Name
Khrustalev Evgeny Yurievich
Scholastic degree
•
Academic rank
professor
Honorary rank
—
Organization, job position
Central Economics and Mathematics Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow
Web site url
—
—
Articles count: 39
Problems of formation and evaluation of the
feasibility of the plans and programs of development
of high-tech products aerospace are both relevant
and meaningful. To accelerate progress in the field
of production of innovative aviation technology we
have offered an improved method of program
planning, which has been extended with
comprehensive tools for identifying, assessing and
managing risks objectively exist in the field of
aeronautical engineering with a long life cycle. The
authors have reviewed the basis for the development
of plans and programs for the development of
modern aircraft, the basic stages of formation of
plans for its establishment; formulated
methodological principles for the definition to be
included in the work plans; built formalized
procedure to account risks arising from the
implementation of prepared plans. Practical use of
this new method and its tool for implementation will
improve the efficiency of the process of substitution
of imported aircraft equipment in the domestic
counterparts
The article examines the role of innovation in enhancing
the competitiveness of individual firms (enterprises), and
accelerate the growth of the national economy. The aim
of this work is to identify and analyze the relationship
between innovation and export performance. To achieve
it evaluated Russia's innovation capabilities, take into
account the risk associated with high exposure to the
domestic economy from the export of fuel and energy
products, the comparison of scientific-technical state of
Russia with other countries on such indicators as the
inclusion of human and financial resources in research
and development work, the level of exports of
technology-intensive goods and services
The article shows that when the plans for the creation
and production of modern high-tech innovative
products for different purposes it is necessary to
consider all possible risks and dangers that accompany
modern innovative projects. New approaches to the
planning of the development of science-intensive
industries should ensure that the accounting and the
management of risk situations of the financialeconomic,
scientific-technical and industrialtechnological
character. One of the promising directions
of the domestic output of the industrial complex from
its current unstable state is a strategic planning and
forecasting of its activity, the development strategies
should be based on an evaluation of available enterprise
resources, the lack of which leads to stagnation. With
active government support the company can
successfully implement a strategy of stabilization and
progress through cooperation and diversification of
production and to make a technological breakthrough in
creating high-tech products of new generation
In this work, prerequisites of processes of globalization
of economies which source, according to authors, is the
scientific and technological revolution of the XVIIIXIX
century of century are considered. Dissemination
of new technologies led to the international labor
division, and emergence of information technologies
promoted to increase in speed of communications,
deleting of economic borders between the countries. A
specific place in processes of globalization is held by
space technologies by means of which there was a
possibility of exchange of information between various
consumers and the companies, which are in the
different countries and continents. Based on the carriedout
analysis, it is revealed that in the conditions of
globalization pressure of group of industrially
developed countries upon the rest of the world for the
purpose of imposing of a certain model of their
existence by the rest amplifies. The tool in competition
are new technologies which help to drive the national
companies out of the local markets. A special role in the
course of globalization is played by information and
space technologies of communication and broadcasting.
Only competitive hi-tech productions focused on
perspective technological ways can resist to influence
of the international corporations. According to authors,
distribution of innovative technologies has to contribute
to the uniform development of all countries, formation
of the multipolar world, the excluding domination of
any country or the international group
The main factors influencing the innovative
development of the domestic science-intensive sector of
the economy, were identified and studied in the work.
