Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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495 kb

MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF RESEARCH OF INVERSE DYNAMIC ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

abstract 1271703007 issue 127 pp. 150 – 163 31.03.2017 ru 604
The article continues the cycle of their studies associated with the formulation and development of methods of construction of nonnegative solutions of inverse problems for dynamic systems. In practice, we have developed and tested mathematical models of dynamic systems. The basis of these models was based on the apparatus of linear algebra, mathematical analysis, mathematical programming, differential equations, optimization methods, optimal control theory, probability theory, stochastic processes, operations research, game theory, statistical analysis. The inverse problem in various models of mathematical Economics was considered rare. These tasks were sufficiently well investigated in the study of physical processes. As shown by the analysis of the theoretical and applied studies of economic processes they represent considerable interest for practice. Therefore, the article considered the inverse problem of the mathematical model, as shown already introduced the results of other mathematical models, are of considerable interest in applied and theoretical research. In this article the authors formulated and investigated the inverse problem for dynamical systems zero-order and the model of Keynes. For their solution, the authors propose to build a system of algebraic equations, then, using methods of quadratic programming, to find the best average of mean square estimation of the model parameter, which are defined in MS Excel
567 kb

GRAVITATIONAL WAVES IN THE RICCI FLOW FROM SINGULARITIES MERGER

abstract 1211607121 issue 121 pp. 1907 – 1928 30.09.2016 ru 605
In this study, we investigate the problem of the emission of gravitational waves produced in collisions of particles submitted to the singularities of the gravitational field. A system of non-linear parabolic equations describing the evolution of the axially symmetric metrics in the Ricci flow derived. A model describing the emission of gravitational waves in the collision and merger of the particles in the Ricci flow proposed. It is shown that the theory of the Ricci flow describes the problem of black holes merge, consistent with Einstein-Infeld theory, which describes the dynamics of the material particles provided by the singularities of the gravitational field. As an example, we consider the metric having axial symmetry and comprising two singularities simulating particles of finite mass. We have numerically investigated the change of the metric in the collision and merger of the particles. The initial and boundary conditions using the exact solution of the static problem, so the collision persist particularly metrics caused by the presence of particles. In numerical experiments determined that the collision of the particles in the Ricci flow leads to the formation of gravitational waves, similar in structure to the waves, registered in the LIGO experiment. Consequently, we can assume that the observed gravity waves caused mainly by transients associated with the change in the metric of a system. The influence of the parameters of the problem - the speed and mass of the particles, on the amplitude and intensity of the emission of gravitational waves was numerically simulated. We have found chaotic behavior of gravitational potentials at the merger of the singularities in the Ricci flow
481 kb

SIMULATION OF HEXAGONAL TURBULENT FLOW IN THE NORTH POLAR REGION OF SATURN

abstract 1251701050 issue 125 pp. 738 – 759 31.01.2017 ru 606
As we know, currently, around the north pole of Saturn there is a large-scale hexagonal flow, with characteristic scales of length and speed - 120 m / s and 14,500 km respectively. This trend observed for more than 35 years, is the subject of many experimental and theoretical studies. In this study, we propose a model and discuss the numerical solutions of the equations describing turbulent flow in the planetary boundary layer around the north pole of Saturn. It has been shown that a small violation of the axial symmetry in geostrophic shear leads to the development of hexagonal patterns in a turbulent boundary layer. In addition, under the influence of Coriolis forces and turbulent eddy viscosity gradient in a turbulent boundary layer formed jet pressed to the bottom edge of the layer. These results are used to simulate the observed hexagonal flow around the north pole of Saturn. It is assumed that the small amplitude geostrophic flow is described by a sum of zero and the sixth current harmonic functions, which leads to the excitation current at the upper boundary of the planetary boundary layer. It is found that such excitation enhanced in the boundary layer and reaches a maximum in the jet pressed to the bottom border. This jet, circulating on the hexagon coincides with the region of origin of the cloud cover, which is registered in the experiments. This excitation mechanism hexagonal flow around the north pole of Saturn is confirmed by numerical calculations of three-dimensional non-stationary planetary boundary layer
880 kb

