degree characterizes aspirations of a macroeconomic process. In a phase space, periodic economic processes (sea-sonal prevalence and cyclicity) become rather cyclic or “circular” designs, which facilitate the recognition of economic archetypes. The phase analysis has appeared new, more universal, simple, but at the same time thin, intellectual, mathematically exacted tool at the re-search of macroeconomic conjuncture. It has enabled the possibility to analyze, to represent, to visualize and to predict the development of cycles in macroeco-nomic analytically, numerically and in a graphical way
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