Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Baranovskaya Tatyana Petrovna

Scholastic degree


Academic rank

professor

Honorary rank

Organization, job position

Kuban State Agrarian University
   

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Articles count: 65

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562 kb

SYNTHESIS, VERIFICATION, AND THE STABILITY RESEARCH OF THE SYSTEM-COGNITIVE MODEL OF PROCESSING COMPLEX REGION

abstract 1011407016 issue 101 pp. 305 – 333 30.09.2014 ru 1167
In this article, in accordance with the methodology of SC analysis, we consider particular implementation stages of the synthesis of the numerical model and its analysis. We have also presented the results of the determination of the different states of the processing complex function of various factors on these states and their classification, as well as semantic networks and cognitive class diagrams and factors. On the basis of the analysis we made specific findings and recommendations for decision making at the management level of the region. After execution of the stages of cognitive structuring and formalization of the subject area the further stages of automated SC analysis have been accomplished, the first of which is the phase of the input database of precedents. All these steps are performed directly using "Eidos" universal cognitive analytical system
442 kb

MARKET ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF BUSINESS PROCESSES OF PUBLIC CATERING ORGANIZATIONS OF THE KRASNODAR KRAJPOTREBSOJUZ

abstract 1021408024 issue 102 pp. 374 – 398 31.10.2014 ru 2607
In the article we present the analysis of the market of public catering of the Russian Federation, the Krasnodar region. The role of public catering organizations in the total volume of activity of Krasnodar Krajpotreb-sojuz and the terms of socio-economic development of the Krasnodar region has been shown? As well as the modeling of business processes of public catering organizations. We have also revealed shortcomings in the organization of business processes and suggested ways of further studying of identified deficiencies
464 kb

COMPLEX MODELS FOR EVALUATION THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CREDIT USE BY SMALL AGRICULTURAL COMPANIES

abstract 1021408083 issue 102 pp. 1321 – 1342 31.10.2014 ru 1500
The article presents the results of the economic-mathematical modeling of the processes of evaluating the effectiveness of agricultural lending to small enterprises. It also describes the structure and the composition of the complex models and the numerical methods designed for this purpose
567 kb

DEVELOPMENT AND RESEARCH MODELS OF BUSINESS ARCHITECTURE OF SUBSYSTEM SALES OF CORPORATE INTEGRATED STRUCTURE

abstract 1121508140 issue 112 pp. 1940 – 1966 30.10.2015 ru 1218
The article describes basic principles and the results of modeling the business architecture of the company on the example of the subsystem sales of integrated corporate structures. As the object of investigation we have chosen the company called Dinskoy Meatprocessing complex, which is part of Southern diversified Corporation. The main artifacts of the conducted research are: graphical layout of business processes of a subsystem of the sales made in the instrumental environment of All Fusion Process Modeler (BPWin) and developed a model of decomposition of business processes, a model of business event, a model for the location of functions and integration model, and to evaluate the relationship between the business processes with the strategic direction of the organization. The source data for the study were collected by conducting a special survey of the organization within which the surveys were conducted, and interviewing of managers and employees of relevant structures of the research object, the study of local normative documents, regulations on departments, job descriptions, etc. The resulting set of artifacts of business architecture can be used further in the process of re-engineering business processes, developing indicators for the effectiveness functions, business processes, organization, and development of requirements for the application systems that automate the processing of data and development of subsequent domains of enterprise architecture
268 kb

THE ARCHITECTURE OF DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR THE ADEQUACY OF THE LEVEL OF LENDING TO SMALL AGRICULTURAL COMPANIES

abstract 1121508146 issue 112 pp. 2041 – 2053 30.10.2015 ru 994
The article presents the architecture of decision support system for the adequacy of the level of lending to small agricultural companies, which implements in its functionality the complex of models: the optimization of selling price of products, the efficiency mark for using of credit funds of single-product and multi-product companies by determined and fuzzy methods, assessment of the system stability of the enterprise. The system has the ability to work remotely using cloud computing, in which computing resources provided by the Internet users in the form of "online service". The article substantiates the need for the development of decision support systems for the adequacy of the level of lending to small agricultural enterprises. We have compiled requirements for the development of an appropriate system and identified a set of models to be implemented in the DSS , described the relationship between them and the technique of working with them. We have also defined names of the input and output data at various stages of working with the DSS as well as the generalized algorithm of the system. Based on the above, the article proposes and describes the architecture of decision support system. It is concluded, that the DSS is an interactive automated system that uses a model of decision-making, providing users with efficient access to data and provides them with a variety of opportunities to display information
365 kb

PROSPECTS FOR DEPLOYMENT OF DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR THE ADEQUACY OF THE LEVEL OF LENDING TO SMALL AGRICULTURAL COMPANIES IN THE CLOUD ENVIRONMENT

abstract 1121508147 issue 112 pp. 2054 – 2066 30.10.2015 ru 877
This article describes the opportunities and prospects for the deployment of decision support system for the adequacy of the level of lending to small agricultural enterprises in the cloud environment. It reveals the shortcomings in the existing automation of small businesses, and therefore the necessity of developing a system to enable managers to quickly and correctly calculate the amount of required loan funds. The developed system has the ability to work remotely due to the lack of binding the user to a specific personal computer. It is implemented through the development of a DSS using cloud computing, in which computer resources are provided to the Internet users in the form of "online service". The article describes the architecture of popular models and cloud Webapplications; after that, it was concluded to use the Saas model with Multi-Tenant-mode support in the model development. The study provides an overview of the DSS functioning in the cloud. It has noted the main features of the software implementation of the system relating to the use of cloud technologies. We have calculated the cost of placing an application in the cloud via the online cost calculator called Microsoft Azure. We have also performed a preliminary assessment of the payback period of the project implementation of DSS. It is concluded, that this technology would be competitive at the software market
378 kb

