Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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255 kb

FORECASTING OF BANKRUPTCY OF THE ORGANIZATION AS THE FACTOR OF STABILIZATION OF ITS FINANCIAL STABILITY

abstract 1201606063 issue 120 pp. 924 – 953 30.06.2016 ru 420
Now during the international sanctions concerning Russia the most part of the domestic organizations has appeared in heavy enough economic situation. It is connected not only with the general situation which has developed in our country, but also with weakness and bias of a finance administration in the organizations. Absence of professional skills of an adequate estimation of own financial status, the analysis of financial consequences of accepted decisions have put many of them on a side of bankruptcy. In the article, the analysis of theoretical and conceptual positions of forecasting of bankruptcy of the organizations is spent. During the research, the concept «bankruptcy» has been specified and added. The article has the research character, expressed that in her official, foreign and domestic techniques of definition of probability of bankruptcy on example RMUE «Thermal networks» which has received high probability of approach of bankruptcy practically on all from them are examined. It is revealed, that for achievement of full forecasting approach of bankruptcy of the organization it is necessary to use all the investigated techniques in close interrelation. The complex of actions on financial improvement RMUE «Thermal networks» is developed and economic feasibility of its introduction is proved
268 kb

OPTIMIZATION OF STRUCTURE OF ACCOUNTING BALANCE AS THE FACTOR OF INCREASE OF FINANCIAL STABILITY OF THE ORGANIZATION

abstract 1201606064 issue 120 pp. 954 – 983 30.06.2016 ru 11386
The care of the finance is the starting moment and a final result of the activity of any subject of managing. The organization with a reliable financial condition is a part of the locomotive, which accelerates market transformations, improving a national economy. In the article, we showed the analysis of theoretical and conceptual positions of financial stability of the organizations. It is revealed, that their accounting reporting used for an estimation of a financial condition, the beginnings and the terminations of the accounting period are made only for a moment, and creation of the income of the organization and its further distribution completely drop out of a field of vision. The article has a research character, expressed that in it the basic approaches to an estimation of financial stability of the organization on an example of Society with limited liability «Gumilovskoe» are considered and is revealed, that by different techniques the type of financial stability from unstable up to normal is inherent in it. With the purpose of improvement of financial stability of Society with limited liability «Gumilovskoe» optimization of its balance by a correcting of some articles of accounting balance based on recommended values of financial parameters according to the multifactorial model offered by A.V. Grachev is made. Economic feasibility of the given optimization is proved and the complex of actions on increase of financial stability of the organization is offered
147 kb

METHODS OF ACCOUNTING FOR THE EFFECTS OF INFLATION INDICATORS OF ACCOUNTING (FINANCIAL) STATEMENTS

abstract 1201606067 issue 120 pp. 1023 – 1035 30.06.2016 ru 577
The article deals with the qualitative characteristics of the accounting (financial) statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards: understandability, relevance, reliability and comparability. The article gives a definition of reliability of the accounting (financial) statements as one of the most important quality characteristics that ensure the usefulness of accounting information for a wide range of users. We present main consequences of the lack of consideration of the impact of inflation on the performance of financial statements. We have studied the methods of adjustment of financial statements for inflation indicators that can identify and neutralize the effects of inflation on the performance of economic activities of commercial organizations
249 kb

FORECASTING OF REGIONAL GRAIN MARKET DEVELOPMENT

abstract 1201606069 issue 120 pp. 1047 – 1066 30.06.2016 ru 525
Forecasting the state of external and internal industry environment by assessing the impact of factors variety and analysis is the basis of the grain subcomplex purposeful development. It is necessary to take into account the integration of the industry into particular region environment, which requires additional consideration of natural factors in the forecast. Theoretical and methodological guidelines which define characteristics of the forecasting in the particular area, are designed to provide justification for that choice. Best results are obtained predicted values found by rapid and short-term models, as in a short period the trend rarely changes its direction and thus changes the value by several times. Forecasting methods can be divided into two major groups: intuitive and formal. As a dynamic system, the market (in particular the grain market) requires the usage of complex methods for forecasting time series of key market indicators. According to our opinion, the optimum method of forecasting the regional grain market conditions is based on the following principles: reliability, systematic analysis, taking into account factors that may have an impact in the long term; validity of the scientific justification i.e. obtaining a similar result when re-modeling of the experimental data; the adequacy of the results obtained after forecasting the experimental data; reliability and accuracy of the forecast assessment for its possible adjustments; cleariness of language, which should be understandable for the decision-makers; planned nature of the forecast
147 kb

THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE AGROINDUSTRIAL COMPLEX IS THE PRIORITY TASK FOR THE GOVERNMENT IN THE "SANCTIONS" PERIOD FOR RUSSIA

abstract 1201606076 issue 120 pp. 1156 – 1165 30.06.2016 ru 482
One of the most important sectors of economy of any country is the agro-industrial complex thanks to which the food, necessary for society, is made. Effective development of agro-industrial sector considerably determines the level of food security of the state, a condition of all the potential of a national economy, as well as the social, and economic situation in the country in general. Results of the general researches of development of agro-industrial complex of Russia at the present stage are presented in the article. The positive and negative effects which have their influence both on agro-industrial complex in general and on its separate subjects are reflected. It is revealed, that during the agrarian reform the investment process in agrarian and industrial complex has dramatically changed. New channels of attraction of financial resources were created, also ways of use and distribution of resources have changed. The greatest attention is paid to problems of agricultural industry development, which also influence agricultural producers in particular. The prospects of the development of the agro-industrial complex and the methods of achievement of the goals of the government in the "sanctions" period for Russia are presented. Effective work of the agro-industrial sector of the economy of Russia is possible only with active state support on federal and on regional levels
139 kb