The authors singled out two groups of factors, internal
and external, determining their composition and
interrelationship. The paper focuses on one of the
segments of the knowledge-intensive market of
products and services - space activities. In the postwar
period, Russia firmly maintained leadership in virtually
all areas of the industry, however, economic and
political reforms intensified the negative impact of
financial and economic factors, which significantly
retarded the technological development of the space
industry. The paper studies the influence of
environmental, technological, financial, economic and
other factors affecting the development of knowledgebased
enterprises. A graphical and economicmathematical
multi-factor model for the innovative
development of knowledge-intensive enterprises
involved in the implementation of space programs is
constructed. The methods of expert assessments
determined the influence of each factor on the
development of space activities: - the production of
launch vehicles, space vehicles, ground-based space
technology and the provision of services. The received
estimations of influence of factors will find application
at formation of programs of innovative development of
the high technology enterprises
The article considers the problem of increasing the efficiency of budget expenditures due to the transfer of military technology to the civilian sector of the economy. An analysis of foreign experience has shown that private companies are widely involved in a number of states to solve some of the infrastructure problems in the military sphere. In the USA, private companies provide communications and provide other information services to state power structures, which makes it possible to develop private business on the one hand and save budget expenses on the other. An analysis of domestic experience has shown that the use of military technologies for the production of civilian products and services in some cases can significantly save time and other resources. A model for the interaction of civilian companies with the defense complex and a diffusion model of military technologies have been developed. The article proposes creation of new structures that solve the problems of adapting military technologies to the requirements of civilian customers, as well as a database of adapted technologies and a technical investment center that supports small and medium-sized enterprises in the acquisition of equipment and technical documentation. The authors believe that the approaches proposed in the article to solving the problem of technology transfer will stimulate innovative activity in the country, reduce import dependence and increase the efficiency of budget expenditures
The modernization of the military-industrial complex
of Russia is accomplished by the implementation of
the program of its development. Implementation of
these measures requires scientific and methodological
support. However, the tools help you solve this
problem, using modern mathematical methods with a
focus on practical use in the form of methods and
economic and mathematical models, to date, not fully
developed. The article is devoted to the development
of tools for assessment of activities of the militaryindustrial
complex The proposed models and
algorithms are based on the production rules of
inference of fuzzy logic and process variables to a
fuzzy mind by assigning confidence factors. The
prioritization of activities proposed to be carried out
by ranking these factors
The article examines the problems of innovative
development of various types of rocket and space
technology, created with use of high technologies,
industrial, scientific-technical and intellectual potentials.
The relevance of these issues due to the need of
modernization of the Russian economy in the long term.
In the course of the study using the mathematical tools
offered the important task of improving the scientific and
methodological framework intended for implementation
of innovative strategies in the field of space activities
that help to improve the degree of feasibility of plans and
programs to create high-tech products and services for
various purposes. The article analyzes the features of the
plans for the creation and production of advanced rocket
and space technology, their impact on the pace and
quality of exploration and use of outer space, which is
determined using a simulation model and applying
methods of program-targeted planning
The state of any economic system depends on the values of its parameters, both in the current period and at previous times. Therefore, in the process of optimization of production management, it is necessary to take into account this feature of the development of the systems under consideration. The most important task of economic research is the establishment of an equilibrium price. The most suitable hysteresis converters for solving this problem, the formal description of which is based on their operator interpretation. However, at present, when analyzing the functions of supply and demand, a cobweb-like model and its analogues are used, as a rule. This article discusses the unresolved problem of optimizing production under conditions of hysteresis pricing and competition. Taking into account that their mathematical modeling is the main method of analyzing economic systems with hysteresis properties, different pricing models (discrete and continuous) are considered in the article, as well as economic and mathematical tools for optimizing production activity under hysteresis pricing conditions. The developed models can be used to increase the adequacy of the formal mathematical description of the corresponding systems, which is the basis for more accurate forecasts of their development. In the conditions of hysteresis pricing, production optimization algorithms will allow to create optimal (in terms of achieving maximum profit) price and production strategies for the development of economic systems
We have considered the most important direction of development of enterprises of the military-industrial complex: modernizing production capacity and technical re-equipment of these enterprises. The relevance of this issue in recent years has increased significantly due to changes in the terms of military development (economic hardship, sanctions, etc.). We have developed an economic-mathematical model of the choice between modernization and radical technical re-equipment of enterprises. The article has an analysis of this model taking into account the financial factors in this choice. The use of the developed economic-mathematical apparatus in practice allows increasing the efficiency of technological development of enterprises of the military-industrial complex