SWOT ANALYSIS OF BAKERY INDUSTRY OF CONSUMER COOPERATION OF THE KRASNODAR REGION

abstract 1131509050 issue 113 pp. 674 – 697 30.11.2015 ru 871
In the article, we perform an analysis of socioeconomic activities of consumer cooperation of the Krasnodar region. The result was determined by actual range of problems of development of the existing system. One of the key sectors of activity of consumer cooperation is the bakery, where today there is an unstable situation. Interviewing the managers and employees of the Regional Union of Consumer Societies of Krasnodar, enterprises of the bakery of the system allowed us to determine that the main reason for this situation is a poorly developed strategy of development. To develop recommendations for strategic development of the baking industry of consumer cooperatives we have conducted a SWOTanalysis based on identifying strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats, assessment of potential opportunities and threats and structuring strengths and weaknesses. Quantitative evaluation of factors in the matrix of SWOT-analysis experts were conducted by involving practitioners and scientists in related fields. The processing of research results was carried out with the use of the instrumental medium called "extended SWOT matrix 1.0". As a result, the research has conclusions and gives recommendations for the use of the strengths of enterprises to overcome the possible threats, use the opportunities to strengthen weaknesses. The proposed creation of a single logistics system that will have a positive impact on the consolidation and expansion of assortment and the range of services provided, improve the product, change advertising technologies, build your brand, will allow us to enter new markets, increase production volumes of enterprises of bakery industries of system of consumer cooperation of the Krasnodar region
665 kb

SYSTEM-COGNITIVE MODEL OF FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF DIVERSIFIED AGRO-INDUSTRIAL CORPORATIONS. PART I. COGNITIVE STRUCTURING AND FORMALIZATION OF THE SUBJECT AREA

abstract 1131509097 issue 113 pp. 1380 – 1396 30.11.2015 ru 1206
In this article, in accordance with the methodology of the Automated system-cognitive analysis (ASCanalysis), we examine the implementation of the 1st and 2nd stages of ASC-analysis: cognitive structuring and formalization of the subject area. At the stage of cognitive structurization of subject area, researchers decide what to consider as the object of modeling, the factors affecting it and the results of their actions. In accordance with the results of the cognitive structurization, we prepare the initial database for the study (training sample or case-based reasoning). At the stage of formalization of the subject area, the base of the original data is being normalized, i.e., we develop classification and description: the scale and graduations and with their use the base of the source data is being encoded. The result is a database of events (eventological database) and the training sample. The stage of cognitive structuring and preparation of the source data is not formalized and the formalization of the subject area is fully automated and performed directly with the use of the universal cognitive analytical system named "Eidos", which is a software Toolkit for ASC-analysis. Stages of cognitive structurization and formalization of the subject area of ASC-analysis are the first steps of data conversion into information and into knowledge. Subsequent steps: the synthesis and verification of system-cognitive model, the decision of problems of identification, forecasting and decision making, as well as studies of the modeled object by studying its model will be considered in future articles
862 kb

SYSTEM-COGNITIVE MODEL OF FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF DIVERSIFIED AGRO-INDUSTRIAL CORPORATIONS. PART II. SYNTHESIS AND MODEL VERIFICATION

abstract 1131509098 issue 113 pp. 1397 – 1410 30.11.2015 ru 838
In this article, in accordance with the methodology of the Automated system-cognitive analysis (ASCanalysis), we examine the implementation of the 3rd ASC-analysis: synthesis and verification of forecasting models of development of diversified agro-industrial corporations. In this step, we have synthesis and verification of 3 statistical and 7 system-cognitive models: ABS – matrix of the absolute frequencies, PRC1 and PRC2 – matrix of the conditional and unconditional distributions, INF1 and INF2 private criterion: the amount of knowledge based on A. Kharkevich, INF3 – private criterion: the Chi-square test: difference between the actual and the theoretically expected absolute frequencies INF4 and INF5 – private criterion: ROI - Return On Investment, INF6 and INF7 – private criterion: the difference between conditional and unconditional probability (coefficient of relationship). The reliability of the created models was assessed in accordance with the proposed metric is similar to the known F-test, but does not involve the performance of normal distribution, linearity of the object modeling, the independence and additivity acting factors. The accuracy of the obtained models was high enough to resolve the subsequent problems of identification, forecasting and decision making, as well as studies of the modeled object by studying its model, scheduled for consideration in future articles
322 kb

ABC & XYZ – ANALYSIS OF ASSORTMENT OF ENTERPRISES OF BAKERY INDUSTRIES OF CONSUMER COOPERATIVES

abstract 1141510101 issue 114 pp. 1386 – 1408 30.12.2015 ru 1081
To develop detailed and effective business model of bakery enterprises of consumer cooperation it is necessary to have knowledge on strategic goods displayed on a busy segment of the market, not only in volumetric terms, but in the parameters that characterize the stability of sales or consumption. The particular relevance of this study reveals in modern conditions of functioning. The outcome of the baking enterprises of consumer cooperatives is more than 760 tons per day, distributed between 41 baking enterprise producing more than 300 kinds of products. Of course, the information on quantitative and qualitative characteristics of the strategic positions of the range will be a key in making managerial decisions about the production of the program, resourcing, turnover, etc. To solve the problem we have chosen the method of ABC - and XYZ-analysis of assortment of production, based on the criteria of ease of use and breadth of the resulting information. As a result of the application of the methods of ABC and XYZ-analysis and combining the obtained results, we present a classification of the range of the baking enterprises of consumer cooperation product based on the criteria of the contribution of commodity positions in revenue and stability of sales
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