Scientific Journal of KubSAU

We have selected the new area of controlling - scientific activity controlling. We consider some problems of development in this field, primarily the problem of selection of key performance indicators. It’s been founded that administrative measures stimulated the pursuit of a number of articles published in scientific journals hinders the development of science. Methodological errors - emphasis on citation indexes, impact factors, etc. - lead to wrong management decisions. As the experience of the UK, an expertise should be applied in the management of science. The article briefly discusses some of the drawbacks of the system of scientific specialties. It is proposed to expand research on the science of science and scientific activity controlling. We have also discussed the problems of controlling in applied research organizations

Inexpediency of use of probability of correct diagnostics as a quality indicator of diagnostic algorithm is shown. The new indicator - the prognostic strength based on Mahalanobis distance between classes is offered and studied. We have found asymptotic distribution of the prognostic strength; the way of testing of adequacy of its application has been specified. In a problem of testing of two simple hypotheses the prognostic strength connection is established with Hellinger distance

Linear estimators of the probability of density in the spaces of an arbitrary nature and particular cases – nuclear, histogram, the Fix-Hodges type estimates are introduced. Consistency and asymptotic normality of linear estimates are proved under natural conditions. It is shown that the probability of the area can be found by linear density estimates. A special case of a finite set are discussed, it was found that sample mode converges to the theoretical one

We introduce the concept of "controlling organizational-economic methods". We define the terms in the sequence "the problem - the model - the method - the conditions of applicability". We have described the basic organizational-economic model of industrial firm; by means of this model we have discussed the problems of development of modern organizational-economic methods. We have demonstrated the relevance of the theory and methodology of organizational-economic modeling. For example, we consider the application of statistical methods at various stages of the life cycle of the product, the problem of internal risks in an industrial firm and accounting for inflation in the analysis of activities of the organization

For strategic and operational management tasks in the aerospace industry we use a variety of organizational-economic models and methods. Their set is called an organizational-economic support. In this article we discuss the approaches to the development of adequate organizational-economic support in the aerospace industry. In particular, we consider the problems of estimation of the effectiveness and management of innovation-investment projects to create aviation and space technology

The requirements for the project design stages of creating rocket and space technology are specified. The algorithm of estimation the feasibility of such projects is proposed based on their innovation and investment components

The concept of risk-controlling is based on the general theory of risk. The current state of risk-management in our country is reviewed. We also discuss the research on risk-controlling made in the BMSTU Laboratory of economic-mathematical methods in controlling

The article is devoted to the methods of analysis of statistical and expert data in problems of economics and management that are discussed in the framework of scientific specialization "Mathematical methods of economy", including organizational-economic and economic-mathematical modeling, econometrics and statistics, as well as economic aspects of decision theory, systems analysis, cybernetics, operations research. The main provisions of the new paradigm of this scientific and practical field are developed by the author of this article in the 1980s during the creation of the All-Union Statistical Association. The new paradigm is compared with the old (corresponding to the middle of XX century). Is summarized monographs, textbooks and manuals prepared under the leadership of the author of this paper in the XXI century according to the new paradigm

From a modern point of view we have discussed Kolmogorov’s researches in the axiomatic approach to probability theory, the goodness-of-fit test of the empirical distribution with theoretical, properties of the median estimates as a distribution center, the effect of "swelling" of the correlation coefficient, the theory of averages, the statistical theory of crystallization of metals, the least squares method, the properties of sums of a random number of random variables, statistical control, unbiased estimates, axiomatic conclusion of logarithmic normal distribution in crushing, the methods of detecting differences in the weather-type experiments

As the economic component of state ideology of Russia we offer a solidary information economy. We have analyzed its main ideas and justified its use as a basic organizational-economic theory instead of “economics”. According to the solidary information economy the modern information technology and decision theory allow, based on the “open network society”, to build information and communication system designed to identify the needs of people and the organization of production in order to meet them