INCREASING THE INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS OF THE KRASNODAR REGION: FACTORS, DIRECTIONS, FORECASTS

abstract 1201606082 issue 120 pp. 1240 – 1249 30.06.2016 ru 531
This article describes the Krasnodar region as the leading subject of the Russian Federation in terms of volume of attracting foreign investments. It has considered the main factors of investment attractiveness of the region such as geographical and geopolitical position, agroclimatic and recreational potential of the Krasnodar region. It has also analyzed the dynamics of investments in the Krasnodar region of foreign investors in 2009-2015. The list of successfully implemented investment projects over the past 4 years is provided. It has marked a special role of the XXII Olympic Winter Games and XI Paralympic Winter Games 2014 in Sochi in attracting foreign investment in the Krasnodar region. It considers exhibitions and forums in which the Krasnodar region takes an active part. It has proved the particular role of the Krasnodar region as one of the "reference regions" of Russia to ensure the country's competitiveness in the global economic environment. The emphasis is placed on the fact that in order to attract capital and economic growth it is necessary to create a favorable investment climate quality. The main directions of improving the investment attractiveness of the Krasnodar region are defined. It is submitted by the forecast of the key indicators of the Krasnodar region, providing inflow of foreign investment until 2017. The tools of the implementation of the forecast are reviewed
141 kb

“RESOURCE DAMNATION” IN THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY, THE MECHANISMS OF ITS SOLUTION

abstract 1201606084 issue 120 pp. 1266 – 1276 30.06.2016 ru 487
This article analyzes the problem of the paradox of plenty which consist in the fact that the leading countries of the world having considerable natural resources are less developed than those countries which have small resources. Here is considered our country’s resource and raw status, as the main source of income of the state budget. Here were revealed the contradictions between the export of raw materials and the development of the domestic market in Russia, which was the cause of the «resource damnation». The article presents the balance of the main energy country’s resources, which determine Russia's place in their value compared with other leading countries of the world. It is shown the readings on the export of energy resources and the main symptoms of «dutch illness», which is a consequence of the dependence of the development of the country on the expediency /state of world prices. In this article, there were also considered the views of domestic experts on the arisen problem, based on which there were identified possible ways of overcoming of «resource damnation». We have also presented ways of overcoming and improvement of industry structure of the economy branch structure of the Russia’s economy and fight against «resource damnation», based on variants of the structural changes in the raw industry of economy. The main results on the considered problem are summed up, conclusions are formulated
149 kb

ECONOMIC SECURITY OF RUSSIA UNDER THE IMPORT SUBSTITUTION POLICY

abstract 1201606085 issue 120 pp. 1277 – 1288 30.06.2016 ru 310
Instability of economic processes and exacerbation of political tensions regarding Russia require measures in foreign trade policy, which are able to increase the economic security of Russia. The import substitution policy is considered one of the main directions nowadays. There have been considered two directions of the state policy for displacement or substitution of imported goods in the domestic market. There has been also reported the structure of the country's merchandise imports during the period from 2013 until 2015, resulting in a detected negative dynamics of imports, which indicates a successful beginning of the importsubstitution policy. Gradation of the main economic activities according to dependence on imports has allowed identifying the most import-dependent activities and the most available ways to form the import substitution. Threshold amount of economic security of the country has been considered to characterize the external economic security of Russia and some other countries of the world. There has been identified the necessity of state aid, which is reflected in the program of support for transport engineering industry for 2016, subsidies from the federal budget to participants of industrial clusters, the elimination of discriminatory relationships between credit financial institutions and industrial enterprises, the provision of state guarantees for loans to strategic enterprises and organizations of the country
304 kb

THE PROBLEM OF YOUTH EMPLOYMENT IN THE CONTEXT OF THE EDUCATION MARKET AND THE LABOR MARKET MISMATCH

abstract 1201606086 issue 120 pp. 1289 – 1304 30.06.2016 ru 631
The article deals with the problems of youth employment in the context of inconsistency of educational services market and labor market. It analyzes the main trends in youth employment, values in the professional working environment, problems of employment of young specialists, the reasons causing youth unemployment. It is noted that the imbalance in the labor market and the education market is one of the causes of youth unemployment. The author addresses youth employment issues from the perspective of a comprehensive and systematic approach, draws attention to youth employment as an urgent and long-term task of the state socioeconomic policy. There have been identified priority areas for the implementation of employment policies that will contribute to the effective solution of problems of the youth labor market segment development. The work proposes a number of specific measures required for solving the existing problems of youth employment, as well as for increasing the level of social adaptation of this category of labor resources in the Russian economy
137 kb

THE PRINCIPLE OF «EMPLOYEE INVOLVEMENT» IN THE UNIVERSITIES SYSTEM OF QUALITY MANAGEMENT

abstract 1201606090 issue 120 pp. 1352 – 1363 30.06.2016 ru 371
The article is devoted to determining the importance of the involvement of the staff in the quality management system of the organization on the example of the teaching staff of higher educational institutions. The article analyzes the situation of teachers in the management of quality control system of the higher education institution in the transition to the new federal state educational standards. The teaching staff is defined as the most important link in the quality management system of higher education institution, on which the organizational culture of the higher educational institutions, the internal climate of the organization, the process of education in practice. In the article, it is determined that the level of involvement of staff in the activities of the educational organization determines the extent of its success. Now in accordance with the competency universities approach requires new approaches to personnel management, since the spent years working with staff in the current conditions will not give the desired effect. The article lists the elements of the implementation of the «Employee involvement» principle, features educational activities at the university. Professional development is considered as the training of teachers for the reform and modernization of higher education. It noted the most relevant competences of high school teachers. In conclusion, the main challenges faced by the university in order to improve the quality management system of higher education institutions and the successful implementation of the principle of “Employee involvement”
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