Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Orlov Alexander Ivanovich

Scholastic degree




Academic rank

professor

Honorary rank

Organization, job position

Bauman Moscow State Technical University
   

Web site url

Email

prof-orlov@mail.ru


Articles count: 123

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211 kb

ORGANIZATIONAL-ECONOMIC MODELING OF THE CONTROL PROBLEMS OF ECONOMIC UNITS

abstract 0871303053 issue 87 pp. 672 – 698 30.03.2013 ru 987
The management was established in Bauman Mos-cow State Technical University. The core of the economic theory is engineering economics, above all - product lifecycle management, controlling and organizational-economic modelling. The article illustrates how economists and managers can help teams to achieve innovation
254 kb

THE PROBLEMS OF METHODOLOGY OF PUBLIC POLICY AND MANAGEMENT IN NON-FORMAL INFORMATIONAL ECONOMY OF THE FUTURE

abstract 0881304041 issue 88 pp. 593 – 619 30.04.2013 ru 1214
The basic ideas of non-formal informational economy of the future (NIEF) are analyzed. Its use as the base organizational-economic theory in exchange «economics» is proved. Core of researches in the field of the NIEF is forecasting of development of the future society and its economy, working out of organizational-economic methods and models, necessary for the future and intended for increase of efficiency of managerial processes. The economy is a science how to make, instead of, how to divide profit. The basic kernel of the modern economic theory is an engineering economy
247 kb

AVERAGE VALUES AND RULES OF LARGE NUMBERS IN THE SPACES OF ARBITRARY ORIGIN

abstract 0891305038 issue 89 pp. 556 – 586 29.05.2013 ru 1298
The new results of the sample average values in different spaces and rules of large numbers for them are given in the article. We also introduced the weighted average values of type I corresponding to the sample, and type II, corresponding to the set of order statistics. The evolution of ideas about the Kemeny distance and the Kemeny median is traced. The modified Kemeny median, convenient for computation and avoiding the effect of the "center of the bagel hole" is proposed. As a generalization of the Kemeny median, we introduced and studied the empirical and theoretical values in the spaces of arbitrary origin. For them, we proved the rules of large numbers
234 kb

MAIN FEATURES OF THE NEW PARADIGM OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS

abstract 0901306013 issue 90 pp. 188 – 214 30.06.2013 ru 926
The new paradigm of mathematical statistics is based on the transition from parametric to nonparametric statistical methods, the numerical data - to non-numeric, on the intensive use of information technology. Its distinctive features are revealed in comparison with the old paradigm of mathematical statistics in the mid-twentieth century
261 kb

RENEWAL DEPENDENCE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES BASED NONPARAMETRIC MODEL WITH PERIODIC COMPONENT

abstract 0911307013 issue 91 pp. 192 – 221 30.09.2013 ru 1370
We consider the nonparametric problem of reneval dependence, which is described by the sum of a linear trend and periodic function with a known period. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of the parameter estimates and the trend component. The methods of estimating the periodic component and designing in-terval forecast. In the model of the points of observa-tion, natural for applications, justified by the condi-tions of use. In particular, we prove an asymptotically unbiased estimate of the coefficient of the linear term
1123 kb

SYSTEM FUZZY INTERVAL MATHEMATICS - A PROMISING AREA OF THEORETICAL AND COMPUTATIONAL MATHEMATICS

abstract 0911307015 issue 91 pp. 258 – 310 30.09.2013 ru 1022
The article b riefly considers the prospects of some “points of growth” in the modern theoretical and computational mathematics: the numbers and sets, i.e. the base of modern mathematics; mathematical, pragmatic and computer numbers; from the usual sets - to unclear; the theory of fuzzy sets and “fuzzy dou-bling” of mathematics; the mix of fuzzy set theory to the theory of random sets; interval numbers as a spe-cial case of fuzzy sets; development of interval mathematics (interval doubling of mathematics); the system as a generalization of a multitude; the systematic generalization of mathematics and tasks emerging; the systematic generalization of operations on sets (on the example of the operation of the Boolean association); the systematic generalization of the concept of functions and functional dependencies participation; cognitive function; the matrix of knowledge as fuzziness with an estimated degree of truth of showing data systems arguments on the system of values of the function; modification of the method of least squares for the approximation of cognitive functions; development of the idea of the systematic generalization of mathematics in the field of information theory – system emergent information theory; information measures of the level of consistency; ratios of emergence; direct and opposite, direct and indirect logical reasoning with an estimated level of truth; intellectual system of Eidos X++ as a toolkit that implements the ideas of system of a fuzzy interval sum of mathematics
245 kb

FUZZY SETS THEORY AS THE PART OF PROBABILITY THEORY

abstract 0921308039 issue 92 pp. 590 – 618 31.10.2013 ru 1010
One of the key provisions of the system fuzzy interval mathematics - the claim that the theory of fuzzy sets is the part of the theory of random sets, thus, part of the probability theory. The article is devoted to the justification of this statement. Proved number of theorems that show that the fuzzy sets and the results of operations on them can be viewed as the projections of random sets and the results of the corresponding operations on them
285 kb

ABOUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE STATISTICS OF NONNUMERICAL OBJECTS

abstract 0931309019 issue 93 pp. 271 – 307 30.11.2013 ru 925
About thirty-five years ago, the statistics of non-numerical objects was highlighted as an independent field of mathematical statistics. This article analyzes the basic ideas in this area, and relevant publications on the background of the development of applied statistics, and in connection with the system fuzzy interval mathematics
239 kb

THEORY OF EXPERT ESTIMATES IN OUR COUNTRY

abstract 0931309114 issue 93 pp. 1648 – 1679 30.11.2013 ru 785
Is given the analysis of the development of expert estimates in our country after the war. Are presented a diversity of expert technologies, the main ideas and publications that help identify the driving forces of development in this promising scientific and practical field
233 kb

BASIC IDEAS OF INTERVAL DATA STATISTICS

abstract 0941310060 issue 94 pp. 868 – 893 27.12.2013 ru 1443
In the article we have considered the basic idea of asymptotic mathematical statistics of interval data, in which the elements of a sample are not the numbers, but the intervals. Algorithms and conclusions of interval data statistics fundamentally different from the classical ones. The results related to the basic concepts of notna and rational sample sizes are listed. Interval data statistics as an integral part of the system of fuzzy interval mathematics is shown
.