Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Orlov Alexander Ivanovich

Scholastic degree




Academic rank

professor

Honorary rank

—

Organization, job position

Bauman Moscow State Technical University
   

Web site url

—

Email

prof-orlov@mail.ru


Articles count: 155

279 kb

ORGANIZATIONAL-ECONOMIC SUPPORT OF INNOVATIONS IN THE ROCKET AND SPACE INDUSTRY

abstract 1021408005 issue 102 pp. 112 – 143 31.10.2014 ru 1070
We discuss the reasons for the development of organizational-economic support (OES) in the rocket and space industry (RSI). We have also considered the problems of estimation of the effectiveness of innovation-investment projects and ECO project management to create the rocket and space technics. On the basis of the analysis of the state and prospects of development we have developed the proposals for OES of innovation in RSI
284 kb

METHODOLOGY OF CONTROL PROCESSES MODELING IN SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

abstract 1011407011 issue 101 pp. 166 – 196 30.09.2014 ru 1594
The article introduces the basic concepts of control theory. It has also noted the multicriteriality of real control problems. After reviewing the basic concepts of the theory of modeling we have analyzed postwar history and current status of mathematical modeling of control processes. We have also discussed the modeling methodology. As an example of a real model of the management process we have considered a model of allocation of time between the acquisition of knowledge and development of skills
264 kb

NONPARAMETRIC AND APPLIED STATISTICS IN OUR COUNTRY

abstract 1011407012 issue 101 pp. 197 – 226 30.09.2014 ru 1541
We continue the series of articles about the history of statistics. We discuss the development of nonparametric and applied statistics in our country in 1930 - 1980 years. We have presented the studies of the great statisticians of the twentieth century, such as N.V. Smirnov, L.N. Bolshev, V.V. Nalimov. American statistics show Russian debate about applied statistics. We have briefly listed the process of creation of the All-Union Statistical Association (1990) and its further developments
244 kb

DISTANCES IN THE SPACES OF STATISTICAL DATA

abstract 1011407013 issue 101 pp. 227 – 252 30.09.2014 ru 1394
The core of applied statistics is statistics in spaces of arbitrary nature, based on the use of distances and optimization problems. This article discusses the various distances in spaces of statistical data, in particular, their conclusions on the basis of appropriate systems of axioms. The conditions and proofs of theorems first published in scientific periodicals
233 kb

THEORETICAL TOOLS OF STATISTICAL METHODS

abstract 1011407014 issue 101 pp. 253 – 274 30.09.2014 ru 1071
We have considered the basic mathematical tools (theorems, methods) which are used regularly in the justification of new results in the field of statistical methods: rules of large numbers, central limit theorems, the necessary and sufficient conditions for the inheritance of convergence, the linearization method, the invariance principle
281 kb

THEORY OF LUSIANS

abstract 1011407015 issue 101 pp. 275 – 304 30.09.2014 ru 1325
Lusian - dichotomous data model as a finite sequence of independent Bernoulli trials with, generally speaking, different probabilities of success. The tasks of statistical hypothesis testing, classification, averaging lusians are discussed. In accordance with the requirements of practice the problems are considered primarily in the asymptotic behavior of increasing dimension, in which the number of unknown parameters increases in proportion to the size of data. The method of testing hypotheses on set of small samples and the theory of unbiased statistical estimates were proved to be useful
285 kb

SCIENCE AS THE OBJECT OF MANAGEMENT

abstract 1011407082 issue 101 pp. 1243 – 1273 30.09.2014 ru 1035
Science is considered as a branch of the national economy. We discuss the relationship of areas of human activity, applied science and fundamental science. As an example, the development of the fundamental theory of decision-making and expertise are considered in the implementation of applied researches in the aviation and rocket-space industry. Is emphasized that the major achievement in science - the novelty of the results. We discuss the problem of estimation the effectiveness of scientific activity, the advantages and disadvantages of estimates based on bibliometric databases and citation indices, we show the basic role of expert technologies. Is examined the role of globalization and patriotism in the development of science. Is substantiated the principal difference between acquiring knowledge and promote research results. We consider it necessary to conduct detailed studies into the science of science and development based on these science-based recommendations for the management of science
296 kb

A NEW APPROACH TO THE STUDY OF THE STABILITY OF CONCLUSIONS IN THE MATHEMATICAL MODELS

abstract 1001406001 issue 100 pp. 1 – 30 30.06.2014 ru 1683
We have proposed the general scheme for studying the stability of the conclusions obtained by mathematical methods and models regarding tolerance deviations of the original data and background models. The concrete problems of stability are discussed: towards a change of data, its size and distributions, to allowable transformations measurement scales, to the temporal characteristics (time of start of the project, the planning horizon). Reducing the uncertainty can be conducted by changing the type of data, i.e. with the aid of the transition to non-numerical data. The models of concrete management processes of industrial organizations are considered on the examples of stability characteristics of investment projects to change the discount factors and in models of inventory management to change in the coefficients of the model and batch size production
213 kb

PROBABILISTIC-STATISTICAL METHODS IN GNEDENKO’S RESEARCHES

abstract 1001406002 issue 100 pp. 31 – 52 30.06.2014 ru 1326
We analyze the probabilistic-statistical methods in the researches of Boris Vladimirovich Gnedenko – the academician of Ukrainian Academy of Science, which are very important for the XXI century. We have also discussed the limit theorems of probability theory, mathematical statistics, reliability theory, statistical methods of quality control and queuing theory. We give some information about the main stages of scientific career of B.V. Gnedenko, his views on the history of mathematics and teaching
201 kb

LIMIT THEORY OF NONPARAMETRIC STATISTICS

abstract 1001406011 issue 100 pp. 224 – 242 30.06.2014 ru 1145
We have studied the asymptotic behavior of a broad class of nonparametric statistics, which includes statistics of omega-square type and Kolmogorov-Smirnov type. Limit theorems have been proved. We have also developed the method of approximation with step functions. With the help of this method we have obtained a number of necessary and sufficient conditions
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