The article deals with the types and methods of
forecasting as tools for further development of
production and business. Specific roles of each way in
economy and manufacturing is identified in General.
The relationship of forecasting with other sciences of
importance in determining the baseline and trends in
the development of the economy is indicated. The
relationship between foresight of successful
transactions in the form of contracts is determined, and
the reasons for unfavorable outcomes of their
conclusion are justified. A correlation between
prediction and such sciences as probability theory,
mathematical statistics, mathematics and physics is
traced. Examples of forecasting use in specific
branches of economy are given. The article
substantiates forecasting trends differences and
conclusions are drawn as to their application ways.
The role of making predictions on the basis of the
revealed patterns and its difference from foresight
without reliance on any certain laws that allow
identification of the situations-paradoxes group are
defined. The authors presents various situations in the
business development process, in which there can be
transaction costs. In this context, the spontaneity of
their occurrence is defined, and the characteristic of
their appearance is justified. Another no less important
aspect, influencing the increase of company share in
the market is the relationship of risk insurance, game
theory and forecasting. A key aspect here is the ability
to compare the prospects of the company development
in the market with laws that govern probability theory
The acceleration of the reproduction process
intensifies the traditional contradiction of any
organization between strategic goal setting and
necessity to react efficiently and adaptively to
situational changes of the market that in its turn
supposes the presence of institutes and mechanisms of
such qualities as flexibility and adaptability on the one
hand, and sustainability on the other at organizational
structures. That is, in modern and restructured
organizations initially when they are created, such
properties as adaptive and flexible shapes, structures,
mechanisms and tools must be laid. It implies the
search of new methodological approaches which are
the most relevant to this situation and, in particular, the
finding of the solution of the contradiction between the
search of standard approaches and creative decisions
between formalization and self-organization
The article evaluates the competitiveness of Russia in the world economy. This aspect of the study was considered in the dynamics and historical perspective of world economic relations development, the world's leading economies being an example. The origins and nature of competition, the concept of substitute goods were considered as an important problem of market economic system. The place of Russian Federation in the modern external economic environment and real prospects of achieving a high position among the leading producing countries were studied based on retrospective data. A comparative analysis was carried out according to certain criteria between the highly developed States. Theoretical review of data to assess the competitiveness of Russia in the world economy showed that the crisis of recent years could not have a positive impact on both economic development level of the Russian Federation and its opponents. It is known that each approach to consideration of a specific situation has its advantages and disadvantages but this article provides the most comprehensive and detailed material on the subject matter. Evaluation of competitive ability of Russia in the global economy has shown the need to increase the production capacity of the domestic manufacturer, and consequently, the production power of the country is increasing. This will contribute to the strengthening of the international authority of Russia
There were determined the factors that form the most attractive area of investment for the enterprises of agrarian and industrial complex with the aim of achieving maximum efficiency of production. There were identified the advantages of the rabbit-breeding as one of the most attractive areas of investment. There were revealed the causes of the growing demand for rabbit meat, its advantages compared to other types of meat. There were determined the trends of rabbit meat sustain-able demand formation. There was revealed the level of competitiveness in the sector, there were the most evident competitors on the territory of Krasnodar region. There were determined the main trends of the further development of rabbit breeding, the main one must become the breeding of animals on large industrial enterprises with the use of the system “empty-occupied”. There was calculated the economic effectiveness of investments in construction of the rabbit breeding farm with the use of the system “empty-occupied” on the territory of the largest producer of agricultural products of the JSC “Kuban” in Ust’-Labinsk district which is a part of the agricultural holding "Kuban". There was determined the most rational structure of demand of rabbit meat to different channels of realization, there were calculated the current costs on the realization of the project. There were determined the most accept-able costs of realization with the account of consumer demand peculiarities. The realization of the project allows us to obtain the quite high level of profit and commercial profitability. The rationality of investment of rabbit breeding business is affirmed by too high indexes of the project’s effectiveness
The article, based on the concept of operating
leverage, gives the examples of the use of quantitative
measurements of the dependence costs, sales and
profits, and formulated the direction of using the
results in the adoption of short-term management
decisions. We present recommended forms of
management reporting, report on the cash flow,
balance sheet management and management reports on
the financial results, as well as giving some examples
of division of fixed (semi-variable) costs of fixed and
variable parts and bringing them into the form of a
linear function. The article describes several methods
for solving this problem: the method of the highest and
lowest points, linear regression (least squares) and
graphical method
The article deals with the problems of investigating the
resource potential state. We present a methodology
based on the systematic approach. The development of
economics’ resource potential requires shift from
unilateral and local approaches to adaptive systemic
paradigm, involving the use of tools, methods and
mechanisms of development, which are formed in
accordance with the hierarchical structure of the
resource potential according to different levels.