PROPAGATION AND BRANCHING OF STRAIMERS IN CONDUCTING ENVIRONMENT

abstract 1281704080 issue 128 pp. 1148 – 1169 28.04.2017 ru 607
In this work, we develop a model describing the propagation and branching of a streamer in a conducting medium in external electric field. To describe the contribution of the conductivity currents, we modified the standard electrostatic equation taking into account the vortex component of the electric field. As a result of this generalization, the streamer model is formulated in the form of nonlinear equations of parabolic type. In the framework of the proposed model, the problem of the propagation of a streamer in the form of a traveling wave is considered, which leads to the emergence of SaffmanTaylor streamers. For streamers of this type, the branching problem is formulated, which has a unique solution. The dependence of the branch point on the parameters of the problem-the speed of the streamer, the diffusion coefficient of the electrons and the strength of the external electric field, is found. The branching mechanism of the streamer head by dividing it into two parts has been well studied and several alternative models have been formulated for its description. The novelty of the problem in question is that the streamer splits into two three-dimensional channels that are symmetric with respect to the given plane. Numerical experiments also revealed the mechanism of branching of the streamer in the cathode region, connected with the separation of the main channel into several lateral branches. It is noted, that in nature both branching mechanisms are realized, whereas in theory the instability of the surface of the streamer head is investigated
190 kb

METHODS OF REDUCING SPACE DIMENSION OF STATISTICAL DATA

abstract 1191605005 issue 119 pp. 92 – 107 31.05.2016 ru 610
One of the "points of growth" of applied statistics is methods of reducing the dimension of statistical data. They are increasingly used in the analysis of data in specific applied research, such as sociology. We investigate the most promising methods to reduce the dimensionality. The principal components are one of the most commonly used methods to reduce the dimensionality. For visual analysis of data are often used the projections of original vectors on the plane of the first two principal components. Usually the data structure is clearly visible, highlighted compact clusters of objects and separately allocated vectors. The principal components are one method of factor analysis. The new idea of factor analysis in comparison with the method of principal components is that, based on loads, the factors breaks up into groups. In one group of factors, new factor is combined with a similar impact on the elements of the new basis. Then each group is recommended to leave one representative. Sometimes, instead of the choice of representative by calculation, a new factor that is central to the group in question. Reduced dimension occurs during the transition to the system factors, which are representatives of groups. Other factors are discarded. On the use of distance (proximity measures, indicators of differences) between features and extensive class are based methods of multidimensional scaling. The basic idea of this class of methods is to present each object as point of the geometric space (usually of dimension 1, 2, or 3) whose coordinates are the values of the hidden (latent) factors which combine to adequately describe the object. As an example of the application of probabilistic and statistical modeling and the results of statistics of non-numeric data, we justify the consistency of estimators of the dimension of the data in multidimensional scaling, which are proposed previously by Kruskal from heuristic considerations. We have considered a number of consistent estimations of dimension of models (in regression analysis and in theory of classification). We also give some information about the algorithms for reduce the dimensionality in the automated system-cognitive analysis
173 kb

MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF ACCEPTANCE ADMINISTRATIVE DECISIONS ON AN AGRICULTURAL COMPANY IN THE CONDITIONS OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY

abstract 1201606107 issue 120 pp. 1617 – 1628 30.06.2016 ru 616
In the article, we describe and illustrate a method of mathematical modeling in relation to process of decision-making in the conditions of risk and uncertainty on the example of building of agricultural object
368 kb

INVERSE PROBLEM MODELS OF THE SAMUELSON–HICKS

abstract 1261702042 issue 126 pp. 600 – 608 28.02.2017 ru 617
The article continues the cycle of their studies associated with the formulation and development of methods of construction of nonnegative solutions of inverse problems for dynamic systems. In this article the authors formulated and investigated inverse problems for dynamic systems: model of Samuelsson– Hicks. The technique of constructing non-negative solutions of the studied inverse problems. This method is based on the following scheme of the solution. First, we have to identify the formulation of the direct problem, then the formulation of the inverse. This work investigates how correct the mathematical models describing the dynamic economic system are. Further, in the specified tabular solutions of the direct problem, we have built a system of algebraic equations containing the unknown estimated parameters of the studied model. Then posed inverse problem is reduced to solution of a problem of quadratic programming, the solutions of which are defined in MS Excel. The theoretical material is accompanied by the specific example
253 kb

