Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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6639 kb

ASC-ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS ON THE QUALITY OF LIFE OF THE POPULATION OF THE REGION

abstract 1101506001 issue 110 pp. 1 – 37 30.06.2015 ru 1099
Without science it would be impossible to form a full environmental consciousness. To increase the validity and weight of the findings on the impact of environment on quality of life, it is necessary to quantify the strength and direction of the influence of diverse environmental factors. However, it appears that this is quite problematic for a number of reasons. First, it is the lack or inaccessibility of source of data which is necessary for such type of research. The same data, which still can be found cover just small periods of observations (small longitudinal research data), and their completion, including performing experiments, is fundamentally impossible. As a result, it is impossible to require such full data replications, which is a necessary condition for correct applying of factor analysis. Secondly, environmental factors are described with heterogeneous indices measured in different types of measurement scales (nominal, ordinal and numerical) and in different measurement units. Mathematical methods of comparable processing of such data, and the right software tools for these methods, generally speaking, do not exist. Third, these tasks are large-scale problems, i.e. they are not talking about 5 or max 7 factors as it was in factor analysis, but about hundreds and thousands. Fourthly, the original data is noisy and require sustainable methods. Fifthly, environmental factors are interrelated and require nonlinear nonparametric approaches. To solve these problems it is proposed to apply a new innovative intelligent technology: automated system-cognitive analysis and its software tool – a system called "Eidos". We have also given a brief numerical example of assessing the impact of environmental factors on life expectancy and causes of death
145 kb

SOME WAYS TO HIDE TRANSFERRED INFORMATION IN RUSSIAN CRIMINAL DISCOURSE VS. COMPUTERIZED SYSTEMCOGNITIVE ANALYSIS

abstract 1101506002 issue 110 pp. 38 – 48 30.06.2015 ru 1003
The article focuses on the possibilities of application of the Computerized System-Cognitive Analysis (CSC-Analysis) and the “Eidos” Intellectual System for the Russian criminal discourse in its various aspects. In the work, the author shows some simultaneous ways to transfer information to the Initiated and hide it from others. The author distinguishes such public-key cryptography system from their background and proves its resistivity to modern cryptography methods. The New Thieves’ (Felons’) Law as a public-key cryptography system is based on asymmetric functions, works according to the Kerckhoffs’s law, uses accidental public keys and “knapsack trapdoors” (RSA algorithm and the Diffie-Hellman-Merkle Key-Exchange Protocol). The terms are used in this paper according to modern level of scientific knowledge. In the Russian criminal discourse, the mathematical principle for such system is called “The Russian Felony Idea”. A classical content-analysis applicable for other ways to hide transferred information in this paper is inconsistent for such cryptosystem. The author also suggests some ideas concerning further modifications of the “Eidos” Intellectual System to apply it sufficiently for such public-key cryptography system. Moreover, the author focuses on the problem of the New Thieves’ (Felons’) Law as Fait juridique
472 kb

TO THE QUESTION OF PREPARATION OF THE CONCENTRATED FORAGES IN FEEDING DEVICES CARS ON THE BASIS OF RELATIVE SCREW DRUMS

abstract 1101506003 issue 110 pp. 49 – 69 30.06.2015 ru 978
It is shown that for preparation of the concentrated forages it is expedient to use the vibration principle of mixing with use of big amplitudes of movements of components of forages from 10 to 500 mm. and more which can be done when using relative screw drums at the expense of the flat or curvilinear elements which are discretely located on perimeter of a relative screw drum placed on perimeter at an angle not only to an axis of rotation of a relative screw drum, but also to each other, the difficult spatial movement with a big amplitude of movements from 10 to 500 mm is reported to particles of components of forages. Possibility of creation of resource-saving technologies and the equipment for mixing of components of forages is shown. Earlier it was limited to low intensity of the proceeding processes and localization in a limited zone, and also small sizes of amplitudes of fluctuations in known designs. In the offered designs of the equipment for mixing of components of forages the movement of particles of components of forages is provided with an original design of working bodies – the relative screw drums making only a rotary motion round own axis. The difficult spatial movement with a big amplitude from 10 to 500 mm and more, is reported to particles of components of forages by walls of a relative screw drum of various standard sizes and configurations which becomes complicated screw lines and screw surfaces directed towards to each other on perimeter of a screw drum therefore process duration ranging from 1,5 min. till 1.75 min. is sufficient for high-quality mixing of particles of components of forages in a relative screw drum
208 kb

