Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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837 kb

APPLICATION OF SPECTRAL ANALYSIS IN FORECASTING OF INDICATORS OF ACTIVITY OF COMPANIES OF THE SUGAR SUBCOMPLEX OF AIC

abstract 1281704058 issue 128 pp. 854 – 877 28.04.2017 ru 430
Improvement of consistency and effectiveness of strategic planning and forecasting in modern conditions requires the development of the existing classifications of types of planning, strategies, forecasts and forecast methods. This work examines the introduction to problems of spectral analysis of the macroeconomic dynamics of worldwide and Russian sugar subcomplex. The article is devoted to forecasting the activities of integrated manufacturing systems of sugar subcomplex in agro industrial subcomplex. The article deals with aspects of practical application of economic-mathematical methods (based on spectral analysis) to control the economic parameters of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex, oriented to meet the needs of the sugar production of the people not only of separate regions, but also of the country as a whole. Procedures of identifying and research of periodic components of the dynamics of the development of the agriculture segment are based on methods of spectral analysis of random processes. The study describes the performed experiments with various kinds of non-stationary time series of agricultural sector and food industry sugar subcomplex. The article provides examples of the results of numerical experiments the spectra of time series of sugar production, sown areas, gross harvest and yield of sugar beet and sugar cane across countries, systematic ideas and methods underlying the spectral analysis. The estimation of obtained results is given in article. The author’s algorithm for the adaptive method of spectral analysis was implemented in the context of a specific software product, named MS Excel. The results of the empirical research confirmed the possibility of practical use of developed models in forecasting possible scenarios for the development of sugar subcomplex in the interests of integrated production systems. The results are illustrated by numerous graphs based on real data. The projections of latent structures of sugar subcomplex by macroregions are built. It is revealed that each of the macroeconomic time series can contain at least from 2 to 13 harmonics (cycles) of different kind and strength of impact on the trend
288 kb

NUTRIENT MEDIUM FOR INDUCTION GEMMOGENESIS TO CREATE SOMATIC CLONES OF TEA PLANTS IN VITRO CULTURE

abstract 1321708100 issue 132 pp. 1258 – 1267 31.10.2017 ru 430
The article presents the first results of studies of somaclonal variability, which take place during cultivation of tea plants tissues and organs in vitro culture. As a starting material, there was used morphogenic callus, isolated from the basal part of tea microshoots, because callus increases somaclonal variability. An optimized protocol of the nutrient medium for induction gemmogenesis to product somatic clones of tea plants in vitro culture was developed. Morphogenesis calluses, initiated from the basal part of tea microshoots and subcultured on the nutrient medium with 6 – BAP – 2,5 ml + gibberellic acid – 1,0 ml + Tidiazuron – 4,0 ml + Tryptophan – 1000 mg, distinguished by high rates of induction of gemmogenesis – 63,3 %. The article studies the effect of exogenous growth regulators on morphological and growth indices of tea callus culture in vitro
141 kb

INTENTIONAL COMBINATIVITY OF COMMUNICATIVE STRATEGIES AND TACTICS AS A FACTOR OFA SUCCESSFUL POLITICAL SELF-PRESENTATION

abstract 1201606034 issue 120 pp. 504 – 514 30.06.2016 ru 431
Combinativity of speech strategies and tactics in a public political address as markers of a general intention within a framework of a background strategy of self-presentation is considered. The research methods of speech architectonic are determined. Structural and composite elements of a presidential speech are analyzed. Communicative strategies and tactics as means of an effective self-presentation are described
133 kb

ISSUES OF THE LEGALITY OF OPERATION AND SEARCH ACTIVITIES AND PREVENTION OF PROVOCATION IN THE CASES ABOUT BRIBERY

abstract 1341710062 issue 134 pp. 771 – 781 29.12.2017 ru 431
The article deals with the use of methods of operativeinvestigative activities in cases of bribery, inadmissibility of provocation by certain employees of operational units of law enforcement bodies against persons being developed in operational accounting cases. At the same time, the main attention is paid to strict observance of the criminal procedural legislation in the fight against this type of criminal activity; some problems associated with imperfection of the regulatory legal regulation in the course of operative investigation activities in the investigation of corruption crimes are investigated. The circle of subjects of provocative actions at stages before excitation of criminal case and carrying out of preliminary investigation is defined. The reasons and problems of revealing provocative actions are considered at carrying out of operatively-search actions on affairs about bribery. The spectrum of possible operative-search measures, which can be conducted with the purpose of revealing and fixing the facts of bribery, is analyzed. An assessment is made of the possibility of using the results of such an operational-search activity as an operational introduction in establishing the facts of bribery. An analysis of the judgments of the European Court of Human Rights on cases of provocative actions during the conduct of operational-search activities at various stages of criminal proceedings in criminal cases on bribery
380 kb

LOGARITHMIC LAW AND EMERGENCE PARAMETER OF CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM SYSTEMS

abstract 1201606110 issue 120 pp. 1659 – 1685 30.06.2016 ru 432
The work discusses various examples of physical systems which state is determined by the logarithmic law - quantum and classical statistical systems and relativistic motion in multidimensional spaces. It was established that the Fermi-Dirac statistics and BoseEinstein-Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution could be described by a single equation, which follows from Einstein's equations for systems with central symmetry. We have built the rate of emergence of classical and quantum systems. The interrelation between statistical and dynamic parameters in supergravity theory in spaces of arbitrary dimension was established. It is shown that the description of the motion of a large number of particles can be reduced to the problem of motion on a hypersphere. Radial motion in this model is reduced to the known distributions of quantum and classical statistics. The model of angular movement is reduced to a system of nonlinear equations describing the interaction of a test particle with sources logarithmic type. The HamiltonJacobi equation was integrated under the most general assumptions in the case of centrally-symmetric metric. The dependence of actions on the system parameters and metrics was found out. It is shown that in the case of fermions the action reaches extremum in fourdimensional space. In the case of bosons there is a local extremum of action in spaces of any dimension
158 kb

