Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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852 kb

DECISION MAKING SUPPORT INFORMATION SYSTEM IN SPHERE OF SMALL AND MEDIUM BUSINESS COMPANIES SOLVENCY

abstract 1081504063 issue 108 pp. 872 – 890 30.04.2015 ru 985
Destabilization of the economic situation in Russia at the end of 2014 and in early 2015 has influenced small and medium businesses (SMB) landing at first. One of the most important reason of high lending risks and, as a result, high lending rates is absence of reliable information systems for assessment of SMB enterprise default according to total analysis of their financial activities. Thus nowadays the reliable assessment of SMB enterprises solvency is the fundamental scientific problem, which one is highly actual for each credit organization because the bankruptcy of a credit institution is depended on it. At the same time high competition at the landing market leads to necessity of individual credit conditions existing, which takes into account borrower’s and lender’s benefits. In the present work the creating of reliable information and analytical systems for assessment of SMB company default method is suggested. This one is based on integration of probabilistic and statistical classification analysis methods (discriminant analysis, logistic regression, and classification trees), heuristic procedures (neural network) and interactive shell of the system using cloud technology. By the authors, there was solved the problem of small data amount, exception anomalous values and discrepancy normal distribution of sample by the generation of enterprises financial activity model database
182 kb

ANALYSIS OF INNOVATIVE ACTIVITY OF METALLURGICAL COMPANIES USING MONTE-CARLO MATHEMATICAL MODEL-ING METHOD

abstract 1081504065 issue 108 pp. 904 – 919 30.04.2015 ru 922
The article presents an analysis of an innovative activity of four Russian metallurgical enterprises: "Ruspolimet", JSC "Ural Smithy", JSC "Stupino Metallurgical Company", JSC "VSMPO" via mathematical modeling using Monte Carlo method. The results of the assessment of innovative activity of Russian metallurgical companies were identified in five years dynamics. An assessment of the current innovative activity was made by the calculation of an integral index of the innovative activity. The calculation was based on such six indicators as the proportion of staff employed in R & D; the level of development of new technology; the degree of development of new products; share of material resources for R & D; degree of security of enterprise intellectual property; the share of investment in innovative projects and it was analyzed from 2007 to 2011. On the basis of this data the integral indicator of the innovative activity of metallurgical companies was calculated by well-known method of weighting coefficients. The comparative analysis of integral indicators of the innovative activity of considered companies made it possible to range their level of the innovative activity and to characterize the current state of their business. Based on Monte Carlo method a variation interval of the integral indicator was obtained and detailed instructions to choose the strategy of the innovative development of metallurgical enterprises were given as well
348 kb

IMPROVEMENT OF MANAGEMENT OF AGRICULTURE IN THE MUNICIPAL DISTRICT OF KRASNOARMEYSKIY AREA

abstract 1081504079 issue 108 pp. 1072 – 1092 30.04.2015 ru 1007
The article is devoted to the actual problem of modern science of management - creating the optimal organizational structure and securing clear job functions between employees of the Department of agriculture for the effective development of agricultural production in the municipality of the Krasnoarmeyskiy district of the Krasnodar region. This region is a major agricultural and industrial region of Kuban, in which due to the high economic and financial capacity it is possible to notice progressive development of the agricultural sector. In the study, we present an analysis of the current state and performance of the agriculture Department of the municipal administration of the Krasnoarmeysky district. To improve the efficiency of management of agriculture in the area we have proposed to change the current organizational structure of this element of public administration: reallocate some powers between employees according to their classification, add into the structure demanded practice of managing the district office by lawyer, send personnel to training. The implementation of the proposed measures for improving the organizational structure of the Department of Agriculture will lead to both economic effect – reduce labor costs, receipt of additional funds in the budget from the sale of new administrative functions, and to the social effect – increasing the skill level of employees and their degree of legal literacy
175 kb