THE OPERATED EYE HYDRODYNAMICS MATHEMATICAL MODELING FOR OPTIMIZATION OF SURGERY THECNIQUE

abstract 1101506004 issue 110 pp. 70 – 85 30.06.2015 ru 1333
Acceptable values of the drainage hole parameters in the shunt glaucoma surgery were calculated by means of mathematical modeling of different conditions of eye hydrodynamics. The operation method was designed with provision for pressure gradient, rate of the aqueous humor outflow, and the values of intraocular pressure in early and late postoperative period. The balance of liquid in eye was calculated in mathematical model as ordinary differential equation in accordance with flow resistance of every section. The data received by using mathematical model has shown that allowable rate of aqueous humor outflow is gained with the hole diameter of 0,025 mm. This mathematical model should assist to the better understanding of physical processes describing the eye hydrodynamics, should benefit to the operation quality and should create the base to the clinical studies
180 kb

THE EVALUATING EFFECTIVENESS OF BY-PRODUCTS AND PLANT COMPONENTS IN THE TECHNOLOGY OF DOUGH HALF-STUFF

abstract 1101506005 issue 110 pp. 86 – 95 30.06.2015 ru 1048
The article contains the estimation of effectiveness in the use of by-products, cameline-seed oil and amaranth flour in the meat by-products in the dough. By-products were used for the purpose of the expansion of the assortment of the meat semi-finished products in the dough. Amaranth flour was introduced for the purpose of an improvement in the organoleptic and functional- technological characteristics of the stuffing and an increase in the quantity of protein. Cameline-seed oil was added for the purpose of the enrichment of product by omega- acids. As the experimental models we have made pelmeni (ravioli), the relationship of dough and stuffing in which comprised 1:1. In the prototypes the flour from the amaranth was introduced in quantity 5, 10 and 15%. Cameline-seed oil was introduced in quantity 2%. Models with the amaranth flour in quantity 5% had the smaller output of product and the insufficient moisture-binding ability. Models with the content of flour from the amaranth in quantity 15% had the strong smell of plant component. Experimental model with a quantity of amaranth flour 10% on the organoleptic characteristic proved to be best, and there composition was acknowledged most optimum. The studies of the experimental models of meat semi-finished products in the dough showed that the use of amaranth flour contributes to an increase in the moisture-binding ability of stuffing, to an increase in the output of product, to an increase in the content of protein and irreplaceable amino acids. According to the results of all conducted studies is made the conclusion that flour amaranth can be used as the moisture-binding component for making of meat semi-finished products in the dough
325 kb

MODEL OF MULTIVARIATE FUZZY TIME SERIES FORECASTING OF ENERGY LOSSES

abstract 1101506006 issue 110 pp. 96 – 110 30.06.2015 ru 1124
Nowadays the high level of electricity losses is one of the most important issues of the energy industry in the Russian Federation recognized at the state level. According to many sources, one of the activities that contribute to reduce energy losses, is their planning, an important component of which is the prediction of electricity losses on the basis of retrospective information. The highest percentage of technical losses of electricity is accounted for distribution network with a voltage range 0,4-35 kV. In this regard, the most productive activity is forecast construction namely of this component of power losses. According to some features of the regarded value (electricity losses) the most effective activity for its forecasting is using methods with artificial intelligence elements. One of these methods, having a number of important advantages, is forecasting fuzzy time series. This technique is widely consecrated in foreign publications, but did not find sufficient popularity in our country. This article analyzes the existing models of forecasting fuzzy time series on the basis of which proposals for their improvement and adaptation in order to predict the loss of electricity are made; designed model of multivariate fuzzy time series forecasting of energy losses is given
175 kb

MODELING THE DYNAMICS OF THE MARKET SYSTEM

abstract 1101506007 issue 110 pp. 111 – 122 30.06.2015 ru 896
In the modern conditions of dynamic development of the market system, the economy, feeling polynomial enthusiasm and recessions, demands external influence, regulation, management. It isn't possible to realize an effective control system of economy without understanding of a consequence. The regulating structure represented by the state needs an effective system of the support of decision-making allowing to estimate the consequences of the made decisions before their direct realization. Use of modern methods of complex estimation for modeling of market system on the basis of trees of criteria and matrixes of convolution allows forming a static market model in the form of the functions of sensitivity interpreted as curves of supply and demand. However, the questions of creation of dynamic market system on the basis of these mechanisms weren't discussed so far. In this article the questions of possibility of modeling of dynamics of the market system built on the basis of mechanisms of complex estimation are discussed. Relevance of the chosen method depends on the possibility of preliminary formation of possible outcomes of an event in the form of the count on definition further of probability of transition to each of states on the basis of a complex assessment of the individual of "advantage" of such transition. An additional benefit of such approach is that fact that when forming market system from some contingent of participants with different behavior models for each of them there is an opportunity to create the scenario, and when receiving at a stage of modeling of result to reconsider the new created structure of structure of society
156 kb

