The theme of the development of trade relations within the regional associations is currently very relevant. The presented article examines the indicators characterizing the dynamics of Russia's exports and imports with other members of the Eurasian Economic Union. The structure of export and import of the EAEU countries with third countries is studied. The most perspective directions of Russia's foreign trade policy aimed at deepening integration within the framework of the EAEU are analyzed. Trade trends in the EAEU are analyzed in detail. The reasons for the reduction in the supply of goods to Russia from some of the countries of the Unified Energy System are revealed: economic instability, the depreciation of the Russian ruble against the US dollar, high inflation and a decline in the purchasing power of the Russian population. The negative and positive impact on the trade turnover of Russia of the devaluation of its national currency is assessed. Particular attention is paid to the impact of mutual Russian-Western sanctions on trade relations in the EAEU. The authors conclude that stimulating the development of trade relations between the EAEU countries should become one of the priority directions of the economic policies of the member countries, since it has a special significance for strengthening economic ties and bringing the economies of the EAEU economies closer to the level of development
In the article the investments are the fundamental part of development of the economy of different countries as developed, and developing. The investment activity defines a basis of safe development of world economy, and also promotes determination of prospects for carrying out modernization and diversification of economy of various countries of the world. The value of foreign investments comes down to the international division of the capital, and also to searches of more favorable ways of receiving profit on economic activity abroad, than in the country of the investor. The role of foreign investments comes down to development of national economy, generally, and, in particular, recipients of these investments (the enterprises, productions, etc.). It is very favorable to a country to receive from abroad foreign investments as they develop their productions, new innovative productions appear, and also taxes come to the national budget. In this article an assessment of the world market of investments in 2015 is given. The system analysis of prospects and tendencies of development of the world market of investments in the conditions of cyclic fluctuations of world economy is carried out. The dynamics of annual streams of foreign investments into economy of Russia is considered. The consequences of sanctions of the USA and Europe entered in 2014 are reflected and their influence on investment climate of Russia is designated. The tendencies of reduction of foreign investments in the Russian economy are designated. The main problems in the production and social sphere are also revealed. Necessary terms on improvement of investment appeal of the Russian Federation are offered
In the article, we have considered indicators for
assessing import dependency by key
characteristics of industrial production
(technology, raw materials, equipment). The work
shows necessity of the transition from
determining the level of import dependence for
individual characteristics to determine its overall
(integrated) assessment. It presents the criteria of
evaluation of technical, technological, raw
material import dependence of production. We
have developed a model of calculation of the
generalized indicators of evaluation of level of
import dependency of production. The proposed
Toolkit allows using an expert way to assess the
level of import dependence of production of
various types of products. In this comprehensive
assessment, it takes into account the dependence
of the acquired import of components, raw
materials and borrowed technologies, and the
extent of use of imported equipment. The use of
indicators characterizing the degree of
dependence of production on foreign technology
and equipment is very important in the conditions
of modernization and technical re-equipment of
production
The article discusses the development of e-government
concept and the key factors that have a major impact on
this process. In this study, the external environment is
defined and we have specified the inner enlarged
structure of the system. The influence on the
development of the concept is exploring with factors of
external and internal environment. The influence of
factors on the formation of the paradigm of egovernment
is showing on the example of historical
development. Further, successful practice in the
establishment of e-government are analyzed and then
are noted some problems arising in this process. The
accumulated international and local experience is
studied in this area, that is reflected in list of practical
experiments and theoretical studies by group of
scientists. E-government is examined not only as the
management structure, but also as the information
technology system. Key trends are analyzed and the
impact of factors is discovered in relation to selected
components of the system of e-government. The article
reveals the factors responsible for the success of egovernment
implementation and the factors that
increase the risk on the project. Low-level factors are
grouped on its subjects to identify the basic and
secondary groups of factors, which affect selected
elements of the system. It defines the elements of egovernment
affected with the general impact
Nowadays, competitive advantages of oil companies are in many respects determined by globalization of the economic life. For large oil companies, the process of globalization does urgent increase in their competitiveness due to diversification, attraction of financial resources of cost reduction of production due to release of the standardized products and economy at a scale; by using more close business connections with other entities, with banks for creation of entrepreneurial networks, etc. In the article, the major factors which influence competitiveness of the international companies of an oil and gas industry are revealed, their features are provided, and also the analysis of practical Russian company experience of PJSC «LUKOIL» including SWOT – analysis of strong and weak points of the company is provided. Methods of management of competitiveness of the foreign companies "Royal Dutch Shell" and Exxon Mobil, and also their achievements for the last years are analysed. The conclusion is drawn that the modern situation in the market dictates the requirement for increase in innovative activity of the company as the main instrument of ensuring high level of competitiveness and generates need of the solution of a number of new tasks for the organization and managements of innovative activities of the Russian companies on the example of PJSC «LUKOIL»
The article examines the factors, which influence the
formation of the market of poultry production. Agricultrual
producers have developed diversified business
channels, which depend on the nature of the
economic interests of the owners of farms, local
market conjuncture, the level of development of its
own product processing and logistics structures. The
growing share of imports has created a tangible
threat to food security and the increasing dependence
of megalopolises and big cities on import, in
addition long-term relationaships have been destroyed
within the existing socialist system, increased
prices disparity. Only at the beginning of the
21st century Russian poultry industry started to get
rid of the consequences of liberal market reforms. In
many ways, the development of industry were contributed
by the realization of the priority national
project «Development of agriculture» and by the
State program of development of agriculture and
regulation of markets for agricultural products, raw
materials and food for 2008-2012. However, the
modernization of poultry subcomplex was mainly
catching and accompanied by increasing dependence
on imports cross, equipment, premixes and feed.
