PREDICTION OF A FINANCIAL MARKET EVOLUTION ON THE BASE OF SOFTWARE TOOLS FOR LINEAR CELLULAR AUTOMAT
The work used methods of system analysis, monographic, structural and logical, economic-statistical, mathematical continuous and discrete, settlement and constructive methods as well as software tools of linear cellular automata. Usage of each method was based on their functionality, thus ensuring the accuracy of the findings and scientific positions. In this article we attempt to predict the dynamic behavior of the financial market elements, to use on the basis of a linear cellular automaton computer tools and methods of nonlinear science for adequate numerical reflection measure various risks, primarily financial and economic risks, as well as to show the power of computer graphics, computer mathematics system linear cellular automata, to emphasize an important philosophical role of visualization. The authors of the work programmed linear cellular automaton based on Python 2.7 software platform in the form of application. The program validates the predictive model on the adequacy of the selected coloring, is forecast error and builds polygons predictive model and input data on the same graph. The proposed research area is relevant to the processes in the financial and economic system, bringing in useful innovative elements in the generalized forecast that do not exist in continuous classical methodology
The article evaluates the competitiveness of Russia in the world economy. This aspect of the study was considered in the dynamics and historical perspective of world economic relations development, the world's leading economies being an example. The origins and nature of competition, the concept of substitute goods were considered as an important problem of market economic system. The place of Russian Federation in the modern external economic environment and real prospects of achieving a high position among the leading producing countries were studied based on retrospective data. A comparative analysis was carried out according to certain criteria between the highly developed States. Theoretical review of data to assess the competitiveness of Russia in the world economy showed that the crisis of recent years could not have a positive impact on both economic development level of the Russian Federation and its opponents. It is known that each approach to consideration of a specific situation has its advantages and disadvantages but this article provides the most comprehensive and detailed material on the subject matter. Evaluation of competitive ability of Russia in the global economy has shown the need to increase the production capacity of the domestic manufacturer, and consequently, the production power of the country is increasing. This will contribute to the strengthening of the international authority of Russia
The article is devoted to the study of the globalization impact on the development of states in the economic and other spheres. The subject of the research is the situation of the countries in the world economic and social hierarchy, due to the influence of globalization and its processes. The authors consider the main trends and the directions of the globalization of the world economy. In the article, the authors present the points of view of well-known figures of economics and politics. The processes of globalization have directly affected the Russian Federation. Based on their examination the main reasons, the advantages and the disadvantages of a global phenomenon are given, as well as predictions about the future development and the impact of globalization on the stability states vital activity. Some economic and statistical indicators directly related to the globalization of the world economy were given. A comparison was also made of these indicators, the Russian Federation and other mainly Western countries taken as an example. The obtained differences are explained by the uneven development of states and underdevelopment of one of them compared to the other, which leads these countries to different sides of the world economic road. The main perspectives caused by the globalization processes are reflected
The article highlights the main factors influencing the
modernization of the electric power industry in Russia,
that can positively influence the process of
environmental upgrading companies of this sector,
improve competitiveness and environmental
performance. It has identified the main risks and
uncertainties in the electricity sector. We have selected
the most serious of them. As one of the most urgent
tasks of the present stage of development of natural
resources and technological standards in the electricity
sector, we have highlighted the development of criteria
for inclusion of technology to the "best available
technology" category
Decision-making requires a thorough analysis of the
external environment in which the economic system
operates. Anti-Russian economic sanctions is
significantly destabilized external environment that
has complicated the task of making decisions on
management of the enterprise. This study analyzes
the problem of decision making under conditions of
the uncertainty caused by the anti-Russian sanctions,
the conclusion about the limited decision-making
methods based on game theory. The most effective
are management practices supported by information
systems. The article analyzes the current information
technology of managing a company made by
different developers who have already installed their
software products on objects, which are strategic for
the Russian economy. In terms of economic
sanctions, such a situation creates a threat to the
economic security of the country. Based on domestic
developments, it is proposed to construct an
information model of the enterprise, which will
reduce the risks and increase the quality of