THE EFFICIENCY OF USE OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IN THE REPUBLIC OF ADYGEA

abstract 1101506008 issue 110 pp. 123 – 137 30.06.2015 ru 1090
In statistical reporting, the distribution of agricultural land by the farm land users has been given in great detail – for all organizational-legal types of users. Farms and individual entrepreneurs, as well as private households, collective and individual gardeners and gardeners are considered as a separate line. At the same time, the number of livestock and production of livestock products is given only in three groups of land users: agricultural organizations, population farms and the peasant (farmer) economy. To objectively determine the effectiveness of the use of land resources, the authors propose the above legal group to combine the two: the first group – agricultural organizations, population farms, including households; the second group – (peasant) farms and individual entrepreneurs, as the conversion of the first into the second is not yet complete. This approach to analysis will allow to determine more reasonably (objectively) the effectiveness of farmland use in the enterprises of various organizational-legal management forms, as high rates of livestock production in private farms are received not only by its own land, but at the expense of lands of agricultural organizations in which they work. Analysis of cattle and poultry meat production in live weight, of milk in net weight showed that in agricultural enterprises and private farms average production per 100 ha of agricultural lands compared to private (peasant) farms and individual entrepreneurs for 2011-2013 was: of cattle and poultry meat – 31.2 times as much, of milk –14.6 times as much, provided that the latter is 23,7 % of agricultural lands of the Republic. For the analyzed period the average data for 2011-2013 compared to 2008-2010 year on meat increased by 57.7 per cent, of milk – 6.7%. This suggests that there are still significant growth reserves through better use of farmland in the peasant farms and farms of individual entrepreneurs
6248 kb

AUTOMATED SYSTEMIC-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS OF CONTOURS OF IMAGES (generalization, abstraction, classification and identification)

abstract 1101506009 issue 110 pp. 138 – 168 30.06.2015 ru 943
In the article the application of systemic-cognitive analysis, its mathematical model - the system theory of the information and its program toolkit - "Eidos" system for synthesis of the generalized images of classes, their abstraction, classification of the generalized images (clusters and constructs) comparisons of concrete images with the generalized images (identification) are examined. We suggest a new approach to the digitization of images, based on the use of the polar coordinate system, the center of gravity of the image and its contour. Before digitizing images we can use their changes to standardize the position of the picture-frames, their size and rotation. Therefore, if you specify this option, the results of digitization and image ASC-analysis can be invariant (independent) to their position, size and rotation. This means that in the model on the basis of a number of specific examples we will create one image of each class of images, independent of their specific implementations, i.e., the "Eidos" of these images (in the sense of Plato) - a prototype or archetype (in the Jungian sense) images. But the "Eidos" system provides not only the formation of prototype images, which quantitatively reflects the amount of information in the image elements of the prototype, but the removal of all irrelevant to identification (abstraction), and the comparison of specific images with generic (identification) and the generalized images of images together (classification). The article provides a detailed numerical example of ASC- analysis of images
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POLITICAL INFANTILISM OF TODAY'S YOUTH AS A DISTORTION FACTOR OF THE VALUE ORIENTATION SYSTEM

abstract 1101506010 issue 110 pp. 169 – 177 30.06.2015 ru 1738
The article reveals the essence of the concept of social and political infantilism and investigates social and cultural background of infantilization, describes various forms of political immaturity manifested at the level of government; political institutions; society as a collective subject of political life; personal political infantilism and etc. The reasons of society infantilization are as follows: violation of the processes of political socialization, the distortion of the social and political reality by means of the media and social media and occurring deformation of the value orientations system, resulting from it. The values have a number of important functions: a constitutive, function a regulatory function and a, orientation one. One of the main functions is preserving the stability of social systems. This is what determines the importance of common values for large social groups. Their presence is a powerful unifying factor, while the destruction can lead to disturbances in the development and even the disintegration of society. The most vulnerable social group, in terms of manifestation of infantilism, is the youth. In the process of socialization the younger generations learn, correct, and form certain values, displaying high activity. This feature is often used by young people to control social crises, to implement color revolutions, and etc. Youth inherent lability of consciousness and social orientations instability makes it relatively easy to manipulate this social group in the political process, affecting primarily the system of their values. This will drastically increase the importance of the revival of the youth socialization mechanisms at a qualitatively new level and reduce the risks of its infantilization
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