Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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448 kb

FORECASTING OF SUNFLOWER YIELD FOR THE KRASNODAR REGION WITH THE USE OF SYSTEM-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS (PART II: Formal statement of the problem and the transfor-mation of raw data into information, and infor-mation into knowledge)

abstract 0841210031 issue 84 pp. 376 – 401 28.12.2012 ru 1422
In this article, for the first time, the synthesis and veri-fication of the system-cognitive model of artificial ecosystems of sunflower crops in the Krasnodar region (at the levels of regions and in the whole region) are carried out. On the basis of the developed models, there are solved tasks: 1. Forecasting scenario of sun-flower yield for the period from 1 to 5 years. 2. The scientific study of artificial ecosystems of sunflower crops in the Krasnodar region (at the levels of regions and in the whole region)
119 kb

VENTURE BUSINESS AS AN INNOVATIVE SECTOR OF SMALL BUSINESS

abstract 0841210033 issue 84 pp. 428 – 437 28.12.2012 ru 1705
In the article, the possibilities of venture business are examined as an innovative sector of a small company, which assists the acceleration of scientific and technical progress
863 kb

WORLD WAR PRODUCTION AND OTHER EXPENSES AT ITS CONTENTS TO THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS

abstract 0841210070 issue 84 pp. 896 – 905 28.12.2012 ru 764
Author of the article examines the current state of the global arms industry in the world and makes it possible to identify the main trends of its development. The modern global financial crisis, which is well-known in almost all regions, led to a reduction in military spend-ing in many countries. Thus, in Western and Central Europe were introduced austerity measures, including military spending. However, the design of the military budget for 2013, the U.S. seeks to maintain the re-quired level of readiness and technical equipment of the armed forces, improvement of the financial situa-tion, housing and other types of support for the mili-tary. The article presents the ranking of countries on military expenses in 2011, and has the appropriate conclusions
360 kb

FORECASTING OF SUNFLOWER YIELD FOR THE KRASNODAR REGION WITH THE USE OF SYSTEM-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS (PART I: PROBLEMS OF STUDY)

abstract 0841210030 issue 84 pp. 359 – 375 28.12.2012 ru 1793
In this article the general form of the formulated prob-lem of the creation of the scientific-informed and ef-fective tool for forecasting dynamics of sunflower yield in the areas of the Krasnodar region and in the whole region. We have proposed and substantiated the possibility to predict scenario of sunflower yield through the application of artificial intelligence tech-nologies, in particular, of the method of system-cognitive analysis
223 kb

AGRICULTURAL WHOLESALE MARKET AS A FACTOR OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE IN-STITUTIONAL AREA OF THE REGION

abstract 0841210062 issue 84 pp. 803 – 823 28.12.2012 ru 1910
In the article, the feasibility of wholesale food market in the region is stated, and the principles of its operation are presented. The calculation of a possible turnover in the wholesale market of the Republic of Adygea, and the scheme of its location in the city of Maikop are shown
830 kb

REGIONAL DISPARITIES IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

abstract 0841210022 issue 84 pp. 272 – 283 28.12.2012 ru 1462
The article analyzes the scale, dynamics, and structures of the regional disparities in the Russian economic space in the period from 1998 to 2010. There were done international comparisons of regional disparities in Russia, developed countries and China. The Gini coefficient and the Theil entropy index were used while calculating
151 kb

FEATURES OF DEVELOPMENT AND REGULATION OF SUBJECTS OF SMALL FARMS IN AGRICULTURE

abstract 0841210078 issue 84 pp. 979 – 993 28.12.2012 ru 1548
The article systematizes the singularity de-velopment and management of small farms (SFB), analyzes their competitive position, the technique of definition of the capacity of their market segment, is a model of a con-sumer cooperative multi SFB
131 kb

SCREENWRITING FORECASTING OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS’S DEVELOPMENT

abstract 0841210058 issue 84 pp. 757 – 769 28.12.2012 ru 2526
The article describes the methodological approaches to screenwriting predicting complex economic processes based on the systemic nature of the study. This article presents some of the approaches to the construction of scenarios, such as the imitation modeling of economic processes and expert approach allowing obtaining long term scenarios based on global patterns of development
1212 kb

FORECASTING OF SUNFLOWER YIELD FOR THE KRASNODAR REGION WITH THE USE OF SYSTEM-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS (PART III: Decision of the tasks of forecasting and research of the subject area)

abstract 0841210032 issue 84 pp. 402 – 427 28.12.2012 ru 1956
In the article we have offered the technology and the methodology for the formulation and the solution of the problem of forecasting scenarios of changes in yield sunflower seeds at the level of a region and its districts, on the basis of the system-cognitive model that is different from the traditional: a high degree of formalization of the model of knowledge; the possibil-ity of the synthesis matrix transfer function of the object of forecasting directly on the basis of empirical data; correct work with incomplete (fragmented) and noisy data. For the first time, the study of the system-cognitive model of artificial ecosystems of sunflower in the Krasnodar Region, which is correctly regarded as the study of the ecosystem, as the verification of this model has shown its high adequacy has been conduct-ed
320 kb

NOBEL LAUREATES IN ECONOMICS: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

abstract 0831209010 issue 83 pp. 95 – 114 30.11.2012 ru 1958
In the article, we present the procedure for nomination and approval of the award winners from the Swedish state-owned bank in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel (Nobel Prize in economics). As well as the analysis of works by winners of subjects, the patterns for the Nobel Prize, and its components are shown
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