SYSTEM APPROACH TO THE SELECTION OF STAFF: BASIC STAGES AND CRITERIA

abstract 1081504080 issue 108 pp. 1093 – 1106 30.04.2015 ru 1254
Selection of competent personnel in a company is a difficult task for any employer. To do so, personnel of staffing services use special algorithms and techniques. This task requires a systematic approach. Functions of HR organizations with the development of the Russian economy are transformed. The process of human resource management in an organization includes some elements such as the selection of potential candidates, evaluation, selection of suitable employees, employment of staff, monitoring its development, organization of training, retraining and skills development. First of all, the decision about the choice between using internal and external sources of employment. Next they have to determine a possible selection algorithm. The article analyzes the sequence of steps that organizes the personnel office of the company to implement the algorithm of selecting the appropriate professional characteristics of staff for vacancies: registration of personal data; analysis of recommendations and track record of the applicant; organization and conducting interviews; diagnosis suitability, including business and personal qualities; medical monitoring; analysis of test results and make conclusions about the suitability of the candidate; decision on recruitment. Our overview of the most common methods of testing knowledge and personal qualities of the candidate, which is held in this article is of interest to both the employer and the applicant applying for a job
241 kb

THEORETICAL AND METHODICAL ASPECTS OF CREDIT-FINANCIAL INSTITUTES STRATEGY FORMING AT THE BANKING SERVICES MARKET

abstract 1081504081 issue 108 pp. 1107 – 1123 30.04.2015 ru 1196
The article deals with the study of the theoretical and methodological approaches of the creation of competitive strategies in the retail market of banking products and services; of specific features of competition in this market; of essence, nature, objects and factors of competition, the bank’s competitiveness at macro and micro levels. There were found structural and logical relationships that reflect the interaction of the main elements and parameters of micro and macro environment in determining the competitiveness of a commercial bank in the article. On the basis of different interpretations on the concept of «strategy», analysis theory and methodology of banking strategic management of B. Karloff, M. Porter, G. Hamel, classification strategies the authors argue that the development of competitive strategy of bank with the aim of forming its financial behavior promotes the formation of a favorable institutional environment and business climate. The authors of this article have concluded, that banks need to developing their competitive strategy in the context of the institutional trend in accordance with their social mission. The mission of the bank is a role in the society, philosophy, promising estimated model, orientation of the activities which is corresponding with objectives. Financial behavior of banks regardless of their strategy, concept of development, which is determined by the degree of competition in the market of banking products and services
233 kb

THE CONCEPT OF DYNAMIC ABILITIES IN THE STRATEGIC CHOICE OF THE COMPANY

abstract 1081504086 issue 108 pp. 1164 – 1182 30.04.2015 ru 1314
The evolution of the theory of strategic management has led to increasing the role of the internal environment in the company's development strategy. The development of the Resource approach and the need for ongoing formation of competitive advantages led to the identification of the concept of dynamic capabilities. This article is devoted to the systematization of the main points of view on the nature and significance of this conceptual approach to the raise of the competitiveness of the up-to-date companies. Firstly, why the current trends in strategic management are dominated in particular concept of dynamic capabilities; secondly, could this approach be a theoretical and methodological base of the strategic choice of domestic companies? According to learning of few bibliographic sources there was identified the terminological basis, which was used in the resource and dynamical capability concepts («resources», «ability», «competence», «dynamic capabilities», «key competency», etc.), the analysis were realized and the correlation of these categories in the process of strategic choice was revealed. In the article the author's point of view devotes to the concept of key competences and its role in the achieving competitive advantages. The author examines the relationship between dynamic capabilities and key competency and their role in the ensuring the competitive development of the company
135 kb