RUSSIAN SCIENTIFIC SCHOOL IN THE ECONOMETRICS FIELD

abstract 1211607006 issue 121 pp. 235 – 261 30.09.2016 ru 622
We have considered the formation of the Russian scientific school in the field of econometrics, obtained its obtained scientific results, the possibilities of their use in solving problems of the economy, the organization of production and controlling of industrial companies and organizations, as well as in teaching. As econometrics we consider a scientific and an academic discipline devoted to the development and application of statistical methods to study economic phenomena and processes, in short, statistical methods in economics. Therefore, we can say that a lot of domestic books and articles, in particular, the works by the author of this publication from the beginning of the 70s, are the parts of econometrics. However, in this article we consider only the works, in the titles of which we can see the word of "econometrics". In our country the term "econometrics" has become popular since the mid 90s. However, many publications and training courses are still developed in the western outdated paradigm. They do not conform to the new paradigm of mathematical methods of economics, the new paradigm of applied statistics and mathematical statistics, mathematical methods of research. Russian science school in the field of econometrics operates within the scientific school in the field of probability theory and mathematical statistics based by A.N. Kolmogorov. Russian science school is developed in accordance with the new paradigm of mathematical methods. It is necessary to examine the main results of Russian scientific schools in the field of econometrics. We present the information on the institutional design of national scientific schools in econometrics, in particular, on the activities of the Institute of High Technologies statistics and econometrics
298 kb

THE INVERSE PROBLEM OF A REPRODUCTION MODEL OF NATIONAL INCOME

abstract 1161602066 issue 116 pp. 972 – 982 29.02.2016 ru 626
In practice, there were developed and tested some mathematical models of balance relationships (balance model), economic growth, expanding economy, labour market, theories of consumption, production, competitive equilibrium models of the economy in conditions of imperfect competition and others. The basis of these models were based on linear algebra, mathematical analysis, mathematical programming, differential equations, optimization methods, optimal control theory, probability theory, stochastic processes, operations research, game theory, statistical analysis. The inverse problem in various models of mathematical Economics was considered quite rare. These tasks were sufficiently investigated in the study of physical processes. As shown by the analysis of the theoretical and applied studies of economic processes, they represent considerable interest for practice. Therefore, the considered in the study inverse problems of the mathematical model, as it is shown by the already introduced results of other mathematical models, are of considerable interest in applied and theoretical research. In this article, the authors have formulated and investigated an inverse problem for a model of economic growth. For its solution the authors propose to build a system of algebraic equations, using a reproduction model of national income; then, using methods of quadratic programming, to find the best average quadratic estimates of the model parameter
1854 kb

AMPLITUDE-FREQUENCY AND AMPLITUDEVELOCITY CHARACTERISTICS OF A RIGID OSCILLATING INCLUSION MOVING WITHIN A TWO-LAYER ISOTROPIC MEDIUM

abstract 1331709035 issue 133 pp. 448 – 466 30.11.2017 ru 631
The article is dedicated to a numerical investigation of a plane problem of the oscillation amplitude of a buried source, depending on the frequency and motion speed in various isotropic media. Three types of the medium are considered: a two-layer package with a rigidly fixed base, a two-layer package with a mechanically free base, a half-space. The source, in the form of a stress jump simulating a rigid inclusion of small dimensions, moves in the interface plane at a constant speed. Homogeneous boundary value problems are considered in a moving coordinate system associated with a source. The solution method is based on the usage of integral Fourier transforms, the method of direct contour integration and algorithms for constructing symbols of Green's matrices. The method of direct contour integration significantly simplifies calculations in comparison with the traditional approaches to the calculation of Fourier integrals. We have presented calculations of nine amplitude-frequency and amplitude-velocity characteristics for different combinations of medium and source types, that give an exhaustive qualitative and quantitative description of the solutions for boundary value problems in a wide range of velocities and frequencies. Comparative analysis of calculations showed a primary influence of the type of an elastic medium on the investigated characteristics, as well as the large influence of the source type. Which, in turn, revealed some substantial connections between the boundary value problems with a moving source and the corresponding problems with a stationary source
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