Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
AGRIS logo UlrichsWeb logo DOAJ logo
Search by author's name Search by title
487 kb

MODELING OF MODERN TRENDS IN RISKORIENTED AUDIT WITH THE APPLICATION OF BAYES THEOREM

abstract 1151601018 issue 115 pp. 305 – 319 27.01.2016 ru 967
There are many ways to improve the decisionmaking process, but, with a big amount of data and complexity of decision-making trees, it's becoming more and more complicated to keep up with the flow of information coming from many spheres of modern life. Therefore, the development of various problemsolving approaches has become an important step in changing the face of existing technological systems. This idea appeared in the work of an American scientist J. Perl who, in 1988, founded a new probabilistic approach to artificial intelligence and developed principles of Bayesian Network. Bayesian Network is a graphical model that represents a set of random variables and their conditional dependencies. In the article, the most valuable parts of the given topic have been reviewed, cognitive maps have been compared with their partial manifestation - Bayesian Network; also, one of the options to practically use such models in the audit field has been analyzed by observing a possible decision-making process of giving a modified or unmodified opinion
515 kb

MODELING OF THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGION ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE REPUBLIC ADYGEYA

abstract 0911307053 issue 91 pp. 753 – 766 30.09.2013 ru 1483
In this article we justify the position about automation of the economic account of region. The model of the economic development of the region is designed in the article, under different variant of the management decisions on municipal level. It is intended for analysis of the spending the budgetary funds, using production and labor resource, introduction leading technology and condition of the developing branches
186 kb

MODELLING OF FINANCIAL STABILITY OF ROCKET-SPACE COMPLEX COMPANIES

abstract 1311707080 issue 131 pp. 976 – 989 29.09.2017 ru 438
Mathematical modeling is one of the leading places among methods of research of economic systems and processes. The article considers the main management problem of the rocket-space complex in modern conditions and gives a brief description of this problem in conjunction with the tasks of innovative modernization and financial sustainability of enterprises of the complex. We have considered a common situation where the enterprises of the rocket-space complex in implementation of its development is carrying out an investment project, the financing of which is taken from a loan. It is proved that the implementation of this project can be appropriate, if as a result of the implementation the net present value of the enterprise increases. We have developed a model, which provides optimization of financial providing of high-tech enterprises of the rocket-space complex in the implementation of their modernization project taking into account the specifics of the use of own and borrowed funds
161 kb

MODELLING OF THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY FACTOR ON THE DYNAMICS OF CHANGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT OF RUSSIA

abstract 0821208058 issue 82 pp. 808 – 819 31.10.2012 ru 1186
The global financial crisis has had a negative impact on the domestic economy, resulting in a much more complicated task of achieving the most important indicators specified in the Concept of long-term socio-economic development of the Russian Federation until 2020. Implementation of the goals depends on a number of factors, including, how successful energy efficiency policy in Russia will be implemented. In this regard, actual task is to analyze the impact of the energy factor on the dynamics of change of gross domestic product in Russia
632 kb

MODELS AND METHODS OF EVALUATING TECHNOLOGIES OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION (ON THE EXAMPLE OF CROP PRODUCTION): SOFTWARE IMPLEMENTATION AND MAIN RESULTS

abstract 1341710104 issue 134 pp. 1293 – 1321 29.12.2017 ru 236
Production and processing of grains formed in the national economic system of the country a number of cereals-governmental sectors, such as grain production, grain elevator industry, flour, cereals and mixed fodder production, which constitute the grain complex country. The significance and role of the grain as a commodity in the state economy can not be overestimated. This product is totally liquid, which has a constant, steady demand at any time of the year, in any region. Ongoing measures to increase grain production and improve its implementation did not have a complex character, therefore, insignificant effect on the efficiency of the industry and the competitiveness of grain production. The shortage was covered by imports. According to the characteristics of management in agriculture, it should be emphasized that the absence of objective and timely information at all stages of production of the plant-breeding, and as a result, non-optimal choice of technology of cultivation of agricultural crops, might result in the fact that the cost of labor and material resources increases significantly, the company does not receive profits, and sometimes suffers losses. When selecting cultivation technology for agricultural crops, an agronomist has a database of more than a hundred times-personal of alternative technologies for each crop. It is up to the decision-maker (DMP) to find specific criteria to select the most suitable (for the owners and the climatic zone) technology of cultivating for the culture. These circumstances explain the relevance of in-depth research of economic and mathematical models and methods of analysis and evaluation of the economic efficiency of technologies of cultivation agricultural crops. The article deals with the process of developing a complex of mathematical models and methods for evaluating alternative technologies for agricultural production (using the example of crop production), their software implementation, and the main scientific results of the project
214 kb

MODELS AND METHODS OF GRAIN PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT IMPROVEMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE NORTH ZONE OF KRASNODAR REGION

abstract 0370803013 issue 37 pp. 186 – 206 31.03.2008 ru 4525
Plant growing successes influence the effectiveness not only the branch in itself, but the other branches of agriculture, economics of agricultural enterprises in whole as well. Models and methods of decision taking process improvement in plant growing were considered in the paper.
511 kb

MODELS of ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY MANAGEMENT of the INTEGRATED INDUSTRIAL SYSTEMS of the SUGAR SUBCOMPLEX OF AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX

abstract 0440810002 issue 44 pp. 28 – 47 25.12.2008 ru 3341
The analysis of activity of a sugar subcomplex has allowed to develop the specified schemes of re-structuring of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex, the concept of interaction of objects of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex, its information, monetary and material streams, and also to construct structure of the purposes and functions of a control system of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex. The complex of mathematical models of costs estimation of using ground resources of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex, the system of mathematical models of efficiency management of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex and a quantitative technique of an estimation of activity of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex are developed.
241 kb

MODELS OF IMPROVEMENT AND ASSESSMENT OF ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURES

abstract 0360802015 issue 36 pp. 235 – 250 29.02.2008 ru 4395
Models of improvement and assessment of organizational structures of management system of regional consumer cooperation are considered in the article. Method of organizational structures improvement, which allows using instrumental means of systemic, cognitive analysis, theory of mass service, to work out organizational structures with an account of changes of external environment and to assess offered variants by criteria of information transmission speed was offered.
194 kb

MODELS OF MANAGEMENT BY AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES OF AIC

abstract 0380804009 issue 38 pp. 138 – 153 29.04.2008 ru 4411
Complex of models for management of production effectiveness in farms for mono product, multi product and mono processing types was proposed in the article.
136 kb

Models of management of a specialized shops network. Introduction of information technologies in the trading companies of Russia.

abstract 0440810007 issue 44 pp. 104 – 114 25.12.2008 ru 2678
In the article the review of existing models of management is given by a specialty store chain. The basic differences of the Russian and foreign approach to a choice of the system integrator are discussed. Influence of a financial crisis of 2008 on activity of commercial companies is analyzed.
ßíäåêñ.Ìåòðèêà