IMPORT SUBSTITUTION AS AIC DEVELOPMENT VECTOR

abstract 1191605062 issue 119 pp. 865 – 876 31.05.2016 ru 433
The article is devoted to the process of import substitution, which received active development in the light imposed by Western countries so-called "antiRussian sanctions". The subject of the research was the production process in agriculture. The authors conducted a study of the major trends and features of import substitution and its effect on various economic indicators and processes. The article presents statistics of changes occurring under the influence of this process on the level of the Russian Federation and the Krasnodar region. The choice of the region is due to the fact that the Krasnodar region is one of the leaders among Russian regions in terms of agricultural development. The study provides statistical data for the last few years for the most complete and accurate reflection of the dynamics of indicators of the economic basis of products realization and production of in the sphere of Agrarian and Industrial Complex of Russia and the Krasnodar region. The authors consider the prospects and possible results to which the process of import substitution can lead. A prediction was eventually made as to when and how the Russian state will be able to safely and fully move on to the process of import substitution
250 kb

THE INFLUENCE OF TRANSNATIONAL BANKS ON THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM OF RUSSIA

abstract 1291705064 issue 129 pp. 881 – 891 31.05.2017 ru 433
The relevance of the topic is related to the fact that TNBs have a decisive influence on the development of the global economy and the restructuring of international economic relations, significantly accelerating the processes of globalization. The presented article details the consequences of the arrival of foreign transnational banks in the banking system of Russia. The analysis of the number of credit organizations with the participation of non-residents was carried out. The structure of credit institutions with foreign investments in Russia by the share of non-residents in their authorized capital is examined. The rating of banks with 100% participation of non-residents on the size of the authorized capital was compiled. State measures for regulating the activities of foreign banks are examined in detail. The problems of the development of the Russian banking system are revealed and a set of measures for its development is proposed
197 kb

MEANS AND METHODS OF INFORMATION SECURITY IN THE ECONOMIC SPHERE

abstract 1191605047 issue 119 pp. 653 – 665 31.05.2016 ru 434
People commit nine out of ten acts of sabotage, one way or another associated with information technologies. According to experts at InfoWatch, developer of systems to protect confidential information from insiders, the reason for this profession lies in the psychological characteristics of these employees. To understand the problem let a couple of real-life examples illustrate the typical traits of professionals in the information environment. In addition, if the first teller did not hide his name, the latter decided to remain anonymous. Deep psychological background of the act of sabotage often leads to the fact that a disgruntled employee threatens boss or coworkers, for example, by e-mail. Sometimes he even shares his thoughts with someone from colleagues. In other words, it is not only the attacker, who knows the information about the planned diversion. Analysts estimate, that in 31% of cases, other people have the information about the plans of the saboteur. Of these, 64% are colleagues, 21% are friends, 14% — family members, and another 14% are allies. In addition, we were able to establish that 62% of corporate saboteurs think about their actions in advance. In 47% of cases, they commit preparatory acts (e.g., theft of confidential data backups). 27% — design and test of the future mechanism of the attack (preparing a logic bomb for the corporate network, additional hidden inputs to the system, etc.). Whilst in 37% of cases of the activity of employees, you may notice: 67% of the preparatory action may be visible online, 11% are visible offline, 22% — both at once
172 kb

THE ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL ACTIVITY OF J.C. «NOVOROSLESEXPORT» BY MEANS OF THE METHOD OF REFERENCE DYNAMICS

abstract 1211607051 issue 121 pp. 869 – 882 30.09.2016 ru 434
Financial analysis is an integral part of a company activity. Success of the business depends on it. Today to detect financial position of companies we use a complex analysis, which has several weaknesses such as the grounds for manager’s decisions and difficulties in identifying of influence of all indexes. Therefore, we suggest using the method of reference dynamics for systematizing results ranging to the importance degree. This method was founded by I.M.Siroezhin. The main theses will be described in this article later. To examine it in detail the article presents the performed financial analysis of J.C. «Novoroslesexport», which is one of the most important and largest companies in the Black Sea Coast and situated in Russian port Novorossiysk, by means of using of the method of reference dynamics of liquid indexes. In conclusion, the results of this analysis would allow detecting weak spots and follow-up measures for resolving issues
209 kb

MUSTARD PROTEIN-CONTAINING FODDER CONCENTRATE "GORLINKA" USE IN DAIRY COWS’ DIET

abstract 1311707134 issue 131 pp. 1638 – 1652 29.09.2017 ru 434
The researches on the mustard protein-containing fodder concentrate "Gorlinka" use were carried out during 2015-2016 in the laboratories of Volgograd state agrarian university, as well as at LLC "Donagrogaz" in the Frolovsky district of the Volgograd region. During the research, the authors studied the new high protein fodder additive influence on the digestibility and feeds absorbency, as well as on the blood morphological and biochemical parameters. During the research, it was established that the used fodder additive has a positive influence on the dynamics of the digestibility coefficients and the nitrogen balance. During the physiological experiment, all the experimental cows had a positive nitrogen balance, in the control group it was 9.8 g (the lowest value), in the second group, it was 12.6 g, and in the first one, it was 12.0. When determining the experimental animals’ blood biochemical and morphological parameters the content of the studied components corresponds to the physiological norms. The average daily milk yield for the analogues from the 1st test group was higher as compared to the control, by 1.01 kg, or 5.1%. The mean daily milk yield of the control group was also lower than for the cows of the 2nd test group by 1.45 kg, or 7.4%
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