Scientific Journal of KubSAU

Polythematic online scientific journal
of Kuban State Agrarian University
ISSN 1990-4665
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2401 kb

ELABORATION OF ADAPTIVE MODELS OF SPECTRAL ANALYSIS WITH APPLICATION OF METHODS OF FILTRATION WHEN PREDICTING THE DYNAMICS OF THE SUGAR INDUSTRY AIC (PART 2 – FORECASTING AND CONCLUSIONS)

abstract 1161602075 issue 116 pp. 1157 – 1187 29.02.2016 ru 620
Objective: To improve the consistency and effectiveness of strategic planning and forecasting in modern conditions it requires development of the existing classifications of types of planning, strategies, forecasts and forecast methods. This study examines the introduction to problems of spectral analysis of the macroeconomic dynamics of key world and Russian sugar subcomplex. The article is devoted to forecasting the activities of integrated manufacturing systems of sugar subcomplex in agro industrial subcomplex. As well as to the practical application of economic-mathematical methods (based on spectral analysis) to control the economic parameters of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex, oriented to meet the needs of the sugar production of the population not only of individuals, but of the regions and the country as a whole. Discussion: Procedures to identify and study the dynamics of periodic components of the development of the agriculture segment agriculture are based on methods of spectral analysis of random processes. The article describes the performed experiments with various kinds of non-stationary time series of agricultural sector and food industry sugar sub-complex. The article presents results of numerical experiments with the spectra of time series of sugar production, sown areas, gross harvest and yield of sugar beet and sugar cane country. Systematic ideas and methods underlying the spectral analysis were shown. The article also assesses the results. Results: The algorithm developed by the author for the adaptive method of spectral analysis was implemented by the author in the context of a specific software product, namely in MS Excel format. The results of the empirical research confirmed the possibility of practical use of developed models in forecasting likely scenarios for the development of sugar sub-complex in the interests of integrated production systems. The results are illustrated by numerous graphs based on real data. We have also built projection of latent structures of sugar subcomplex in the macroregions. It is revealed that each of the macroeconomic time series can contain at least from 2 to 9 harmonics (cycles) of different kind and strength of impact on the trend
316 kb

DEVELOPMENT OF THE ECONOMIC NATURE OF FORMS AND METHODS OF MORTGAGE LENDING IN THE SYSTEM OF FINANCIAL AND CREDIT RELATIONS OF SOCIETY

abstract 1191605052 issue 119 pp. 727 – 745 31.05.2016 ru 620
Process of crediting has productive and consumer character, and expresses the movement of the commodity and monetary capital in his continuous circulation. The productive form of the credit is connected with features of use of the received financial resources in production for the purpose of obtaining again created consumer cost. The article describes the methods and forms of mortgage lending in the system of financial and credit relations and their impact on reproductive processes of social development. The authors have proved that realization of housing policy of the state has to combine the principles of the budgetary financing and regulation of market processes of the relations of distribution and redistribution of the loan capital. Thus, a significant place in the financial relations has been taken by a mortgage loan, which requires longterm and cheap financial resources at an acceptable cost for its development
233 kb

THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE INTELLIGENT TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH OF THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS ON VARIOUS ASPECTS OF LIFE QUALITY IN THE REGION

abstract 1221608001 issue 122 pp. 1 – 17 31.10.2016 ru 620
To increase the validity of conclusions about the impact of environment on quality of life we need to move from generalities to the application of quantitative modeling techniques. This requires the joint processing environmental databases and databases depicting various aspects of quality of life. These databases need to be handled not just together, but in a comparable form approach, technology and methodology; and we need to implement them in one software system. For the first time in the environmental studies it has been planned to be done with the application of the ASK- analysis and the system called "Eidos". In this work, we set the goals and the objectives of the application of the ASK-analysis to study the effect of environmental factors on the quality of life of the population of the region. The article reveals the urgency of this study; the requirements for the method of conducting the study, the choice of research method, the contents of the objectives of the study. The proposed work is at the edge of mathematical ecology and mathematical modeling of quality of life (which refers to mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics), resulting from expected synergies, consists in obtaining of new knowledge in these fields, that is relevant to both ecology and economy. This knowledge will make it more meaningful and justified for the application of environmental criteria and concepts in the economy
162 kb