managerial decisions. The work presents a structural
scheme of the information model and defines its
objectives and characteristics
In modern conditions, the problem of the choice of an
optimum tax regime especially is particularly acute for
agricultural organizations. The subjective factors
influencing acceptance of management decision on the
matter such as the production specialization level, a
share of the income from sale of agricultural products
in total income, number of workers are characteristic
of each organization. However, a preliminary stage of
the analysis of tax expenses in case of various tax
regimes is consideration of statistical information on
an industry in the field of the taxation. In this article,
data on structure and size of liabilities on taxes,
charges, fees are provided to off-budget funds of
agricultural organizations of the Krasnodar Region,
dynamics of this indicator within five years that gives
an idea of a tendency of change of conditions of the
taxation in case of various tax regimes. Statistical
information on distribution of agricultural
organizations of the Krasnodar Region on tax regimes
is also provided in a percentage ratio. The comparative
analysis of level of the tax load in case of various tax
regimes which gives an idea of benefits of a special tax
regime to agricultural producers is provided. The study
was sponsored by RFFR and the administration of the
Krasnodar Territory in the framework of a research project № 16-46-230131 “Formation of information
efficient management of agricultural production
systems through the integration of information flows
of the financial, tax and management accounting
(based on organizations of the Krasnodar region)”
Financial analysis is an integral part of a company
activity. Success of the business depends on it. Today
to detect financial position of companies we use a
complex analysis, which has several weaknesses such
as the grounds for manager’s decisions and difficulties
in identifying of influence of all indexes. Therefore,
we suggest using the method of reference dynamics for
systematizing results ranging to the importance degree.
This method was founded by I.M.Siroezhin. The main
theses will be described in this article later. To
examine it in detail the article presents the performed
financial analysis of J.C. «Novoroslesexport», which is
one of the most important and largest companies in the
Black Sea Coast and situated in Russian port
Novorossiysk, by means of using of the method of
reference dynamics of liquid indexes. In conclusion,
the results of this analysis would allow detecting weak
spots and follow-up measures for resolving issues
The article is devoted to the analysis of the evolution of
the concept of “cluster”. The origination of the cluster
theory and its development stages are traced in the
article. The research shows that cluster approach is the
most promising. A definition of “tourist recreational
cluster” is suggested
The purpose of this article consists in disclosure of key
theoretical and practical questions of introduction of a
concept "green logistics" for increase of activity
efficiency of economic entities in agro-industrial
sector and decrease in level of negative impact of this
sector on a global ecosystem taking into account the
happening global transformations in world economy.
Within this article, various aspects characterizing
world economic, ecological, technological trends that
define the future of a modern civilization were studied.
It allowed concretizing the main ideas of use of green
logistics in agro-industrial sector. The business model
for the agricultural enterprises and farms based on
ecologically responsible logistic approach is offered
considers transformation of world economy (transition
from wasteful and to a sustainable development and
green economy), the directions of ecological trends.
For agro-industrial sector use of a concept "green logistics" it at the same time both a way of
optimization of expenses, and a way of formation of
business reputation of the new quality focused on
increase of ecological and social responsibility of
business of the agricultural enterprises and farms. The
green logistics used in agro-industrial sector allows to
reduce the level of environmental risks which are
connected with production of agricultural raw
materials and finished agricultural goods
In the given article, we describe an approach to the
formation of learning environment optimal structure
based on logical price tools using through statistical
assessment of universities rank distribution. The
actuality of this approach is based on the analysis of
modern methods to the formation of the university
landscape and assessment of a number of systemic
problems of universities’ structure transformation,
which consists in the disproportion reinforcement and
reducing the variety of educational programmes and
research schools, which prevents its effective
development. The postulates of institutional university
transformations based on the pragmatic paradigms
providing stability and progressive development of the
system in its self-development and evolution process
are proposed as a methodological concept of using the
statements of the cenoses theory. The logical price
analysis of the Russian universities structure in 2015
conducted above has confirmed the proposed
hypotheses, showing statistical coupling of university
environment elements, their relatively systematic
instability and structural imbalances. The educational
system assessment as a cenosis allowed to reveal
points of the required impact factor, state intervention
direction in the distribution structuring, possible
limitations associated with the implementation of large
universities support programmes. The proposed
approach has a high level of reality objective
assessment and may be used when making long-term
strategic decisions