Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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Name

Orlov Alexander Ivanovich

Scholastic degree




Academic rank

professor

Honorary rank

—

Organization, job position

Bauman Moscow State Technical University
   

Web site url

—

Email

prof-orlov@mail.ru


Articles count: 155

165 kb

THE METHOD FOR HYPOTHESIS TESTING BASED ON SET OF SMALL SAMPLES AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE THEORY OF STATISTICAL CONTROL

abstract 1041410003 issue 104 pp. 43 – 57 30.12.2014 ru 1100
We have proposed the method for testing of independence of two alternative variables on the basis of statistics of non-numeric data. The method is aimed at application in problems of statistical quality control. Testing of independence is based on set of small samples, i.e., in the Kolmogorov’s asymptotics, when the number of unknown parameters of the distribution increases in proportion to the data size
257 kb

ABOUT THE METHODOLOGY OF STATISTICAL METHODS

abstract 1041410004 issue 104 pp. 58 – 85 30.12.2014 ru 1269
The purpose of the article - to justify the need to develop the methodology of statistical methods as an independent scientific direction. The models of mathematician and applied specialist are presented. We have obtained the conclusions on teaching and research and discussed five major unsolved problems of statistical methods: the effect of deviations from the traditional prerequisites; use asymptotic results for finite sample sizes; selecting one of the many specific tests for the hypothesis; organization of theoretical work in the field of statistical methods; conduct applied research and teaching of statistical methods
209 kb

TWO-SAMPLE WILCOXON TEST - ANALYSIS OF TWO MYTHS

abstract 1041410006 issue 104 pp. 96 – 116 30.12.2014 ru 1598
It was established that the two-sample Wilcoxon test (Mann-Whitney test) was designed to test the hypothesis H0: P(X
244 kb

THE GROWTH POINTS OF STATISTICAL METHODS

abstract 1031409011 issue 103 pp. 136 – 162 30.11.2014 ru 1059
On the basis of a new paradigm of applied mathematical statistics, data analysis and economic-mathematical methods are identified; we have also discussed five topical areas in which modern applied statistics is developing as well as the other statistical methods, i.e. five "growth points" – nonparametric statistics, robustness, computer-statistical methods, statistics of interval data, statistics of non-numeric data
290 kb

COMPUTER-STATISTICAL METHODS: STATE AND PROSPECTS

abstract 1031409012 issue 103 pp. 163 – 195 30.11.2014 ru 1011
We have analyzed the current state of the main computer-statistical methods, identified achievements and existing problems, outlined the prospects of further movement and formulated the problems to be solved. We have also discussed the Monte Carlo methods, pseudo-random numbers, simulation, bootstrap and resampling, the automated system-cognitive analysis. We have considered the applications of computer statistics in controlling and properties of statistical packages as the tools for researchers
244 kb

PREDICTION METHODS FOR THE ROCKET AND SPACE INDUSTRY

abstract 1031409013 issue 103 pp. 196 – 221 30.11.2014 ru 1001
We have allocated the basic sources of uncertainty in various industrial and economic situations. We have also considered the role and the tasks of forecasting in the management of industrial companies, particularly in the rocket and space industry. We have discussed the methods of organizational and economic forecasting - statistical, expert, combined, including foresight and given some suggestions for improving the forecasting and planning mechanisms for practical use when creating space systems
271 kb

ASYMPTOTIC METHODS OF STATISTICAL CONTROL

abstract 1021408001 issue 102 pp. 1 – 31 31.10.2014 ru 1386
Statistical control is a sampling control based on the probability theory and mathematical statistics. The article presents the development of the methods of statistical control in our country. It discussed the basics of the theory of statistical control – the plans of statistical control and their operational characteristics, the risks of the supplier and the consumer, the acceptance level of defectiveness and the rejection level of defectiveness. We have obtained the asymptotic method of synthesis of control plans based on the limit average output level of defectiveness. We have also developed the asymptotic theory of single sampling plans and formulated some unsolved mathematical problems of the theory of statistical control
286 kb

MULTIFORMITY OF OBJECTS OF NON-NUMERICAL NATURE

abstract 1021408002 issue 102 pp. 32 – 63 31.10.2014 ru 1209
In accordance with the new paradigm of mathematical statistics the statistics of objects of nonnumerical nature (statistics of nonnumerical objects, non-numerical data statistics, non-numeric statistics) is one of the four main areas of mathematical statistics. Statistics of objects of nonnumerical nature consists of a central core - statistics in spaces of arbitrary nature - and statistical theories of analysis of specific types of non-numeric data. To identify possibilities of application of statistics of objects of nonnumerical nature it is useful to explore the multiformity of objects of non-numeric nature. This is the subject of this article. We have considered the results of measurements at scales other than absolute; binary relations; dichotomous (binary) data; sets. We have also analyzed the objects of non-numerical nature as statistical data, and their importance in the formation of statistical or mathematical model of a real phenomenon, as a result of data analysis
155 kb

OPTIMIZATION MODEL FOR MOMENTS OF OUTPUT OF NEW MODELS OF PRODUCTS TO THE MARKET

abstract 1021408003 issue 102 pp. 64 – 77 31.10.2014 ru 1054
One of the important problems of marketing - the choice moments of output of new models (brands) of products to the market. In the article for the first time in scientific periodicals we have proposed a sketch economic-mathematical optimization model for selection of time of output of new brands to market. We have received the calculation formulas for the moments of the output of new brands
295 kb

ADDITIVE-MULTIPLICATIVE MODEL FOR RISK ESTIMATION IN THE PRODUCTION OF ROCKET AND SPACE TECHNICS

abstract 1021408004 issue 102 pp. 78 – 111 31.10.2014 ru 1209
For the first time we have developed a general additive-multiplicative model of the risk estimation (to estimate the probabilities of risk events). In the two-level system in the lower level the risk estimates are combined additively, on the top – in a multiplicative way. Additive-multiplicative model was used for risk estimation for (1) implementation of innovative projects at universities (with external partners), (2) the production of new innovative products, (3) the projects for creation of rocket and space equipmen
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