DEVELOPMENT OF AGRITOURISM IN THE YEISK DISTRICT OF THE KRASNODAR REGION

abstract 1231609089 issue 123 pp. 1306 – 1317 30.11.2016 ru 620
This article discusses the development of agrotourism and its benefits for the modern urbanized man. In the study, it appears that this type of activity has a wide range of targets in different countries. However, in Russia - it is not only a way of familiarizing travelers to rural life, but also an opportunity to create new jobs and new employment areas of the rural population, which is especially important in the current economic climate. The authors believe actual activation of this sphere of activity in the Yeisk district of the Krasnodar region, which is characterized by a diversified orientation of peasant and private farms, and which has a high agricultural potential. On the basis of the available resources of LTD "JASENSKIE ZORI" it is proposed to organize two options eco tours, designed for different times of the year (for the season June - September and October - May). Tours various programs planned, enabling and enjoy outdoor activities, and participate in the harvest, and get acquainted with the peculiarities of the region, its flavor and attractions. The features of this type of holiday are its democratic value, because it does not require large capital costs for the farmer, and the life of a rest close to the realities of rural life
209 kb

ACCOUNTING POLICY OF AGRICULTURAL LEGAL ENTITY AS A TOOL OF IMPLEMENTING INTERNAL CONTROL OF INVENTORY

abstract 1161602092 issue 116 pp. 1427 – 1448 29.02.2016 ru 621
The article substantiates the necessity of drawing up competent accounting policies in the field of inventory, to ensure the internal control in the legal entity. We explore the impact of accounting policies for the recognition and measurement of inventories on the financial reporting and suggest measures to reduce the distortion of information that serves as the basis for management decisions
275 kb

LOGICAL PRICE ESTIMATION OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION EDUCATIONAL LANDSCAPE

abstract 1211607067 issue 121 pp. 1081 – 1097 30.09.2016 ru 621
In the given article, we describe an approach to the formation of learning environment optimal structure based on logical price tools using through statistical assessment of universities rank distribution. The actuality of this approach is based on the analysis of modern methods to the formation of the university landscape and assessment of a number of systemic problems of universities’ structure transformation, which consists in the disproportion reinforcement and reducing the variety of educational programmes and research schools, which prevents its effective development. The postulates of institutional university transformations based on the pragmatic paradigms providing stability and progressive development of the system in its self-development and evolution process are proposed as a methodological concept of using the statements of the cenoses theory. The logical price analysis of the Russian universities structure in 2015 conducted above has confirmed the proposed hypotheses, showing statistical coupling of university environment elements, their relatively systematic instability and structural imbalances. The educational system assessment as a cenosis allowed to reveal points of the required impact factor, state intervention direction in the distribution structuring, possible limitations associated with the implementation of large universities support programmes. The proposed approach has a high level of reality objective assessment and may be used when making long-term strategic decisions
585 kb

INNOVATION-ORIENTED EVALUATION METHODOLOGY OF THE STATUS AND POTENTIAL FOR GROWTH OF NATIONAL ECONOMIC SYSTEM

abstract 1151601006 issue 115 pp. 98 – 116 27.01.2016 ru 622
The article describes a new approach to the assessment of the economic system. The authors propose to assume that the system grows, if its share in the world production increases. For the qualitative assessment, we have offered to analyze the dynamics of growth of exports of products with high benefit to the foreign countries, which include engineering goods, defense, manufacturing materials. On the world market of hightech products, we have the stiff competition and the growth of exports of domestic products with high benefit indicates high level of innovation. Based on the analysis of available statistical data, we revealed a correlation between exports of innovative products, the volumes of financing research and development and foreign direct investment in the national economy. It was determined foreign capital has a negative impact on exports of products with high benefit. The authors proposed a two-factor regression model, which allows you to make short-term forecasts and allocate resources. The study showed that despite the ongoing economic sanctions and unsuccessful economic reforms in the past, Russia has a high potential for innovation, which is activated when reducing the influence of foreign capital. Attempts to isolate the Russian economic system led to the mobilization of resources and the growth of innovation activity of domestic business
173 kb

