Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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686 kb

PREDICTION OF A FINANCIAL MARKET EVOLUTION ON THE BASE OF SOFTWARE TOOLS FOR LINEAR CELLULAR AUTOMAT

abstract 1211607027 issue 121 pp. 568 – 580 30.09.2016 ru 666
The work used methods of system analysis, monographic, structural and logical, economic-statistical, mathematical continuous and discrete, settlement and constructive methods as well as software tools of linear cellular automata. Usage of each method was based on their functionality, thus ensuring the accuracy of the findings and scientific positions. In this article we attempt to predict the dynamic behavior of the financial market elements, to use on the basis of a linear cellular automaton computer tools and methods of nonlinear science for adequate numerical reflection measure various risks, primarily financial and economic risks, as well as to show the power of computer graphics, computer mathematics system linear cellular automata, to emphasize an important philosophical role of visualization. The authors of the work programmed linear cellular automaton based on Python 2.7 software platform in the form of application. The program validates the predictive model on the adequacy of the selected coloring, is forecast error and builds polygons predictive model and input data on the same graph. The proposed research area is relevant to the processes in the financial and economic system, bringing in useful innovative elements in the generalized forecast that do not exist in continuous classical methodology
166 kb

ASSESSMENT OF COMPETITIVENESS OF RUSSIA IN THE WORLD ECONOMY

abstract 1211607035 issue 121 pp. 671 – 684 30.09.2016 ru 560
The article evaluates the competitiveness of Russia in the world economy. This aspect of the study was considered in the dynamics and historical perspective of world economic relations development, the world's leading economies being an example. The origins and nature of competition, the concept of substitute goods were considered as an important problem of market economic system. The place of Russian Federation in the modern external economic environment and real prospects of achieving a high position among the leading producing countries were studied based on retrospective data. A comparative analysis was carried out according to certain criteria between the highly developed States. Theoretical review of data to assess the competitiveness of Russia in the world economy showed that the crisis of recent years could not have a positive impact on both economic development level of the Russian Federation and its opponents. It is known that each approach to consideration of a specific situation has its advantages and disadvantages but this article provides the most comprehensive and detailed material on the subject matter. Evaluation of competitive ability of Russia in the global economy has shown the need to increase the production capacity of the domestic manufacturer, and consequently, the production power of the country is increasing. This will contribute to the strengthening of the international authority of Russia
153 kb

GLOBALIZATION IMPACT ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

abstract 1211607036 issue 121 pp. 685 – 697 30.09.2016 ru 1527
The article is devoted to the study of the globalization impact on the development of states in the economic and other spheres. The subject of the research is the situation of the countries in the world economic and social hierarchy, due to the influence of globalization and its processes. The authors consider the main trends and the directions of the globalization of the world economy. In the article, the authors present the points of view of well-known figures of economics and politics. The processes of globalization have directly affected the Russian Federation. Based on their examination the main reasons, the advantages and the disadvantages of a global phenomenon are given, as well as predictions about the future development and the impact of globalization on the stability states vital activity. Some economic and statistical indicators directly related to the globalization of the world economy were given. A comparison was also made of these indicators, the Russian Federation and other mainly Western countries taken as an example. The obtained differences are explained by the uneven development of states and underdevelopment of one of them compared to the other, which leads these countries to different sides of the world economic road. The main perspectives caused by the globalization processes are reflected
180 kb

ENVIROMENTAL AND ECONOMIC RISKS IN THE FIELD OF MODERN POWER INDUSTRY

abstract 1211607041 issue 121 pp. 739 – 756 30.09.2016 ru 522
The article highlights the main factors influencing the modernization of the electric power industry in Russia, that can positively influence the process of environmental upgrading companies of this sector, improve competitiveness and environmental performance. It has identified the main risks and uncertainties in the electricity sector. We have selected the most serious of them. As one of the most urgent tasks of the present stage of development of natural resources and technological standards in the electricity sector, we have highlighted the development of criteria for inclusion of technology to the "best available technology" category
240 kb

DECISION MAKING IN THE CONDITIONS OF ACTIVATION OF EXTERNAL RESTRAINING FACTORS WITH USING OF INFORMATION MODEL OF THE COMPANY

abstract 1211607042 issue 121 pp. 757 – 771 30.09.2016 ru 511
Decision-making requires a thorough analysis of the external environment in which the economic system operates. Anti-Russian economic sanctions is significantly destabilized external environment that has complicated the task of making decisions on management of the enterprise. This study analyzes the problem of decision making under conditions of the uncertainty caused by the anti-Russian sanctions, the conclusion about the limited decision-making methods based on game theory. The most effective are management practices supported by information systems. The article analyzes the current information technology of managing a company made by different developers who have already installed their software products on objects, which are strategic for the Russian economy. In terms of economic sanctions, such a situation creates a threat to the economic security of the country. Based on domestic developments, it is proposed to construct an information model of the enterprise, which will reduce the risks and increase the quality of managerial decisions. The work presents a structural scheme of the information model and defines its objectives and characteristics
356 kb