APPLICATION OF GAME THEORY TO OPTIMIZATION OF OUTPUT

abstract 1081504088 issue 108 pp. 1198 – 1208 30.04.2015 ru 1066
The article is devoted to modeling and analysis of gaming schemes in game theory to optimize production. The following scheme was designed for organizations engaged in production of seasonal items. To improve the economic viability of production of the three available types of products we offer using pure strategies. We have given the desire to maximize profit organization under the conditions when consumers seek to minimize their costs, and we simulate realistic market conditions. Theoretical overview of the selected analysis method showed that it is game theory that can provide the most accurate and reasonable explanation of the behavior of the players from the opposing economic interests. It seems that every approach to addressing the specific situation has its advantages and disadvantages, but pure strategies include most optimal set of factors necessary for the analysis. Thus, the application of game theory to solve the problem of optimizing production now is the most appropriate and expedient. The selected method maximizes correctly mathematically substantiate the results obtained simulation gaming schemes that quite clearly illustrates the real market situation, which, in turn, can be solved cost-effectively with the help of game theory
311 kb

INFORMATION MODELING SYSTEM OF ESTIMATES AND PREDICTIONS FOR COMPETITIVENESS BY PECHNIKOV

abstract 1081504090 issue 108 pp. 1220 – 1233 30.04.2015 ru 913
The article found that the accuracy of the evaluation of the competitiveness of existing graphical methods largely depends on the skill of the expert and is a subjective process. In addition, only one of the graphic methods followed in graph form the polygon. However, the polygon is not analyzing assessment, as its area does not represent the level of competitiveness of enterprise structure due to association of increase and decrease parameters. In addition, none of the graphical methods are able to predict the level of competitiveness in the long term. The author has developed an information-modeling system for assessment and prediction competitiveness by Pechnikov, which will increase the competitiveness of business structures
0 kb

OUTSOURCING AS AN EFFICIENT TECHNOLOGY FOR CONSOLIDATION OF CAPITAL PARTNERS OF THE CORPORATION

abstract 1081504097 issue 108 pp. 1329 – 1351 30.04.2015 ru 0
The article examines the traditional concept of outsourcing from the perspective of the characteristics of a public Corporation of the knowledge economy and building competitiveness. The author notes essential narrow interpretation of traditional outsourcing and examines a new, broader understanding of how the mobilization of intellectual and human capital, third party outsourcers for the benefit of the Corporation. Formation of the sector of the knowledge economy in Russia actualizes the importance of joint and coordinated problem solving connections intellectual, human and other intangible capital partners, who are provided with a number of activities as part of the mega business process associated with the production of intellectual goods and services. According to the authors, the development of outsourcing leads to a network form of business organization and mega business process is transformed into a network conglomerate, the capital of which is "adapting" to each other with the formation of a harmonious configuration of material and immaterial capital. Such configuration of capital we call capitulorum, as a new instrument for the realization of development strategy
230 kb

THE CONCEPT OF AGENT-BASED CONTROL IN SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

abstract 1091505043 issue 109 pp. 690 – 706 29.05.2015 ru 956
The backgrounds of agent-based control in social and economic systems are discussed. The first background is based on the subjectivity of each control in social and economic systems, since such systems are regulated by people, serve them or affect their interests. The second background results from the fact that the control is effective due to the phenomenon of control agent’s mental activity, which includes an availability to see the future of the outside world through a various of targets, to rank and consciously select targets and ways to achieve them in accordance with agent’s preferences, to communicate using the natural language, in order to develop the emergence of organizational systems. The third background provides the development of special human abilities, which are the phenomenon of their subjective activities, based on a transition from the above human behavior models to formal models for the purpose of control and from formal models to descriptive ones — for the purpose of how the control agent should act. The fourth background lies in a need to eliminate a gap between descriptive and mathematical control sciences, the agent-oriented control targets and selection of actions. The fifth background towards the development of a new mathematical administrative subject, allows studying a wide enough variety of administrative events in social and economic systems, operating constructively with basic concepts and subjects of the agent-oriented control, what is equivalent to a new branch of mathematics – preferences models calculus. The provisions of the concept of agent-oriented control in social and economic systems are represented. The provisions of the concept are related to definitions, integrated assessment method (analysis problem), method of the intellectual support of decision-making (synthesis problem) and information technologies, which are an instrumental base of the agent-oriented control in social and economic systems
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