REGIONAL FACTORS OF SMALL AGRICULTURAL ORGANIZATIONS DEVELOPMENT

abstract 1181604030 issue 118 pp. 548 – 562 29.04.2016 ru 626
The article says that small agricultural farms (SAF) play a significant role in import substitution of food, which is aimed at replacing imported agricultural commodities and finished products to domestic security. SAF subjects of Krasnodar region made a significant contribution to the increase of efficiency of regional economy. The share of small agricultural farms is 29% of regional production of grain and meat, 36% of milk, 47% of egg, 10% of sugar beet, 30% of sunflower and 95% of potatoes, 70% of vegetables, and 29% of grapes which makes a significant contribution to the process of import substitution. In addition, the SAF showed a large positive impact on the sustainability of farming, the development dynamics of the entire rural economy, increase the competitiveness of the whole field due to the increase in segment sales, improving market sales in the infrastructure. Today SAF perform a priority vector of development of regional agrarian policy. However, when the share of regional agricultural production segment is more than 35%, a small management gets only 10% of the sum of all sources of state support. In recent years, stimulation measures of subjects of small agrarian farms aimed at increasing the size of the land, the abolition of the standards concerning the number of animals, improving lending conditions, facilitating the starting of economic conditions, union efforts to organize sales channels and other programs. However, the situation with crediting SAF is improving too slowly due to lack of sufficient collateral, and only a small part of them can use loans. Besides, the bureaucratic and departmental barriers are still saved. They still face trade discrimination in the retail markets and great difficulties due to the new requirements of the construction markets, the endowment channels marketing of products etc. All this dictates the need for further improvement of the economic mechanism of regulation of small agricultural development
158 kb

FUNDAMENTALS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SELF-SUFFICIENCY OF LOCAL RURAL COMMUNITIES OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

abstract 1241610012 issue 124 pp. 243 – 256 30.12.2016 ru 631
This article analyzes the current problems related to socio-economic support of local government and increasing the effectiveness of local social services. The authors believe that the foundation of rural communities form: local finance, municipal property, property that is owned by the state and transferred to the control of local governments, as well as other property to meet the needs of the municipality. This article discusses the principles of economic selfreliance of rural communities. And also states that the basic foundations of the socio-economic self-reliance of rural communities is the local budget. For example, Dinskaya district is considered the law "On the financial bases of local self-government in the Russian Federation." The paper substantiates the necessity of searching the rural communities of other sources of funding. In the transition to a market economy, leading direction should be given to commercial projects of local governments, which will be used to execute programs in the field of social activity in rural communities - Economic Development
153 kb

DEFINITIONS AND DEVELOPMENT CRITERIA OF THE SMALL AGRARIAN FARMS

abstract 1161602061 issue 116 pp. 892 – 904 29.02.2016 ru 633
The article reviews financial and other criteria indicators, related to the production of small agricultural farms. Our law establishes that the annual turnover for micro-entity shall not exceed the amount of 60 million rubles, or USD 755.6 thousands at the current exchange rate (which at 20.01.2016 is 79.41 rubles/USD). For the category of small businesses, the ceiling of the cash proceeds must be in the range of 60 to 400 million rubles (in dollar terms from USD 0.756 to USD 5.037 million). Respectively for the medium enterprises criteria, revenue must be from 400 million to 1 billion rubles, or USD 5.037 and USD 12.259 million). The size of the business over 1 billion rubles should be classified as Large Businesses. According to the Federal law No. 209 financial data levels must be adjusted after five years of operations. All commercial organizations with less than 15 employees/ (inclusive) are classified as Micro Enterprises, and with 16 to 100 employees – to the category Small Enterprises. /Accordingly, medium-sized enterprises are organizations with 101 to 250 employees. Today, it is noted that in World’s practice, the criterion for the classification of enterprises to the relevant category is defined not by generated financial flows and assets of the enterprise, but by simple employ. In our practice, simultaneous consideration of the number of employees, annual receipts, number of livestock, and area of agricultural land make it possible to analyze dynamics of productivity using small agricultural farms, management decisions on investment expediency of innovations, improvement of production technologies, and infrastructure of product realization
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