ASSESSMENT OF THE CURRENT STATUS OF AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF KRASNODAR REGION IN THE FIELD OF TAXATION

abstract 1211607043 issue 121 pp. 772 – 785 30.09.2016 ru 368
In modern conditions, the problem of the choice of an optimum tax regime especially is particularly acute for agricultural organizations. The subjective factors influencing acceptance of management decision on the matter such as the production specialization level, a share of the income from sale of agricultural products in total income, number of workers are characteristic of each organization. However, a preliminary stage of the analysis of tax expenses in case of various tax regimes is consideration of statistical information on an industry in the field of the taxation. In this article, data on structure and size of liabilities on taxes, charges, fees are provided to off-budget funds of agricultural organizations of the Krasnodar Region, dynamics of this indicator within five years that gives an idea of a tendency of change of conditions of the taxation in case of various tax regimes. Statistical information on distribution of agricultural organizations of the Krasnodar Region on tax regimes is also provided in a percentage ratio. The comparative analysis of level of the tax load in case of various tax regimes which gives an idea of benefits of a special tax regime to agricultural producers is provided. The study was sponsored by RFFR and the administration of the Krasnodar Territory in the framework of a research project № 16-46-230131 “Formation of information efficient management of agricultural production systems through the integration of information flows of the financial, tax and management accounting (based on organizations of the Krasnodar region)”
172 kb

THE ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL ACTIVITY OF J.C. «NOVOROSLESEXPORT» BY MEANS OF THE METHOD OF REFERENCE DYNAMICS

abstract 1211607051 issue 121 pp. 869 – 882 30.09.2016 ru 432
Financial analysis is an integral part of a company activity. Success of the business depends on it. Today to detect financial position of companies we use a complex analysis, which has several weaknesses such as the grounds for manager’s decisions and difficulties in identifying of influence of all indexes. Therefore, we suggest using the method of reference dynamics for systematizing results ranging to the importance degree. This method was founded by I.M.Siroezhin. The main theses will be described in this article later. To examine it in detail the article presents the performed financial analysis of J.C. «Novoroslesexport», which is one of the most important and largest companies in the Black Sea Coast and situated in Russian port Novorossiysk, by means of using of the method of reference dynamics of liquid indexes. In conclusion, the results of this analysis would allow detecting weak spots and follow-up measures for resolving issues
216 kb

CLUSTER APPROACH TO THE ORGANIZATION OF A TOURIST RECREATIONAL COMPLEX

abstract 1211607052 issue 121 pp. 883 – 896 30.09.2016 ru 647
The article is devoted to the analysis of the evolution of the concept of “cluster”. The origination of the cluster theory and its development stages are traced in the article. The research shows that cluster approach is the most promising. A definition of “tourist recreational cluster” is suggested
304 kb

INNOVATIVE APPROACH TO TRANSFORMATION OF A CONTROL SYSTEM OF ECONOMIC ENTITIES: "GREEN" LOGISTICS

abstract 1211607061 issue 121 pp. 981 – 1000 30.09.2016 ru 321
The purpose of this article consists in disclosure of key theoretical and practical questions of introduction of a concept "green logistics" for increase of activity efficiency of economic entities in agro-industrial sector and decrease in level of negative impact of this sector on a global ecosystem taking into account the happening global transformations in world economy. Within this article, various aspects characterizing world economic, ecological, technological trends that define the future of a modern civilization were studied. It allowed concretizing the main ideas of use of green logistics in agro-industrial sector. The business model for the agricultural enterprises and farms based on ecologically responsible logistic approach is offered considers transformation of world economy (transition from wasteful and to a sustainable development and green economy), the directions of ecological trends. For agro-industrial sector use of a concept "green logistics" it at the same time both a way of optimization of expenses, and a way of formation of business reputation of the new quality focused on increase of ecological and social responsibility of business of the agricultural enterprises and farms. The green logistics used in agro-industrial sector allows to reduce the level of environmental risks which are connected with production of agricultural raw materials and finished agricultural goods
275 kb

LOGICAL PRICE ESTIMATION OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION EDUCATIONAL LANDSCAPE

abstract 1211607067 issue 121 pp. 1081 – 1097 30.09.2016 ru 620
In the given article, we describe an approach to the formation of learning environment optimal structure based on logical price tools using through statistical assessment of universities rank distribution. The actuality of this approach is based on the analysis of modern methods to the formation of the university landscape and assessment of a number of systemic problems of universities’ structure transformation, which consists in the disproportion reinforcement and reducing the variety of educational programmes and research schools, which prevents its effective development. The postulates of institutional university transformations based on the pragmatic paradigms providing stability and progressive development of the system in its self-development and evolution process are proposed as a methodological concept of using the statements of the cenoses theory. The logical price analysis of the Russian universities structure in 2015 conducted above has confirmed the proposed hypotheses, showing statistical coupling of university environment elements, their relatively systematic instability and structural imbalances. The educational system assessment as a cenosis allowed to reveal points of the required impact factor, state intervention direction in the distribution structuring, possible limitations associated with the implementation of large universities support programmes. The proposed approach has a high level of reality objective assessment and may be used when making long-term strategic decisions
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