Generalization of the systemic aspects of the
economics’ resource potential formation and
development is revealed that the importance of
informed decision-making in the system of sectorial
management increases nowadays, that leads to the
increasing the analytical and predictive tools obtaining
relevant information according to the current processes
in the resource fields. The managing development
system of the economics’ resource potential in the
context of adaptive systemic paradigm provides the
identification of regional (across the macro-region)
and territorial (within the region) features of
developing status and trends of economics’ resource
potential. Because of tools’ application for multivariate
statistical analysis, we indicate groups of the identified
areas with different levels of resource development.
Main stages and steps allow formalizing the problem
at different levels, which will facilitate the process of
strategic planning and management of resource
development. For example, the agrarian sector of the
Southern and North Caucasian Federal District
presents the results of cluster’s analysis of subjects’
districts. We group the regions according to resource
potential development of the agricultural sector
In 1970 in the journal publications of "Forbes" and
"Business week" the term of "startup" appeared,
which later became popular in the scientific and
business literature. Startups are the organizations,
which create a new product or service under
conditions of high uncertainty. In the last 25-30
years, due to Russia's transition from a planned
economy to the mixed, many researchers and
practitioners in the field of management, economics
and entrepreneurship are concerned of some
questions of small business, including production. It
is particularly acute problem of deaths of Russian
small businesses: only three out of a hundred small
businesses manage to survive for more than 3 years.
In addition, one of the main reasons, why we have
such statistics, is management deficiencies and
administrative errors, which are studied in this
article. We are primarily interested in small
manufacturing plants and problems of development
in the early stages of the life cycle. In the literature,
it has been given just little attention. A small
production company is a company associated with
the production organization or incorporation of the
product / technology in the production process. We
regard the small production companies at an early
stage of development, working in the field of
mechanical engineering, instrumentation, energy,
telecommunications, robotics, materials production.
In this work, we analyze the first foreign and then
domestic research on small business, discuss the
problems of management of small industrial
enterprises in the early stages of the life cycle (based
on the results of our questionnaire studies) and as an
example, consider the story of a startup - All-Union
Center of statistical methods and Informatics of
Central Board of the All-Union economic society
(now - Institute of high statistical technologies and econometrics of Bauman Moscow State Technical
University)
This article discusses the activities of LLC «Electrosvyazstroy». The authors reviewed brief economic characteristics, the analysis of the motion and structure of working capital, the proposals for improving the efficiency of working capital LLC «Electrosvyazstroy». Not only the main funds, labor and financial resources, but also using inventories ensure production and economic activity of the enterprise. Materials are one of the most important elements of the production cycle of any organization. Currently in a market economy identifies the importance of quality-indicators, among them are such as reducing the unit cost of raw materials and fuel. This requires the integrated use of natural and material resources as much as possible to eliminate losses and irrational costs, is widely involved in the turnover of the secondary resources, as well as other products. The main purpose of working capital – ensuring continuity of the production process. Working capital has a special place in the structure of the enterprise, as they provide strong financial position, creditworthiness, and investment opportunities of a business entity. The policy of working capital management involves two basic questions: what level of working capital is most suitable, and for what account of sources it is possible to finance it
This article focuses on crude oil trade development
between Russian Federation and European Union with
relation to port of Novorossiysk performance for the
period of 2010-2015 taking into consideration
restrictive measures imposed by European Union.
Literature review on the topic of economic sanctions
on Russia and other countries and impact of these
measures on economy of these countries is given in the
article. After analysis of crude oil trade volumes
between Russia and European Union through port of
Novorossiysk it is possible to conclude that decrease in
crude oil trade started two years before the
introduction of restrictive measures. Current values of
international trade indicators can be under significant
influence of sanctions, but the general trend of decline
started before that, and this trend can be connected
with other then political factors. Another conclusion is
the fact that sanctions made an impact on growth of
crude oil turnover, but at the same time this indicator
was negative for almost a decade before, making it
possible to consider the factor of sanctions as
significant, but not decisive
The significance of humus content in soils of the
Krasnodar region is decreased. Losses amount is 0,03-
0,05 % every year. The main means of preservation of
soil fertility is the introduction of such organic fertilizers
as manure. The availability of manure’s use has
decreased significantly in connection with the reduction
of livestock in agricultural organizations of the
Krasnodar region. It causes the necessity of searching
of other ways of replenishing of soil fertility. The challenge
is to ensure a positive balance of organic matter
in soil without application of manure. The reproduction
of the soil fertility can be achieved at the expense
of proper selection of agricultural cultivars in the crop
rotation and provision of optimal structure of sown
areas. The modeling of the structure of sown areas
using the developed economic-mathematical model
allows to determine the optimal composition and the
areas of crops for maximum gross or net income with a
positive balance of humus. It is proposed to use the
general indicators of economic evaluation - gross or
net income, increased (decreased) in the value added
of (left) humus to assess the effectiveness of land use.
The calculations were made on the example of the Ltd
Company “Vorontsovskoe” of Dinskoy District, they
may be adopted for any agricultural organization