Poultry organizations have high debt on loans, subsidies
for reimbursement of the cost of interest com
unevenly, putting poultry farms in a disastrous situation.
In 2014, Russia has 21 region – poultry donor
(where the volume of domestic production exceeds
consumption) and 61 recipient regions (where the
volume of domestic production is less than consumption)
Objective: To improve the consistency and effectiveness
of strategic planning and forecasting in
modern conditions it requires development of the
existing classifications of types of planning, strategies,
forecasts and forecast methods. This study examines
the introduction to problems of spectral
analysis of the macroeconomic dynamics of key
world and Russian sugar subcomplex. The article is
devoted to forecasting the activities of integrated
manufacturing systems of sugar subcomplex in agro
industrial subcomplex. As well as to the practical
application of economic-mathematical methods
(based on spectral analysis) to control the economic
parameters of the integrated industrial systems of the
sugar subcomplex, oriented to meet the needs of the
sugar production of the population not only of individuals,
but of the regions and the country as a
whole. Discussion: Procedures to identify and study
the dynamics of periodic components of the development
of the agriculture segment agriculture are
based on methods of spectral analysis of random
processes. The article describes the performed experiments
with various kinds of non-stationary time
series of agricultural sector and food industry sugar
subcomplex. The article presents results of numerical
experiments with the spectra of time series of
sugar production, sown areas, gross harvest and
yield of sugar beet and sugar cane country. Systematic
ideas and methods underlying the spectral analysis
were shown. The article also assesses the results.
Results: The algorithm developed by the author
for the adaptive method of spectral analysis was
implemented by the author in the context of a specific
software product, namely in MS Excel format.
The results of the empirical research confirmed the
possibility of practical use of developed models in
forecasting likely scenarios for the development of
sugar sub-complex in the interests of integrated production
systems. The results are illustrated by numerous
graphs based on real data. We have also
built projection of latent structures of sugar subcomplex in the macroregions. It is revealed that each of
the macroeconomic time series can contain at least
from 2 to 9 harmonics (cycles) of different kind and
strength of impact on the trend
PREDICTION OF A FINANCIAL MARKET EVOLUTION ON THE BASE OF SOFTWARE TOOLS FOR LINEAR CELLULAR AUTOMAT
The work used methods of system analysis, monographic, structural and logical, economic-statistical, mathematical continuous and discrete, settlement and constructive methods as well as software tools of linear cellular automata. Usage of each method was based on their functionality, thus ensuring the accuracy of the findings and scientific positions. In this article we attempt to predict the dynamic behavior of the financial market elements, to use on the basis of a linear cellular automaton computer tools and methods of nonlinear science for adequate numerical reflection measure various risks, primarily financial and economic risks, as well as to show the power of computer graphics, computer mathematics system linear cellular automata, to emphasize an important philosophical role of visualization. The authors of the work programmed linear cellular automaton based on Python 2.7 software platform in the form of application. The program validates the predictive model on the adequacy of the selected coloring, is forecast error and builds polygons predictive model and input data on the same graph. The proposed research area is relevant to the processes in the financial and economic system, bringing in useful innovative elements in the generalized forecast that do not exist in continuous classical methodology
The application of classical forecasting methods applied to a diversified corporation faces some certain difficulties, due to its economic nature. Unlike other businesses, diversified corporations are characterized by multidimensional arrays of data with a high degree of distortion and fragmentation of information due to the cumulative effect of the incompleteness and distortion of accounting information from the enterprises in it. Under these conditions, the applied methods and tools must have high resolution and work effectively with large databases with incomplete information, ensure the correct common comparable quantitative processing of the heterogeneous nature of the factors measured in different units. It is therefore necessary to select or develop some methods that can work with complex poorly formalized tasks. This fact substantiates the relevance of the problem of developing models, methods and tools for solving the problem of forecasting the development of diversified corporations. This is the subject of this work, which makes it relevant. The work aims to: 1) analyze the forecasting methods to justify the choice of system-cognitive analysis as one of the effective methods for the prediction of semi-structured tasks; 2) to adapt and develop the method of systemic-cognitive analysis for forecasting of dynamics of development of the corporation subject to the scenario approach; 3) to develop predictive model scenarios of changes in basic economic indicators of development of the corporation and to assess their credibility; 4) determine the analytical form of the dependence between past and future scenarios of various economic indicators; 5) develop analytical models weighing predictable scenarios, taking into account all prediction results with positive levels of similarity, to increase the level of reliability of forecasts; 6) to develop a calculation procedure to assess the strength of influence on the corporation (sensitivity) of its member enterprises; 7) to finalize the software tools the ask analysis to the level of information technology, given its adaptation and development to predict actions in a diversified corporation
The article is devoted to solving such a topical issue as a
stimulating of rural territories and commodity production
development in the small forms of management in
Krasnodar region. The work states, that despite the
existence of the different forms of the state support
programs for native farmers, any significant positive
shifts in development of rural areas, standard of living of
the rural population are still not observed. The basis of
the author offers is the rationale for a series of
institutional reforms, namely a review of the nature and
forms of cooperation between regional and local
authorities with small forms of management. An
expediency of the formation of the municipal consumer
cooperatives based on municipal and mixed ownership
was also explained. As a basis for the arguments, the
authors have used the ideas of the founder of
institutionalism Thorsten Veblen. He wrote in his works,
that evolution is accompanied by institutional changes
by selecting and consolidation of the forms of behavior
which are most conducive to the survival and prosperity
of the entire community , and social evolution is nothing
else than a process of selection and adaptation of the
ways of thinking under the influence of the
circumstances of people living together. Adaptation of
the ways of thinking is the development of the institutes.
These provisions reflect the expediency of forming of
additional and relevant institutions, contributing to
improve the quality of regional management of rural territories development